34462 Palm Dr N · Pinellas Park, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
VOTED ONE OF THE TOP 5 RETIREMENT COMMUNITIES IN 2025!! This home has 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, and a screen lanai that comes fully furnished (TURNKEY). .. with a very unique floor plan! The list price includes the SHARE (Valued at $55,000) . .. Home features an open floor plan with a large kitchen, dining and living space. .. and many updates, to mention a few; ROOF-OVER- 2024.. . Newer ELECTRIC PANEL. .. laminate flooring in bedrooms and living spaces. .. . tiled vinyl floors in the kitchen, and both bathrooms. .. Main bedroom opens up to the large bathroom, with a bathtub/shower and much cabinetry for storage. 2nd bedroom has its own 1/2 bath. This unique built home has many windows f
Key facts
- Screen lanai
- Unique floor plan
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Turnkey furnished
- Financial info: Total monthly fees: $210; Total annual fees: $2,520; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA with required monthly fee ($210); Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, laundry, pool, recreation facilities, shuffleboard court, spa/hot tub, lobby key required; Association fee covers common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, grounds maintenance, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, trash and water; Buyer/association approval required; Senior community; pets not allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Covered driveway; Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Residential double-wide mobile home; One story; Faces northwest; Entry level: One
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Roof over; Built on crawlspace with pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Screened side porch; Rain gutters; Sidewalk
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Laundry area in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.0% in Pinellas Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in FL, #2,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $105k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.90%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,834
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34076 Avocado Dr N | 0.15mi | 2/1.5 | 872 (+1%) | 5mo | $88,000 | $101 | 85 |
| 34041 Azalea Dr N | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 882 (+2%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $91 | 80 |
| 34175 Canal Dr | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 954 (+10%) | 2mo | $117,500 | $123 | 74 |
| 34440 Oleander Dr N | 0.14mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 802 (-7%) | 7mo | $74,000 | $92 | 67 |
| 82015 A St N #15 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 915 (+6%) | 6mo | $108,000 | $118 | 61 |
| 34122 Oak Dr N | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 740 (-14%) | 20mo | $120,000 | $162 | 56 |
| 82264 2nd Ave N #264 | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-11%) | 15mo | $130,000 | $169 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $10,163
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $29,895
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33781
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,921 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,417/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$210
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $512
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $571 | -5% $542 | +0% $512 | +5% $482 | +10% $453 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $360 | -5% $436 | +0% $512 | +5% $588 | +10% $664 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $565 | -0.5pp $539 | base $512 | +0.5pp $485 | +1.0pp $457 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3110 Grand Ave Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1104 | $2,467 | $2.23 | 2d | 34 | 0.47mi |
| 4071 76th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,724 | $2.46 | 4d | 3 | 0.53mi |
| 4355 84th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 3d | 10 | 0.83mi |
| 3715 66th Ave N Unit B Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,475 | $1.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2790 Grand Ave Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $2,782 | $2.73 | 2d | 16 | 0.84mi |
| 8851 US Highway 19 N Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 993 | $2,295 | $2.31 | 2d | 23 | 0.84mi |
| 4520 76th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,545 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4771 78th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 903 | $1,640 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4675 72nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,649 | $2.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2715 63rd Ter N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,900 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4701 88th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $1,853 | $2.17 | 11d | 20 | 1.18mi |
| 7050 48th St N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $2,350 | $2.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2734 62nd Ave N Apt 3 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 833 | $1,895 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8400 49th St N Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 707 | $1,749 | $2.47 | 2d | 22 | 1.28mi |
| 4940 87th Ave Unit C Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5060 76th Ave N #409 Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2275 62nd Ave N #203 St Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,975 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3114 58th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,950 | $2.44 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4091 58th Ave N Unit F St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3132 56th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1063 | $2,850 | $2.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 4973 91st Ave Unit 12 (C) Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $1,475 | $1.69 | 15d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 4973 91st Ave Unit C Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $1,475 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $210 · $2,520/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $105,000
-
2026-02-05price $110,000
-
2025-11-22$119,900 Active
-
2025-04-21historical
-
2025-02-26price $142,000
-
2025-02-05price $149,000
-
2025-01-16price $152,000
-
2024-12-16$159,000 Active
-
2022-04-07soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,417 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,417 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,055
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$2,417
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,844
- − Management
- −$1,844
- − HOA
- −$2,520
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $4,968
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,192
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,951/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pinellas Park
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #2546
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pinellas Park, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 50,533
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,072
- Household income
- $57,785
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1115.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 14% Two or more races 11% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -409.77%
- Current HPI
- 348.546
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.95%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+133.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-22 Listed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-21 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-26 Price Changed $142,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-05 Price Changed $149,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-16 Price Changed $152,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-16 Listed $159,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,417 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…