2191 Harbor Blvd #75 · Costa Mesa, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home features a private fenced backyard and convenient parking for up to 2 cars. Situated in a desirable all-age gated community, the property is within walking distance to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. Excellent location with easy access to the 55 and 405 freeways and just minutes from the beach. A fantastic opportunity to enjoy comfort and convenience in a prime area!
Key facts
- Gated community
- Convenient parking
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.2% vs local median 1.8% in Costa Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#558 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, amenities B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
- Newport-Mesa Unified (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #106 of 517 in CA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 97 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 78.08%
- DSCR
- 4.47
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,376
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -33.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 76.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.42×
- Total profit
- $71,853
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 80.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.74×
- Total profit
- $162,553
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92627
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,386 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$501
- Net cashflow
- $1,366
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 Maple St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $2,575 | $3.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1995 Maple St Unit 1999-202 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $2,650 | $3.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2077 Charle St Costa Mesa, CA | — | 1.0 | 450 | $1,950 | $4.33 | 16d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 393 Hamilton St Unit B1 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $2,200 | $3.82 | 20d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 393 Hamilton St Unit F1 Costa Mesa, CA | — | 1.0 | 420 | $1,775 | $4.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 393 Hamilton St Unit M3 Costa Mesa, CA | — | 1.0 | 420 | $1,800 | $4.29 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 393 Hamilton St Unit N1 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $2,050 | $3.56 | 20d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 393 Hamilton St Unit R3 Costa Mesa, CA | — | 1.0 | 420 | $1,850 | $4.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 673 Victoria St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,000 | $4.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2029 Harbor Blvd Unit 7 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $2,850 | $4.63 | 7d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2029 Harbor Blvd Unit 8 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 638 | $2,750 | $4.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1999 Maple Ave Unit 202 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $2,575 | $3.66 | 7d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2000 Parsons St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,605 | $3.26 | 13d | 5 | 0.50mi |
| 2400 Harbor Blvd Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1010 | $2,496 | $2.47 | 1d | 17 | 0.53mi |
| 2080 Newport Blvd Apt 226 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 424 | $1,845 | $4.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1919 Maple Ave Unit 1917-06 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 440 | $1,975 | $4.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1919 Maple Ave Unit 1917-14 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 440 | $1,975 | $4.49 | 11d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2110 Newport Blvd Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $1,900 | $3.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 790 Hamilton St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 555 | $2,300 | $4.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 136 E Bay St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,550 | $3.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1975 Pomona Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,995 | $3.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2115 Placentia Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $2,195 | $3.03 | 2d | 4 | 0.75mi |
| 1911 Church St #4 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 360 | $1,995 | $5.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 140 W Wilson St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $2,250 | $3.85 | 20d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 177 22nd St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $2,625 | $3.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 425 Merrimac Way Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,540 | $4.23 | 2d | 6 | 0.95mi |
| 2323 Elden Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $2,445 | $3.57 | 3d | 2 | 0.96mi |
| 109 Clearbrook Ln Unit C Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,450 | $3.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 400 Merrimac Way Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 634 | $2,350 | $3.71 | 2d | 3 | 1.05mi |
| 724 W 18th St Unit 3 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,850 | $2.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1846 Placentia Ave Apt D Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $2,595 | $4.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 187 E 18th St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,400 | $3.31 | 19d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 187 E 18th St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,400 | $4.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 140 Cabrillo St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 337 | $1,795 | $5.32 | 16d | 2 | 1.12mi |
| 825 Center St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,588 | $3.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1500 Mesa Verde Dr E Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 813 | $3,078 | $3.79 | 2d | 8 | 1.15mi |
| 286 E 19th St Unit B Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,375 | $4.32 | 19d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 853 Center St Unit 04 Costa Mesa, CA | — | 1.0 | 500 | $1,850 | $3.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 853 Center St Costa Mesa, CA | — | 1.0 | 500 | $1,850 | $3.70 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2250 Canyon Dr Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $2,750 | $3.72 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-02-06$75,000 Active 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
This 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home features a private fenced backyard and convenient parking for up to 2 cars. Situated in a desirable all-age gated community, the property is within walking distance to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. Excellent location with easy access to the 55 and 405 freeways and just minutes from the beach. A fantastic opportunity to enjoy comfort and convenience in a prime area!
-
2025-11-03soldstatus $67,000 Closed Sale 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY - LIVE NEAR THE BEACH! 1 Bedroom | 1 Bathroom | NEW Kitchen with Lots of Storage! Spacious Living Room and Modern Style Flooring! NEW Bathroom and NEW Furnace! Enjoy Privacy With Fenced Backyard! Convenient Parking for 2 Cars! All-Age Gated Community! Walking Distance to Lots of Shopping and Dining Options! Great Location with Close Proximity to 55 and 405 Freeways!
-
2025-10-25status Pending Sale 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY - LIVE NEAR THE BEACH! 1 Bedroom | 1 Bathroom | NEW Kitchen with Lots of Storage! Spacious Living Room and Modern Style Flooring! NEW Bathroom and NEW Furnace! Enjoy Privacy With Fenced Backyard! Convenient Parking for 2 Cars! All-Age Gated Community! Walking Distance to Lots of Shopping and Dining Options! Great Location with Close Proximity to 55 and 405 Freeways!
-
2025-09-29historical Active Under Contract 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY - LIVE NEAR THE BEACH! 1 Bedroom | 1 Bathroom | NEW Kitchen with Lots of Storage! Spacious Living Room and Modern Style Flooring! NEW Bathroom and NEW Furnace! Enjoy Privacy With Fenced Backyard! Convenient Parking for 2 Cars! All-Age Gated Community! Walking Distance to Lots of Shopping and Dining Options! Great Location with Close Proximity to 55 and 405 Freeways!
-
2025-09-08$74,900 Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY - LIVE NEAR THE BEACH! 1 Bedroom | 1 Bathroom | NEW Kitchen with Lots of Storage! Spacious Living Room and Modern Style Flooring! NEW Bathroom and NEW Furnace! Enjoy Privacy With Fenced Backyard! Convenient Parking for 2 Cars! All-Age Gated Community! Walking Distance to Lots of Shopping and Dining Options! Great Location with Close Proximity to 55 and 405 Freeways!
-
2025-04-08soldstatus $15,000 Closed Sale
-
2025-03-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-03-02price $15,000
-
2024-11-11price $25,000
-
2024-09-26$49,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,629
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,290
- − Management
- −$2,290
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $16,165
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,880
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,517/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom manufactured home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Key areas for attention include exterior siding, interior walls, and landscaping. Paint and repair work can significantly enhance its appearance and appeal to potential buyers or renters.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate exterior siding — some discoloration
- Moderate interior walls — some discoloration
- Minor landscaping — some plants
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances appearance
- Resale repair exterior siding — improves curb appeal
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · some discoloration | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| interior walls · some discoloration | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| landscaping · some plants | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances appearance ↑
- Resale repair exterior siding — improves curb appeal ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport-Mesa Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0627240
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,922
- Composite
- 47.64/100
- National rank
- #2248
- State rank
- #106 of 517 in CA
Livability — Costa Mesa
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #558
- US rank
- #18441
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Costa Mesa, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 111,101
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,393
- Household income
- $108,994
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2889.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1520.53%
- Current HPI
- 455.1299
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.71%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+50.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-06 Listed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2025-11-03 Sold (MLS) $67,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-25 Pending — CRMLS
- 2025-09-29 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2025-09-08 Listed $74,900 CRMLS
- 2025-04-08 Sold (MLS) $15,000 CRMLS
- 2025-03-22 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2025-03-02 Price Changed $15,000 CRMLS
- 2024-11-11 Price Changed $25,000 CRMLS
- 2024-09-26 Listed $49,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…