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135 Tupelo Loop NE
B Composite 71.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$180,813

135 Tupelo Loop NE · Hinesville, GA 31316
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,664 sqft · Manufactured public records · 35 Days on market
Built 2004 1.76 ac lot $109/sqft · 24% below area Est $239k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

135 Tupelo Loop NE – Ludowici, GA 31316 – $180,813 Enjoy peaceful country living with room to spread out! This well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,664 square feet of comfortable living space and sits on a spacious 1.76-acre lot—no dirt road access, making daily travel easy and convenient. Inside, you'll find a large kitchen with a center island, abundant cabinetry, and plenty of counter space—perfect for cooking, meal prep, and gathering. The home features a more traditional layout with defined living spaces, offering privacy and functionality throughout. The owner's suite provides a relaxing retreat with double vanities and a large soaking tub. Three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living needs. Step outside to the back porch overlooking your private backyard—ideal for enjoying quiet mornings, evening relaxation, or entertaining while surrounded by nature. With its well-kept condition, spacious lot, and peaceful setting, this property is a great opportunity for anyone looking for country living with convenience to Fort Stewart and nearby amenities. Don't miss your chance to make this one yours!

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Large kitchen
  • Abundant cabinetry

Tags

LARGE KITCHENCENTER ISLANDABUNDANT CABINETRYPRIVATE BACKYARDBACK PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $181k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $181k).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.2% in Hinesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#51 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, commute D+, crime F.
  • Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 409 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $51k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $57k; list at $181k implies a 217% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,388 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
9.15%
Cash-on-cash
10.22%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$238,875
List price
$180,813
Delta
-24.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
135 Tupelo Loop NE 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,664 (0%) 0mo $183,000 $110 95
75 Willow Ln NE 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,792 (+8%) 6mo $192,500 $107 76
110 Willow Ln NE 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,792 (+8%) 17mo $190,000 $106 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$32,191
Equity at exit
$63,223
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$98,869
Equity at exit
$85,186

Cash invested: $50,628 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31316

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
409
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,958 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$948
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,103/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,412
Max offer price $180,813
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,203
Closing costs
$5,424
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1010 Barley Dr Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1472 $1,950 $1.32 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    historical Active Under Contract 1201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    135 Tupelo Loop NE - Ludowici, GA 31316 - $180,813 Enjoy peaceful country living with room to spread out! This well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,664 square feet of comfortable living space and sits on a spacious 1.76-acre lot-no dirt road access, making daily travel easy and convenient. Inside, you'll find a large kitchen with a center island, abundant cabinetry, and plenty of counter space-perfect for cooking, meal prep, and gathering. The home features a more traditional layout with defined living spaces, offering privacy and functionality throughout. The owner's suite provides a relaxing retreat with double vanities and a large soaking tub. Three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living needs. Step outside to the back porch overlooking your private backyard-ideal for enjoying quiet mornings, evening relaxation, or entertaining while surrounded by nature. With its well-kept condition, spacious lot, and peaceful setting, this property is a great opportunity for anyone looking for country living with convenience to Fort Stewart and nearby amenities. Don't miss your chance to make this one yours!

  2. 2026-05-14
    historical Active Under Contract 1177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    135 Tupelo Loop NE - Ludowici, GA 31316 - $180,813 Enjoy peaceful country living with room to spread out! This well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,664 square feet of comfortable living space and sits on a spacious 1.76-acre lot-no dirt road access, making daily travel easy and convenient. Inside, you'll find a large kitchen with a center island, abundant cabinetry, and plenty of counter space-perfect for cooking, meal prep, and gathering. The home features a more traditional layout with defined living spaces, offering privacy and functionality throughout. The owner's suite provides a relaxing retreat with double vanities and a large soaking tub. Three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living needs. Step outside to the back porch overlooking your private backyard-ideal for enjoying quiet mornings, evening relaxation, or entertaining while surrounded by nature. With its well-kept condition, spacious lot, and peaceful setting, this property is a great opportunity for anyone looking for country living with convenience to Fort Stewart and nearby amenities. Don't miss your chance to make this one yours!

  3. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    135 Tupelo Loop NE - Ludowici, GA 31316 - $180,813 Enjoy peaceful country living with room to spread out! This well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,664 square feet of comfortable living space and sits on a spacious 1.76-acre lot-no dirt road access, making daily travel easy and convenient. Inside, you'll find a large kitchen with a center island, abundant cabinetry, and plenty of counter space-perfect for cooking, meal prep, and gathering. The home features a more traditional layout with defined living spaces, offering privacy and functionality throughout. The owner's suite provides a relaxing retreat with double vanities and a large soaking tub. Three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living needs. Step outside to the back porch overlooking your private backyard-ideal for enjoying quiet mornings, evening relaxation, or entertaining while surrounded by nature. With its well-kept condition, spacious lot, and peaceful setting, this property is a great opportunity for anyone looking for country living with convenience to Fort Stewart and nearby amenities. Don't miss your chance to make this one yours!

  4. 2026-04-22
    listed $180,813 Active 1201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    135 Tupelo Loop NE - Ludowici, GA 31316 - $180,813 Enjoy peaceful country living with room to spread out! This well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,664 square feet of comfortable living space and sits on a spacious 1.76-acre lot-no dirt road access, making daily travel easy and convenient. Inside, you'll find a large kitchen with a center island, abundant cabinetry, and plenty of counter space-perfect for cooking, meal prep, and gathering. The home features a more traditional layout with defined living spaces, offering privacy and functionality throughout. The owner's suite provides a relaxing retreat with double vanities and a large soaking tub. Three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living needs. Step outside to the back porch overlooking your private backyard-ideal for enjoying quiet mornings, evening relaxation, or entertaining while surrounded by nature. With its well-kept condition, spacious lot, and peaceful setting, this property is a great opportunity for anyone looking for country living with convenience to Fort Stewart and nearby amenities. Don't miss your chance to make this one yours!

  5. 2026-04-22
    listed $180,813 New 1177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    135 Tupelo Loop NE - Ludowici, GA 31316 - $180,813 Enjoy peaceful country living with room to spread out! This well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,664 square feet of comfortable living space and sits on a spacious 1.76-acre lot-no dirt road access, making daily travel easy and convenient. Inside, you'll find a large kitchen with a center island, abundant cabinetry, and plenty of counter space-perfect for cooking, meal prep, and gathering. The home features a more traditional layout with defined living spaces, offering privacy and functionality throughout. The owner's suite provides a relaxing retreat with double vanities and a large soaking tub. Three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living needs. Step outside to the back porch overlooking your private backyard-ideal for enjoying quiet mornings, evening relaxation, or entertaining while surrounded by nature. With its well-kept condition, spacious lot, and peaceful setting, this property is a great opportunity for anyone looking for country living with convenience to Fort Stewart and nearby amenities. Don't miss your chance to make this one yours!

  6. 2026-04-22
    listed $180,813 Active
    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    135 Tupelo Loop NE - Ludowici, GA 31316 - $180,813 Enjoy peaceful country living with room to spread out! This well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,664 square feet of comfortable living space and sits on a spacious 1.76-acre lot-no dirt road access, making daily travel easy and convenient. Inside, you'll find a large kitchen with a center island, abundant cabinetry, and plenty of counter space-perfect for cooking, meal prep, and gathering. The home features a more traditional layout with defined living spaces, offering privacy and functionality throughout. The owner's suite provides a relaxing retreat with double vanities and a large soaking tub. Three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living needs. Step outside to the back porch overlooking your private backyard-ideal for enjoying quiet mornings, evening relaxation, or entertaining while surrounded by nature. With its well-kept condition, spacious lot, and peaceful setting, this property is a great opportunity for anyone looking for country living with convenience to Fort Stewart and nearby amenities. Don't miss your chance to make this one yours!

  7. 2026-04-22
    listed $180,813 Active
    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    135 Tupelo Loop NE - Ludowici, GA 31316 - $180,813 Enjoy peaceful country living with room to spread out! This well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,664 square feet of comfortable living space and sits on a spacious 1.76-acre lot-no dirt road access, making daily travel easy and convenient. Inside, you'll find a large kitchen with a center island, abundant cabinetry, and plenty of counter space-perfect for cooking, meal prep, and gathering. The home features a more traditional layout with defined living spaces, offering privacy and functionality throughout. The owner's suite provides a relaxing retreat with double vanities and a large soaking tub. Three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living needs. Step outside to the back porch overlooking your private backyard-ideal for enjoying quiet mornings, evening relaxation, or entertaining while surrounded by nature. With its well-kept condition, spacious lot, and peaceful setting, this property is a great opportunity for anyone looking for country living with convenience to Fort Stewart and nearby amenities. Don't miss your chance to make this one yours!

  8. 2010-06-30
    soldstatus $57,000
  9. 2010-04-08
    listed $59,900
  10. 2004-12-23
    soldstatus $15,900
  11. 2004-12-23
    soldstatus $120,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,103 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,663 · $139/mo
Expected delta
+$561/yr (+$47/mo · 50.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,492
− Mortgage interest
−$10,128
− Property taxes
−$1,103
− Insurance
−$904
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,879
− Management
−$1,879
− Depreciation
−$5,260
Taxable income
$2,338
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$561
After-tax cash flow
$4,612/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Long County
NCES district ID
1303360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$45,958
Composite
22.51/100
National rank
#8090
State rank
#115 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hinesville

Score
73/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#5200

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Long County · 13,812 people
City population
42,838
Metro
Hinesville, GA
Population (ZIP)
13,812
Household income
$74,766
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
109.0

Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,669 people
By 2030
28,223 · +14.4%
By 2040
35,430 · +43.6%
By 2050
42,403 · +71.9%
By 2075
56,996 · +131.0%
By 2100
64,185 · +160.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Long

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.16%
Current HPI
195.2978
Rent YoY
Metro
Hinesville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1037.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Contingent HABR
  • 2026-05-14 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending GIAR
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $180,813 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $180,813 GIAR
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $180,813 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $180,813 HABR
  • 2010-06-30 Sold (MLS) $57,000 Hive MLS
  • 2010-04-08 Listed $59,900 Hive MLS
  • 2004-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2004-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $15,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,103 · -27.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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