Multi-family
101 Roland Ave · Owenton, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$52,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Great Level Lot in City Limits. Perfect for Duplex or Condo. City Water and Sewer Available
Key facts
- 8,625 sq ft lot
- Listed 1178 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Land parcel
- Construction: Approximately 0.2 acre lot
- Exterior features: Cleared lot; Road frontage on city street and state road
Interior
- Interior features: Has view
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a multifamily listed at $52k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($585 rent vs $52k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 1.4% in Owenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#355 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Owen County (rural): math 24% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #120 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Owen County Elementary/Primary School (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #378 of 676 statewide, top 57%, 690 students, 62% FRL); Maurice Bowling Middle School (math 22% / reading 33%, grade F, #168 of 217 statewide, top 78%, 484 students, 62% FRL); Owen County High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #158 of 254 statewide, top 68%, 558 students, 53% FRL).
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 18 units permitted in Owen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($363 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Owen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 1179 days — a 12% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 1179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.11%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165 Holbrook St Unit 1 & 2 | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 | 2,344 | 21mo | $230,000 | $98 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.38×
- Total profit
- $34,928
- Equity at exit
- $47,296
- IRR
- 26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.66×
- Total profit
- $97,901
- Equity at exit
- $101,996
Cash invested: $14,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40359
- Home prices YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $585 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$275
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$66 /mo · $788/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$123
- Net cashflow
- $99
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,125
- Closing costs
- $1,575
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 E Adair St Owenton, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $585 | — | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $52,500 Active 1179 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $52,500 Active 1178 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $52,500 Active 1177 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $52,500 Active 1176 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $52,500 Active 1175 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $52,500 Active 1173 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $52,500 Active 1172 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $52,500 Active 1169 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $52,500 Active 1168 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $52,500 Active 1167 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $52,500 Active 1164 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $52,500 Active 1163 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $52,500 Active 1162 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $52,500 Active 1161 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,500 Active 1160 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $52,500 Active 1159 DOM
-
2025-09-26price $52,500
-
2023-03-28$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $7,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,941
- − Property taxes
- −$788
- − Insurance
- −$262
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$562
- − Management
- −$562
- − Depreciation
- −$1,527
- Taxable income
- $379
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$91
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and improvements to its exterior and landscaping to become move-in ready and attract buyers or renters.
Repairs flagged
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown grass and unkempt lawn need significant attention.
- Major Exterior Painting — The exterior appears aged and in need of fresh paint.
- Major Structural Inspection — The overall condition suggests potential structural issues that need assessment.
- Major Landscaping and Curb Appeal — The lawn and curb appeal need significant improvement to attract buyers or renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and Curb Appeal — Improving the lawn and curb appeal will enhance both resale and rental value.
- Both Exterior Painting — Fresh paint will improve the home's appearance and attract more buyers or renters.
- Both Structural Inspection — Ensuring the home is structurally sound will increase its value and attract more potential buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Landscaping · Overgrown grass and unkempt lawn need significant attention. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior Painting · The exterior appears aged and in need of fresh paint. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Structural Inspection · The overall condition suggests potential structural issues that need assessment. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping and Curb Appeal · The lawn and curb appeal need significant improvement to attract buyers or renters. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and Curb Appeal — Improving the lawn and curb appeal will enhance both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Exterior Painting — Fresh paint will improve the home's appearance and attract more buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Structural Inspection — Ensuring the home is structurally sound will increase its value and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Owen County
- NCES district ID
- 2104560
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,943
- Composite
- 23.84/100
- National rank
- #7804
- State rank
- #120 of 165 in KY
Livability — Owenton
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #355
- US rank
- #16856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Owenton, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,222
Population outlook (Owen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,496 people
- By 2030
- 10,251 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 9,650 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 8,984 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 7,589 · -27.7%
- By 2100
- 6,380 · -39.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Owen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.7) · D 18.0% · R 80.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.8pp · 2024: -62.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.7 2020: R+58.5 2016: R+53.7 2012: R+32.3 2008: R+26.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.56%
- Current HPI
- 215.21
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+5.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $52,500 NKMLS
- 2023-03-28 Listed $50,000 NKMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…