56 Pearl St · Sidney, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2-3 bedroom Sidney home, close to major employer's, shopping and schools. This would be a good house for thatstarter home, weekend getaway, or investment rental property. Hard wood floors. Large deck overlooks park like back yard setting. 1-car garage with opener. Excellent condition, no work to do. Living room with gas fireplace. Stone patio. Furnace and HW heater new 2004.
Key facts
- Public sewer
- Front and backyard
- Public water
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 5.9% in Sidney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Sidney Central School District (town): math 44% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #462 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.33%
- DSCR
- 3.91
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 69.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.82×
- Total profit
- $42,731
- Equity at exit
- $17,060
- IRR
- 69.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.85×
- Total profit
- $98,906
- Equity at exit
- $25,625
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13838
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,119 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $598/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $608
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2025-10-23status Pending
-
2025-10-08$39,900 Active
-
2007-08-27soldstatus $79,787
-
2007-08-24soldstatus $79,787 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
2-3 bedroom Sidney home, close to major employer's, shopping and schools. This would be a good house for thatstarter home, weekend getaway, or investment rental property. Hard wood floors. Large deck overlooks park like back yard setting. 1-car garage with opener. Excellent condition, no work to do. Living room with gas fireplace. Stone patio. Furnace and HW heater new 2004.
-
2007-04-27$79,000 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
2-3 bedroom Sidney home, close to major employer's, shopping and schools. This would be a good house for thatstarter home, weekend getaway, or investment rental property. Hard wood floors. Large deck overlooks park like back yard setting. 1-car garage with opener. Excellent condition, no work to do. Living room with gas fireplace. Stone patio. Furnace and HW heater new 2004.
-
2004-03-15soldstatus $59,900
-
2004-03-05soldstatus $59,500 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
Cute as a Dollhouse Absolutely adorable 2 bedroom home in park like setting. Living room with gas fireplace. Family/Dining area overlooking private yard. Homespun charm!
-
2004-01-20$59,900 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
Cute as a Dollhouse Absolutely adorable 2 bedroom home in park like setting. Living room with gas fireplace. Family/Dining area overlooking private yard. Homespun charm!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,427
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$598
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,074
- − Management
- −$1,074
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $7,085
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,700
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sidney Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626850
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,110
- Composite
- 38.29/100
- National rank
- #4232
- State rank
- #462 of 590 in NY
Livability — Sidney
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sidney, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,185
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,668 people
- By 2030
- 40,337 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 35,514 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 31,265 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 24,455 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 19,529 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 9% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Current HPI
- 324.4858
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-33.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-23 Pending — Global MLS
- 2025-10-08 Listed $39,900 Global MLS
- 2007-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $79,787 Public Records
- 2007-08-24 Sold (MLS) $79,787 UNYREIS
- 2007-04-27 Listed $79,000 UNYREIS
- 2004-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 2004-03-05 Sold (MLS) $59,500 UNYREIS
- 2004-01-20 Listed $59,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,636 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…