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111 W Warren St
A- Composite 81.22
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

111 W Warren St · Lebanon, OH 45036
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1901 10,846 sqft lot Est $138k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity in Lebanon! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers approximately 672 SF on a . 249 acre lot with detached garage, enclosed rear porch/sunroom, and original hardwood flooring. Property features tall ceilings, vinyl siding, stone foundation, front deck, and a functional layout ready for updates and improvements. Interior condition reflects the need for cosmetic updates and repairs including paint, flooring refinishing, kitchen and bath improvements, lighting, and general maintenance. Rear enclosed porch provides additional flex space and renovation potential. Detached garage and spacious backyard provide additional storage and outdoor space. Property is being sold AS-IS. Buyer respons

Key facts

  • Tall ceilings
  • Enclosed rear porch
  • Vinyl siding

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEENCLOSED REAR PORCHORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORINGTALL CEILINGSVINYL SIDINGSTONE FOUNDATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached one-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Stone accents
  • Exterior features: Irregular-shaped residential lot (~0.25 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (~14 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level (one ~10 x 10, one ~10 x 8)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Decorative wood-burning fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.5% in Lebanon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#457 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Lebanon City (suburban): math 67% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #151 of 656 in OH (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.42%
Cash-on-cash
21.90%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,760
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
111 W Warren St 0.00mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 1mo $100,000 $149 100
12 N Water St 0.11mi 1/1.0 (-1) 700 (+4%) 12mo $168,000 $240 73
117 W Silver St 0.07mi 2/1.0 733 (+9%) 11mo $149,900 $205 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$20,609
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
29.1%
Equity multiple
4.24×
Total profit
$90,821
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45036

Rents YoY
8.3%
Active inventory
289
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,472 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,027/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$455

Break-even live

Break-even rent $895
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $512 -5% $484 +0% $455 +5% $427 +10% $399
Rent -10% $339 -5% $397 +0% $455 +5% $514 +10% $572
Rate -1.0pp $506 -0.5pp $481 base $455 +0.5pp $429 +1.0pp $403

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-16
    listed $100,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,027 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,294 · $108/mo
Expected delta
+$266/yr (+$22/mo · 25.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,660
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,027
− Insurance
−$1,166
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,413
− Management
−$1,413
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$4,130
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$991
After-tax cash flow
$4,473/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lebanon City
NCES district ID
3904421
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$66,118
Composite
59.25/100
National rank
#936
State rank
#151 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lebanon

Score
70/100
State rank
#457
US rank
#7561

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lebanon, OH
County
Warren County · 196,906 people
City population
42,204
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
42,204
Household income
$99,128
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
904.0

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,603 people
By 2030
259,345 · +4.3%
By 2040
277,666 · +11.7%
By 2050
289,599 · +16.5%
By 2075
311,681 · +25.4%
By 2100
302,738 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -165.95%
Current HPI
239.4833
Rent YoY
▲ 8.33%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $100,000 Dayton MLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,027 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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