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918 Edgerton St
C Composite 57.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

918 Edgerton St · St. Paul, MN 55130
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,263 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1898 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come check out this beautiful 3 bed, 1 bath home! Right across from it is a recreation center with playground and big open field.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1898
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt parking
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; One-and-a-half stories; Main living area about 1,263 (above grade)
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Lot dimensions about 51x104 (0.12 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 13x14)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total — two on the main level and one on the upper level; Bedroom sizes approximately 8x13, 8x14, and 8x16
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (upper level, approx. 7x9)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One-and-a-half story layout; Basement with block foundation

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,264/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 818% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $200k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.79%
Cash-on-cash
8.92%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-7,198
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$32,606
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55130

Home prices YoY
-17.6%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,264 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$241 /mo · $2,892/yr
Insurance
$83
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$475
Net cashflow
$361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,808
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
330 9th St E St Paul, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 978 $2,495 $2.55 3d 3 1.22mi
250 6th St E St Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 980 $2,868 $2.93 2d 16 1.44mi
240 5th St E St Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 949 $2,770 $2.92 2d 10 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $199,900 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    remarks 129-char remark
  4. 2026-06-13
    listed $199,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,892 · $241/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,892 · $241/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,171
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,892
− Insurance
−$1,666
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,174
− Management
−$2,174
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$1,253
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$301
After-tax cash flow
$4,027/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
17,775
Household income
$54,130
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
818.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 47% Black 22% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Swedish 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
33% · Philippines, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
44% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 37% Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.12%
Current HPI
281.2507
Rent YoY
▲ 3.94%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,892 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…