167 Bluegrass Ave · Twentynine Palms, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Desert cabin retreat on 5 acres with endless high-desert views and huge potential. This 1,000 sq ft, 1-bedroom, 1-bath cabin features a charming wood-beam ceiling that adds warmth and character to the main living areas. Water and power are already on the property, making this an ideal fixer-upper for buyers ready to bring their vision to life. The secluded setting offers expansive desert scenery in every direction, providing privacy, tranquility, and stunning sunrise and sunset vistas. Outside, a very large tool shed offers excellent storage or workspace, perfect for projects, gear, or future improvements. Whether you’re seeking a personal desert hideaway, an artist’s retreat, or an investment opportunity, this Twentynine Palms cabin delivers space, utilities, and setting—all on a rare 5-acre parcel
Key facts
- Wood-beam ceiling
- High-desert views
- Desert cabin retreat
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.3% in Twentynine Palms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#622 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, employment D-.
- Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.95%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $283,615
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -72.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $22,025
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $69,924
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92277
- Home prices YoY
- -3.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 734
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,343 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $515
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $79,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-02-12$89,000 Active 828-char remark
Show marketing remark (828 chars)
Desert cabin retreat on 5 acres with endless high-desert views and huge potential. This 1,000 sq ft, 1-bedroom, 1-bath cabin features a charming wood-beam ceiling that adds warmth and character to the main living areas. Water and power are already on the property, making this an ideal fixer-upper for buyers ready to bring their vision to life. The secluded setting offers expansive desert scenery in every direction, providing privacy, tranquility, and stunning sunrise and sunset vistas. Outside, a very large tool shed offers excellent storage or workspace, perfect for projects, gear, or future improvements. Whether you’re seeking a personal desert hideaway, an artist’s retreat, or an investment opportunity, this Twentynine Palms cabin delivers space, utilities, and setting—all on a rare 5-acre parcel
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,290
- − Management
- −$1,290
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $5,237
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,257
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,926/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
This property is in a poor condition and requires extensive repairs and updates to become habitable and attractive.
Repairs flagged
- Major Structural integrity — The property appears abandoned and may have structural issues.
- Major Electrical and plumbing systems — No visible signs of functioning systems.
- Major Roof — No roof is visible in the photos, indicating potential roof damage or absence.
- Major Interior walls and paint — No interior walls or paint are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence.
- Major Bathrooms and kitchen — No bathrooms or kitchen are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence.
- Major HVAC and mechanical systems — No HVAC or mechanical systems are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence.
- Major Landscaping and curb appeal — The property is surrounded by desert vegetation and appears unkempt, indicating potential landscaping and curb appeal issues.
- Major Foundation and structure — No foundation or structure is visible in the photos, indicating potential foundation and structure issues.
- Major Windows — No windows are visible in the photos, indicating potential window issues.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Structural repairs and stabilization — Structural repairs are necessary to ensure the property is safe and habitable.
- Both Electrical and plumbing systems — Electrical and plumbing systems need to be installed or repaired to make the property livable.
- Both Roof repair or replacement — A new roof is needed to protect the property from weather damage.
- Both Interior walls and paint — Interior walls and paint need to be repaired or replaced to make the property habitable.
- Both Bathrooms and kitchen — Bathrooms and kitchen need to be installed or repaired to make the property livable.
- Both HVAC and mechanical systems — HVAC and mechanical systems need to be installed or repaired to make the property habitable.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal need to be improved to make the property more attractive.
- Both Foundation and structure — Foundation and structure need to be repaired or replaced to ensure the property is safe and habitable.
- Both Windows — Windows need to be installed or repaired to make the property habitable.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Structural integrity · The property appears abandoned and may have structural issues. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Electrical and plumbing systems · No visible signs of functioning systems. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Roof · No roof is visible in the photos, indicating potential roof damage or absence. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls and paint · No interior walls or paint are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathrooms and kitchen · No bathrooms or kitchen are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC and mechanical systems · No HVAC or mechanical systems are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping and curb appeal · The property is surrounded by desert vegetation and appears unkempt, indicating potential landscaping and curb appeal issues. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Foundation and structure · No foundation or structure is visible in the photos, indicating potential foundation and structure issues. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · No windows are visible in the photos, indicating potential window issues. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 9 items | $135,000–450,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Structural repairs and stabilization — Structural repairs are necessary to ensure the property is safe and habitable. ↑
- Both Electrical and plumbing systems — Electrical and plumbing systems need to be installed or repaired to make the property livable. ↑
- Both Roof repair or replacement — A new roof is needed to protect the property from weather damage. ↑
- Both Interior walls and paint — Interior walls and paint need to be repaired or replaced to make the property habitable. ↑
- Both Bathrooms and kitchen — Bathrooms and kitchen need to be installed or repaired to make the property livable. ↑
- Both HVAC and mechanical systems — HVAC and mechanical systems need to be installed or repaired to make the property habitable. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal need to be improved to make the property more attractive. ↑
- Both Foundation and structure — Foundation and structure need to be repaired or replaced to ensure the property is safe and habitable. ↑
- Both Windows — Windows need to be installed or repaired to make the property habitable. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morongo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625860
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,399
- Composite
- 22.19/100
- National rank
- #8156
- State rank
- #395 of 517 in CA
Livability — Twentynine Palms
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #622
- US rank
- #19731
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 26,277
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,277
- Household income
- $60,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1057.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Two or more races 24% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 9% Asian 4% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.15%
- Current HPI
- 380.5083
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.45%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Listed $89,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…