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167 Bluegrass Ave
B- Composite 67.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

167 Bluegrass Ave · Twentynine Palms, CA 92277
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 981 sqft · SingleFamily · 126 Days on market
Built 1957 Poor condition 5.00 ac lot $81/sqft · 72% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Desert cabin retreat on 5 acres with endless high-desert views and huge potential. This 1,000 sq ft, 1-bedroom, 1-bath cabin features a charming wood-beam ceiling that adds warmth and character to the main living areas. Water and power are already on the property, making this an ideal fixer-upper for buyers ready to bring their vision to life. The secluded setting offers expansive desert scenery in every direction, providing privacy, tranquility, and stunning sunrise and sunset vistas. Outside, a very large tool shed offers excellent storage or workspace, perfect for projects, gear, or future improvements. Whether you’re seeking a personal desert hideaway, an artist’s retreat, or an investment opportunity, this Twentynine Palms cabin delivers space, utilities, and setting—all on a rare 5-acre parcel

Key facts

  • Wood-beam ceiling
  • High-desert views
  • Desert cabin retreat

Tags

DESERT CABIN RETREATHIGH-DESERT VIEWSWOOD-BEAM CEILINGWATER AND POWERSECLUDED SETTINGEXPANSIVE DESERT SCENERY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.3% in Twentynine Palms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#622 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
14.12%
Cash-on-cash
27.95%
DSCR
2.24
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$283,615
List price
$79,000
Delta
-72.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$22,025
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
32.5%
Equity multiple
4.16×
Total profit
$69,924
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92277

Home prices YoY
-3.1%
Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
734
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,343 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$515

Break-even live

Break-even rent $691
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 126 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 121 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 117 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 116 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 115 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,000 Active 112 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 111 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $79,000 Active 109 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 108 DOM
  15. 2026-02-12
    listed $89,000 Active 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Desert cabin retreat on 5 acres with endless high-desert views and huge potential. This 1,000 sq ft, 1-bedroom, 1-bath cabin features a charming wood-beam ceiling that adds warmth and character to the main living areas. Water and power are already on the property, making this an ideal fixer-upper for buyers ready to bring their vision to life. The secluded setting offers expansive desert scenery in every direction, providing privacy, tranquility, and stunning sunrise and sunset vistas. Outside, a very large tool shed offers excellent storage or workspace, perfect for projects, gear, or future improvements. Whether you’re seeking a personal desert hideaway, an artist’s retreat, or an investment opportunity, this Twentynine Palms cabin delivers space, utilities, and setting—all on a rare 5-acre parcel

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,120
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,185
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,290
− Management
−$1,290
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$5,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,257
After-tax cash flow
$4,926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property is in a poor condition and requires extensive repairs and updates to become habitable and attractive.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Structural integrity — The property appears abandoned and may have structural issues.
  • Major Electrical and plumbing systems — No visible signs of functioning systems.
  • Major Roof — No roof is visible in the photos, indicating potential roof damage or absence.
  • Major Interior walls and paint — No interior walls or paint are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence.
  • Major Bathrooms and kitchen — No bathrooms or kitchen are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence.
  • Major HVAC and mechanical systems — No HVAC or mechanical systems are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence.
  • Major Landscaping and curb appeal — The property is surrounded by desert vegetation and appears unkempt, indicating potential landscaping and curb appeal issues.
  • Major Foundation and structure — No foundation or structure is visible in the photos, indicating potential foundation and structure issues.
  • Major Windows — No windows are visible in the photos, indicating potential window issues.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Structural repairs and stabilization — Structural repairs are necessary to ensure the property is safe and habitable.
  • Both Electrical and plumbing systems — Electrical and plumbing systems need to be installed or repaired to make the property livable.
  • Both Roof repair or replacement — A new roof is needed to protect the property from weather damage.
  • Both Interior walls and paint — Interior walls and paint need to be repaired or replaced to make the property habitable.
  • Both Bathrooms and kitchen — Bathrooms and kitchen need to be installed or repaired to make the property livable.
  • Both HVAC and mechanical systems — HVAC and mechanical systems need to be installed or repaired to make the property habitable.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal need to be improved to make the property more attractive.
  • Both Foundation and structure — Foundation and structure need to be repaired or replaced to ensure the property is safe and habitable.
  • Both Windows — Windows need to be installed or repaired to make the property habitable.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Structural integrity · The property appears abandoned and may have structural issues. Major $15,000–50,000
Electrical and plumbing systems · No visible signs of functioning systems. Major $15,000–50,000
Roof · No roof is visible in the photos, indicating potential roof damage or absence. Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls and paint · No interior walls or paint are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence. Major $15,000–50,000
Bathrooms and kitchen · No bathrooms or kitchen are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC and mechanical systems · No HVAC or mechanical systems are visible in the photos, indicating potential damage or absence. Major $15,000–50,000
Landscaping and curb appeal · The property is surrounded by desert vegetation and appears unkempt, indicating potential landscaping and curb appeal issues. Major $15,000–50,000
Foundation and structure · No foundation or structure is visible in the photos, indicating potential foundation and structure issues. Major $15,000–50,000
Windows · No windows are visible in the photos, indicating potential window issues. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 9 items $135,000–450,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Structural repairs and stabilization — Structural repairs are necessary to ensure the property is safe and habitable.
  • Both Electrical and plumbing systems — Electrical and plumbing systems need to be installed or repaired to make the property livable.
  • Both Roof repair or replacement — A new roof is needed to protect the property from weather damage.
  • Both Interior walls and paint — Interior walls and paint need to be repaired or replaced to make the property habitable.
  • Both Bathrooms and kitchen — Bathrooms and kitchen need to be installed or repaired to make the property livable.
  • Both HVAC and mechanical systems — HVAC and mechanical systems need to be installed or repaired to make the property habitable.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal need to be improved to make the property more attractive.
  • Both Foundation and structure — Foundation and structure need to be repaired or replaced to ensure the property is safe and habitable.
  • Both Windows — Windows need to be installed or repaired to make the property habitable.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morongo Unified
NCES district ID
0625860
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,399
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8156
State rank
#395 of 517 in CA

Livability — Twentynine Palms

Score
59/100
State rank
#622
US rank
#19731

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
26,277
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
26,277
Household income
$60,901
Rent vs Own
56.7% rent · 43.3% own
Severe rent burden
1057.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Two or more races 24% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 9% Asian 4% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.15%
Current HPI
380.5083
Rent YoY
▲ 4.45%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $89,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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