270 Ridgeview Dr · Gumlog, GA 30553

$70,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Other · 178 Days on market

Built 1972 0.25 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This property presents an appealing option for investors, offering an established residence with an expanded layout that provides additional living space and functional usability. The dual-lot setup creates room for parking, outdoor equipment, or potential enhancements, supporting a range of future possibilities. Positioned close to Lavonia, I-85, and local recreational amenities, this property offers a practical opportunity within the Gumlog/Lake Hartwell market.

Key facts

• Expanded layout
• Dual-lot setup
• 0.25 acre lot

Tags

• EXPANDED LAYOUT
• DUAL-LOT SETUP
• LOCAL RECREATIONAL AMENITIES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $938 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 2.7% in Gumlog — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#185 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Franklin County (rural): math 38% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #61 of 174 in GA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 163 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.57% ✓
• Cap rate: 22.38%
• Cash-on-cash: 57.44%
• DSCR: 3.56
• GRM: 3.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 55.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.47×
• Total profit: $48,442
• Equity at exit: $10,437

10-year hold

• IRR: 60.9%
• Equity multiple: 7.08×
• Total profit: $119,240
• Equity at exit: $6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 30553

• Home prices YoY: -7.0%
• Active inventory: 144
• Price-to-rent: 3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,800 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$378
• Net cashflow: $938

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612

Max offer price $70,000

Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $987	-5% $962	+0% $938	+5% $914	+10% $890
Rent	-10% $796	-5% $867	+0% $938	+5% $1,009	+10% $1,080
Rate	-1.0pp $973	-0.5pp $956	base $938	+0.5pp $920	+1.0pp $902

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,500
• Closing costs: $2,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
790 Normandy Trl Lavonia, GA	2.0	1.5	1008	$1,800	$1.79	45d	1	0.19mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-31
   days on market $70,000 Active 178 DOM
2. 2026-05-31
   days on market $70,000 Active 177 DOM
3. 2025-11-10
   listed $70,000 New 468-char remark

   Show marketing remark (468 chars)

   This property presents an appealing option for investors, offering an established residence with an expanded layout that provides additional living space and functional usability. The dual-lot setup creates room for parking, outdoor equipment, or potential enhancements, supporting a range of future possibilities. Positioned close to Lavonia, I-85, and local recreational amenities, this property offers a practical opportunity within the Gumlog/Lake Hartwell market.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,600
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,921
• − Property taxes: −$1,050
• − Insurance: −$350
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,728
• − Management: −$1,728
• − Depreciation: −$2,036
• Taxable income: $10,787
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,589
• After-tax cash flow: $8,670/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Franklin County
• NCES district ID: 1302250
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $35,985
• Composite: 30.28/100
• National rank: #6281
• State rank: #61 of 174 in GA

Livability — Gumlog

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #185
• US rank: #11633

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Gumlog, GA
• Population (ZIP): 8,454

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 22,625 people
• By 2030: 22,725 · +0.4%
• By 2040: 22,806 · +0.8%
• By 2050: 22,713 · +0.4%
• By 2075: 22,514 · -0.5%
• By 2100: 20,768 · -8.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+72.6) · D 13.6% · R 86.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.1pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -72.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+72.6 2020: R+69.5 2016: R+68.6 2012: R+59.5 2008: R+51.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -28.92%
• Current HPI: 385.1997
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2025-11-10 Listed $70,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $44 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.