123 Sugar Cane Way · Thibodaux, LA 70301

$115,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,360 sqft · SingleFamily

7,405 sqft lot Est $207k · 44% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.5/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +9.6/10.0
• 1% rule +7.5/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Fence with purchase!! Welcome Home! This affordable 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom brick home is located in a peaceful subdivision, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Enjoy the covered carport for 1 car, and a slab foundation ensuring a stable and solid living space. Step inside to find a galley style kitchen featuring all appliances, ample counterspace perfect for meal preparation and an abundance of cabinets for extra storage. The dining is located off the kitchen and seamlessly flows into the spacious living room. Down the hall, you'll find two guest bedrooms and a guest bathroom, a separate laundry closet (washer and dryer included!) and the primary bedroom. The primary bedro

Key facts

• 7,405 sq ft lot
• 2 parking spots

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
• Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.8% in Thibodaux — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in LA, #723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
• Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 513 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.84%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.68%
• DSCR: 1.56
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $206,720
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
104 Ribbon Cane Dr	0.09mi	3/2.0	1,360 (0%)	3mo	$115,000	$85	94
1320 Tiger Dr	0.17mi	3/1.5	1,455 (+7%)	1mo	$198,000	$136	78
201 Darlene St	0.25mi	3/2.0	1,438 (+6%)	1mo	$215,000	$150	78
1143 W Camellia Dr	0.42mi	3/2.0	1,397 (+3%)	1mo	$200,000	$143	75
202 Herrington Dr	0.27mi	3/2.0	1,463 (+8%)	2mo	$195,000	$133	74
212 Darlene St	0.24mi	3/2.0	1,463 (+8%)	4mo	$225,000	$154	73
2552 Pineneedle St	0.56mi	3/2.0	1,372 (+1%)	4mo	$215,000	$157	69
2552 Pineneedle St	0.56mi	3/2.0	1,372 (+1%)	4mo	$215,000	$157	69
1109 Park Dr	0.62mi	3/2.0	1,377 (+1%)	1mo	$218,000	$158	69
2575 Pineridge St	0.64mi	3/2.0	1,431 (+5%)	2mo	$210,000	$147	60
2584 Pineridge St	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,483 (+9%)	2mo	$225,000	$152	51
2574 Pineridge St	0.66mi	3/2.0	1,483 (+9%)	6mo	$235,000	$158	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 2.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.09×
• Total profit: $2,906
• Equity at exit: $17,147

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.93×
• Total profit: $29,923
• Equity at exit: $9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70301

• Rents YoY: 2.9%
• Active inventory: 513
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,437 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$603
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
• Insurance: −$48
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$302
• Net cashflow: $340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006

Max offer price $115,000

Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $28,750
• Closing costs: $3,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2314 Saint Bernard St Thibodaux, LA	2.0	1.5	909	$1,300	$1.43	43d	1	0.22mi
108 Wolfe St Thibodaux, LA	2.0	2.0	1018	$1,085	$1.07	43d	1	0.33mi
1200 Louise St Thibodaux, LA	2.0–3.0	1.0	939	$1,325	$1.41	43d	6	0.40mi
304 Bradford St Thibodaux, LA	3.0	1.0	1400	$1,150	$0.82	43d	1	1.11mi
1712 Ridgefield Ave Unit A Thibodaux, LA	2.0	1.0	900	$1,100	$1.22	43d	1	1.24mi

Listing history 1 events

1. 2025-11-01
   listed $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 13% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,239
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,442
• − Property taxes: −$1,725
• − Insurance: −$575
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,379
• − Management: −$1,379
• − Depreciation: −$3,345
• Taxable income: $2,393
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$574
• After-tax cash flow: $3,507/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lafourche Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200900
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -43.00%
• Reading proficiency: 49% ▼ -32.00%
• Median HH income: $49,703
• Composite: 34.4/100
• National rank: #5205
• State rank: #22 of 98 in LA

Livability — Thibodaux

• Score: 84/100
• State rank: #2
• US rank: #723

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Thibodaux, LA
• County: Lafourche Parish · 50,095 people
• City population: 50,095
• Metro: Houma-Thibodaux, LA
• Population (ZIP): 50,095
• Household income: $58,394
• Rent vs Own: 25.4% rent · 74.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1513.0

Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 102,122 people
• By 2030: 103,361 · +1.2%
• By 2040: 104,401 · +2.2%
• By 2050: 102,795 · +0.7%
• By 2075: 95,599 · -6.4%
• By 2100: 82,303 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 71% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 18% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -98.35%
• Current HPI: 124.5559
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• Metro: Houma-Thibodaux, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2025-11-01 Listed $115,000 AcadianaMLS