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1014 W 18th St
B+ Composite 75.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

1014 W 18th St · Lorain, OH 44052
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,054 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1900 5,662 sqft lot $75/sqft · 23% below area Est $103k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bank Owned - 'as Is'. Seller Will Make No Repairs. Earnest Money $1000

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual taxes reported (2025)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Vinyl-sided construction; Asphalt roof; Fixer condition; One-story entry (above grade finished area recorded at 1,054)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Driveway

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.9% in Lorain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, health & safety D.
  • Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $79k implies a 295% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,815 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
12.10%
Cash-on-cash
20.74%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$102,522
List price
$79,000
Delta
-22.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1725 Washington Ave 0.07mi 2/1.0 1,127 (+7%) 3mo $136,900 $121 82
1134 W 19th St 0.22mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,068 (+1%) 2mo $160,000 $150 79
1935 Hamilton Ave 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,160 (+10%) 3mo $165,000 $142 68
1035 W 12th St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+9%) 3mo $125,000 $109 64
813 W 17th St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 914 (-13%) 1mo $80,000 $88 61
2347 Oberlin Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,154 (+10%) 4mo $139,225 $121 59
1038 W 11th St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,172 (+11%) 1mo $135,000 $115 58
1202 Oberlin Ave 0.40mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,157 (+10%) 1mo $134,500 $116 57
1504 W 19th St 0.59mi 2/1.0 951 (-10%) 4mo $95,000 $100 53
1323 W 20th St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,199 (+14%) 5mo $124,000 $103 46
2349 Kelly Pl 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,164 (+10%) 1mo $110,210 $95 46
2246 Utica Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,170 (+11%) 6mo $162,500 $139 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$12,809
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$47,800
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44052

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,139 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $840/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$382

Break-even live

Break-even rent $655
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1421 Long Ave Lorain, OH 2.0 1.0 719 $1,140 $1.59 43d 1 0.29mi
939 W 22nd St Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,295 $1.36 43d 1 0.31mi
1053 Washington Ave Unit 2 Lorain, OH 1.0 1.0 990 $799 $0.81 12d 1 0.35mi
1053 Washington Ave Unit 4 Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1000 $899 $0.90 43d 1 0.35mi
1703 Oakdale Ave Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1237 $1,300 $1.05 3d 1 0.36mi
521 W 14th St Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 968 $950 $0.98 43d 1 0.39mi
2307 Washington Ave Lorain, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0 880 $1,224 $1.39 1d 1 0.41mi
420 W 12th St Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1204 $1,650 $1.37 4d 1 0.45mi
1724 Lexington Ave Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,215 $1.06 23d 1 0.47mi
1031 W 9th St Lorain, OH 2.0 1.0 854 $895 $1.05 23d 1 0.47mi
944 S Central Dr Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 23d 1 0.53mi
942 S Central Dr Lorain, OH 2.0 1.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 23d 1 0.54mi
938 S Central Dr Lorain, OH 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 43d 1 0.54mi
936 S Central Dr Lorain, OH 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 23d 1 0.55mi
509 W 24th St Lorain, OH 2.0 1.0 1036 $1,400 $1.35 43d 1 0.62mi
128 W 22nd St Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1402 $1,470 $1.05 43d 1 0.70mi
1712 W 12th St Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 996 $1,295 $1.30 23d 1 0.77mi
516 Washington Ave Unit 516 A Lorain, OH 1.0 1.0 1008 $915 $0.91 43d 1 0.77mi
1028 W 5th St Lorain, OH 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,650 $1.32 43d 1 0.80mi
1223 W 5th St Lorain, OH 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,150 $1.00 12d 1 0.80mi
1239 W 5th St Unit 1 Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 23d 1 0.82mi
336 W 29th St Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,350 $0.94 43d 1 0.88mi
1220 W Erie Ave Lorain, OH 2.0 2.0 1458 $1,050 $0.72 2d 1 0.93mi
2349 Elyria Ave Unit 2 Lorain, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $925 $1.16 43d 1 0.97mi
2715 Apple Ave Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 1240 $1,311 $1.06 43d 1 1.03mi
2550 Elyria Ave Unit 2 Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 765 $1,200 $1.57 7d 1 1.04mi
117 W 30th St Lorain, OH 2.0 1.0 1344 $925 $0.69 43d 1 1.06mi
860 Colorado Ave Lorain, OH 2.0 1.0 825 $1,225 $1.48 43d 1 1.24mi
3132 Elyria Ave Lorain, OH 3.0 1.5 1109 $1,250 $1.13 43d 1 1.26mi
1312 W 37th St Lorain, OH 2.0 1.0 810 $1,200 $1.48 43d 1 1.26mi
2809 W Erie Ave Lorain, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,049 $1.31 1d 1 1.36mi
612 E 33rd St Lorain, OH 3.0 1.0 960 $995 $1.04 43d 1 1.45mi
810 E Erie Ave #4 Lorain, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $895 $0.75 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $79,000 Pending 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Contingent 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Contingent 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Contingent 19 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Contingent 18 DOM
  6. 2026-05-13
    listed $79,000 Active 385-char remark
  7. 2011-09-30
    soldstatus $20,000
  8. 2007-06-07
    soldstatus $17,000 70-char remark
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    Bank Owned - 'as Is'. Seller Will Make No Repairs. Earnest Money $1000

  9. 2007-04-16
    listed $20,900 70-char remark
    Show marketing remark (70 chars)

    Bank Owned - 'as Is'. Seller Will Make No Repairs. Earnest Money $1000

  10. 2007-04-03
    historical
  11. 2006-07-03
    listed $20,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$840 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,036 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$196/yr (+$16/mo · 23.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,664
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$840
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,093
− Management
−$1,093
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$3,519
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$844
After-tax cash flow
$3,743/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lorain City
NCES district ID
3904426
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$32,823
Composite
15.81/100
National rank
#9266
State rank
#633 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lorain

Score
67/100
State rank
#595
US rank
#10183

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lorain, OH
County
Lorain County · 219,437 people
City population
69,409
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
28,282
Household income
$45,023
Rent vs Own
46.0% rent · 54.0% own
Severe rent burden
1423.0

Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,924 people
By 2030
317,546 · +0.8%
By 2040
317,962 · +1.0%
By 2050
312,872 · -0.7%
By 2075
301,806 · -4.2%
By 2100
278,271 · -11.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 21% Two or more races 16%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 17%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Lorain

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.23%
Current HPI
186.9657
Rent YoY
▲ 4.09%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+278.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-26 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $79,000 MLSNOW
  • 2011-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2007-06-07 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MLSNOW
  • 2007-04-16 Listed $20,900 MLSNOW
  • 2007-04-03 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2006-07-03 Listed $20,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $840 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…