1014 W 18th St · Lorain, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bank Owned - 'as Is'. Seller Will Make No Repairs. Earnest Money $1000
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes reported (2025)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Vinyl-sided construction; Asphalt roof; Fixer condition; One-story entry (above grade finished area recorded at 1,054)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Driveway
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.9% in Lorain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, health & safety D.
- Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $79k implies a 295% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.74%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,522
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -22.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1725 Washington Ave | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 1,127 (+7%) | 3mo | $136,900 | $121 | 82 |
| 1134 W 19th St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,068 (+1%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $150 | 79 |
| 1935 Hamilton Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+10%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $142 | 68 |
| 1035 W 12th St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+9%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $109 | 64 |
| 813 W 17th St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 914 (-13%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $88 | 61 |
| 2347 Oberlin Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 1,154 (+10%) | 4mo | $139,225 | $121 | 59 |
| 1038 W 11th St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,172 (+11%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $115 | 58 |
| 1202 Oberlin Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,157 (+10%) | 1mo | $134,500 | $116 | 57 |
| 1504 W 19th St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 951 (-10%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $100 | 53 |
| 1323 W 20th St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,199 (+14%) | 5mo | $124,000 | $103 | 46 |
| 2349 Kelly Pl | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,164 (+10%) | 1mo | $110,210 | $95 | 46 |
| 2246 Utica Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+11%) | 6mo | $162,500 | $139 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $12,809
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $47,800
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44052
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,139 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $840/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $382
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1421 Long Ave Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,140 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 939 W 22nd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1053 Washington Ave Unit 2 Lorain, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $799 | $0.81 | 12d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1053 Washington Ave Unit 4 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $899 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1703 Oakdale Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1237 | $1,300 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 521 W 14th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $950 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2307 Washington Ave Lorain, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,224 | $1.39 | 1d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 420 W 12th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,650 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1724 Lexington Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,215 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1031 W 9th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $895 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 944 S Central Dr Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 942 S Central Dr Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 938 S Central Dr Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 936 S Central Dr Lorain, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 509 W 24th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 128 W 22nd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1402 | $1,470 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1712 W 12th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,295 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 516 Washington Ave Unit 516 A Lorain, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $915 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1028 W 5th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1223 W 5th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1239 W 5th St Unit 1 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 336 W 29th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1220 W Erie Ave Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,050 | $0.72 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2349 Elyria Ave Unit 2 Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $925 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2715 Apple Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,311 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2550 Elyria Ave Unit 2 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,200 | $1.57 | 7d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 117 W 30th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $925 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 860 Colorado Ave Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,225 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3132 Elyria Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1109 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1312 W 37th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,200 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2809 W Erie Ave Lorain, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,049 | $1.31 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 612 E 33rd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $995 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 810 E Erie Ave #4 Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $895 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $79,000 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Contingent 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Contingent 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Contingent 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Contingent 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$79,000 Active 385-char remark
-
2011-09-30soldstatus $20,000
-
2007-06-07soldstatus $17,000 70-char remark
Show marketing remark (70 chars)
Bank Owned - 'as Is'. Seller Will Make No Repairs. Earnest Money $1000
-
2007-04-16$20,900 70-char remark
Show marketing remark (70 chars)
Bank Owned - 'as Is'. Seller Will Make No Repairs. Earnest Money $1000
-
2007-04-03historical
-
2006-07-03$20,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $840 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,036 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$196/yr (+$16/mo · 23.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$840
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,093
- − Management
- −$1,093
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $3,519
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$844
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,743/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lorain City
- NCES district ID
- 3904426
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,823
- Composite
- 15.81/100
- National rank
- #9266
- State rank
- #633 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lorain
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #595
- US rank
- #10183
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lorain, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 69,409
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,282
- Household income
- $45,023
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1423.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 21% Two or more races 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.23%
- Current HPI
- 186.9657
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.09%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+278.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-26 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-13 Listed $79,000 MLSNOW
- 2011-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-07 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MLSNOW
- 2007-04-16 Listed $20,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-04-03 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2006-07-03 Listed $20,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $840 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…