820 1st St NE #109 · Hartley, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.6/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to easy, carefree living at Morningside Estates in Hartley! This nice, clean, and spacious unit is a wonderful option for anyone ready to downsize while enjoying comfort, convenience, and community. The open-concept layout creates a bright, welcoming feel, and you’ll love the huge walk-in closet with attached laundry for everyday ease. Recent updates-including new flooring, fresh paint, and Hunter Douglas window coverings, make this home truly move-in ready. Morningside Estates offers more than just a place to live-it’s a lifestyle. Enjoy the inviting community room with full kitchen, a guest “hotel-style” suite available for visiting family and friends, and a game room filled with puzzles and activities. There’s always something happening here to keep you connected, active, and entertained. If you’re looking for low-maintenance living with built-in friendship and convenience right here in Hartley, this is a fantastic place to call home.
Key facts
- Huge walk-in closet
- Recent updates
- Attached laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($421/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $83k (7.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $83k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#177 in IA, #3,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn Community School District (rural): math 72% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #111 of 289 in IA (top 38%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn Elementary School (math 74% / reading 74%, grade A, #131 of 616 statewide, top 27%, 270 students, 52% FRL); Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn Middle School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A, #95 of 246 statewide, top 42%, 174 students, 51% FRL); Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn High School (math 72% / reading 77%, grade B+, #89 of 336 statewide, top 30%, 203 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in O'Brien County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- O'Brien County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.67%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,402
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- 13.22%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-12,319
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-7,796
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51346
- Home prices YoY
- -20.4%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $831 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$174
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $97 | -5% $66 | +0% $35 | +5% $4 | +10% $-27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-31 | -5% $2 | +0% $35 | +5% $68 | +10% $101 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $80 | -0.5pp $58 | base $35 | +0.5pp $12 | +1.0pp $-12 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-04-14$89,900 Active 995-char remark
Show marketing remark (995 chars)
Welcome to easy, carefree living at Morningside Estates in Hartley! This nice, clean, and spacious unit is a wonderful option for anyone ready to downsize while enjoying comfort, convenience, and community. The open-concept layout creates a bright, welcoming feel, and you’ll love the huge walk-in closet with attached laundry for everyday ease. Recent updates-including new flooring, fresh paint, and Hunter Douglas window coverings, make this home truly move-in ready. Morningside Estates offers more than just a place to live-it’s a lifestyle. Enjoy the inviting community room with full kitchen, a guest “hotel-style” suite available for visiting family and friends, and a game room filled with puzzles and activities. There’s always something happening here to keep you connected, active, and entertained. If you’re looking for low-maintenance living with built-in friendship and convenience right here in Hartley, this is a fantastic place to call home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,971
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$798
- − Management
- −$798
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable loss
- −$1,074
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$258
- After-tax cash flow
- $679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This single-family home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. It offers a spacious layout and is move-in ready.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn wood
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Standard fixtures
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves durability and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn wood | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Standard fixtures | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves durability and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1913660
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,177
- Composite
- 61.08/100
- National rank
- #790
- State rank
- #111 of 289 in IA
Livability — Hartley
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #3188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hartley, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,211
Population outlook (O'Brien County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,353 people
- By 2030
- 13,040 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 12,422 · -7.0%
- By 2050
- 11,887 · -11.0%
- By 2075
- 11,132 · -16.6%
- By 2100
- 10,176 · -23.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 16% Portuguese 7% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · O'Brien
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.9) · D 19.0% · R 80.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -34.9pp · 2024: -60.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.9 2020: R+56.8 2016: R+60.2 2012: R+45.2 2008: R+34.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.28%
- Current HPI
- 160.6681
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed $89,900 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…