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790 Thurston Rd Duplex
D+ Composite 48.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

790 Thurston Rd · Rochester, NY 14619
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,150 sqft · MultiFamily · 10 Days on market
Built 1925 Good condition 5,880 sqft lot Est $221k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Transparent Pricing!!!! - Meticulously maintained originally built upper/lower duplex located in the highly desirable 19th Ward! This fully renovated property is a true turn-key investment, offering many updates throughout. Each unit features a spacious 2 bedroom, 1 bath layout with separate utilities. Both units has been completely gutted and beautifully redone, and showcase stunning hardwood floors, updated kitchens with stainless steel appliances and quality KraftMaid cabinetry. Major improvements provide peace of mind, including all new vinyl windows, updated 200-amp electrical service for each unit, newer high-efficiency furnaces (the lower unit furnace is just 1 year old), and two cen

Key facts

  • New vinyl windows
  • Updated kitchens
  • 5,880 sq ft lot

Tags

FULLY RENOVATED PROPERTYUPDATED KITCHENSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESQUALITY KRAFTMAID CABINETRYNEW VINYL WINDOWSUPDATED ELECTRICAL SERVICE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $270k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $240/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $269,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.63%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$221,450
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
790 Thurston Rd 0.00mi 4/2.0 2,150 (0%) 1mo $290,000 $135 99
178 Fairview Ave 0.13mi 4/2.0 2,016 (-6%) 0mo $240,000 $119 83
741 Genesee Park Blvd 0.30mi 4/2.0 2,048 (-5%) 7mo $220,000 $107 73
343 Genesee Park Blvd 0.22mi 4/2.0 2,208 (+3%) 17mo $240,000 $109 71
185 Fairview Ave 0.13mi 4/2.0 2,312 (+8%) 15mo $200,000 $87 69
3-5 Ravenwood Ave 0.70mi 4/2.0 2,152 (+0%) 8mo $210,000 $98 60
151 Anthony St #153 0.54mi 4/2.0 2,088 (-3%) 21mo $105,000 $50 52
140 Weldon St 0.44mi 4/2.0 2,012 (-6%) 21mo $170,000 $84 51
473 Sawyer St 0.47mi 4/2.0 2,378 (+11%) 13mo $245,000 $103 50
30-32 Rosalind St 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,861 (-13%) 17mo $60,000 $32 49
594 Thurston Rd 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,910 (-11%) 20mo $155,000 $81 46
26 - 28 Mineola St 0.56mi 4/2.0 2,468 (+15%) 12mo $330,000 $134 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-13,101
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$28,164
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14619

Home prices YoY
-10.0%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
15.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,969 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax est. 1.5%
$337 /mo · $4,048/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$623
Net cashflow
$480

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,361
Max offer price $269,900
Occupancy floor 79%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,969

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Virginia Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1453 $2,150 $1.48 2d 1 0.25mi
793 Woodbine Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1700 $2,200 $1.29 2d 1 0.30mi
485 Sawyer St Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 43d 1 0.47mi
485 Sawyer St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 2d 1 0.47mi
79 Evangeline St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1876 $2,500 $1.33 2d 1 0.49mi
1317 Genesee St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1720 $2,550 $1.48 2d 1 0.60mi
161 Fillmore St Rochester, NY 4.0 2.0 1612 $1,400 $0.87 14d 1 1.21mi
48 Thorndale Ter Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1700 $1,400 $0.82 14d 1 1.40mi
249 1/2 Columbia Ave #249 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,300 $0.81 14d 1 1.48mi
175 Lattimore Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1480 $2,265 $1.53 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-18
    listed $269,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,628
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$4,048
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,850
− Management
−$2,850
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable income
$1,559
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$374
After-tax cash flow
$5,389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This fully renovated and updated multi-family home in the 19th Ward is move-in ready with excellent curb appeal and high-quality finishes.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality.
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and appeal for potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality.
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and appeal for potential buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
City population
432,803
Population (ZIP)
14,223

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Swedish 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.67%
Current HPI
276.3851
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $269,900 UNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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