The Oakwood Plan · Georgetown, MI 49428

$427,500

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,205 sqft · SingleFamily · 476 Days on market

Excellent condition ↓ 4% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +6.2/10.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Cash flow +1.5/30.0
• 1% rule +0.0/10.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

e ultimate family home might just be the Oakwood. As you pass through the Oakwood's entrance, you're greeted immediately by a cozy main floor den, then the spacious gathering area-a versatile space that's as comfortable supporting an afternoon nap, as it is entertaining several guests. If you enter through the garage, your family gets a generous "landing zone" for shoes, boots, backpacks, and the like. A fully equipped kitchen, dining area, half bath and deck complete the main floor. Upstairs you'll find 4 bedrooms, including an owner's suite with a walk-in closet. Now, back down two stair flights, to the lower level where a potential 5th bedroom, full bath, and rec room are just waiting to be built in, should you decide to go ahead with those options. All this, and priced at less than you'd expect to pay for such an all-around fantastic family home!

Key facts

• 2 garage spots
• Listed 476 days

🏗️ New construction. The $427,500 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $596,136.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $428k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-28k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $260k (39.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (46.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $228k (46.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 1.6% vs local median 2.6% in Georgetown — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Hudsonville Public School District (suburban): math 55% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #32 of 540 in MI (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Georgetown Elementary School (math 67% / reading 74%, grade A-, #70 of 1,397 statewide, top 5%, 581 students, 10% FRL); Baldwin Street Middle School (math 48% / reading 73%, grade B+, #51 of 493 statewide, top 11%, 844 students, 13% FRL); Hudsonville High School (math 52% / reading 68%, grade C+, #73 of 713 statewide, top 11%, 1,513 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 252 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,237 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (443 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Ottawa County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 476 days — a 12% lower offer ($376k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $227,721 (46.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 476 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.38% ✗
• Cap rate: 1.62%
• Cash-on-cash: -16.68%
• DSCR: 0.26
• GRM: 21.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $596,136
• List price: $427,500
• Delta: -28.29%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8366 Bauerridge Ave	0.36mi	4/2.5	2,255 (+2%)	2mo	$560,000	$248	78
3353 Eagle Peak Dr	0.32mi	4/2.5	2,308 (+5%)	18mo	$550,000	$238	62
8316 Bauerridge Ave	0.38mi	4/2.5	2,407 (+9%)	7mo	$589,900	$245	61
8271 Ironstone Ave	0.48mi	4/3.0	2,225 (+1%)	16mo	$455,000	$204	60
8253 Eagle Peak Dr	0.32mi	4/2.5	2,308 (+5%)	24mo	$546,210	$237	57
8089 Eagle Peak Dr	0.48mi	4/2.5	2,434 (+10%)	5mo	$595,000	$244	56
8540 Twin Lakes Dr	0.65mi	5/3.0 (+1)	2,266 (+3%)	6mo	$550,000	$243	53
8253 Eagle Peak Dr	0.45mi	4/2.5	2,308 (+5%)	24mo	$546,210	$237	51
8143 Eagle Peak Dr	0.42mi	4/2.5	2,479 (+12%)	19mo	$575,900	$232	44
3048 Gilmore Ln	0.73mi	4/2.5	1,946 (-12%)	15mo	$420,000	$216	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -49.1%
• Equity multiple: -0.46×
• Total profit: $-244,376
• Equity at exit: $88,886

10-year hold

• IRR: -96.4%
• Equity multiple: -1.41×
• Total profit: $-402,989
• Equity at exit: $51,543

Cash invested: $166,918 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 23 active · 7 under contract
• Months of supply: 17.2 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $531,000 ($249/sqft)
• Median days on market: 155 d
• This list price: 4% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +8.7% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 49428

• Active inventory: 252
• Price-to-rent: 15.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,277 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,126
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$745 /mo · $8,942/yr
• Insurance: −$248
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$478
• Net cashflow: $-2,321

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,215

Max offer price $260,318

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-1,909	-5% $-2,115	+0% $-2,321	+5% $-2,527	+10% $-2,733
Rent	-10% $-2,501	-5% $-2,411	+0% $-2,321	+5% $-2,231	+10% $-2,141
Rate	-1.0pp $-2,021	-0.5pp $-2,169	base $-2,321	+0.5pp $-2,475	+1.0pp $-2,632

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $149,034
• Closing costs: $17,884
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
8002 Green Meadow Ct Georgetown Twp, MI	3.0	3.0	1750	$2,200	$1.26	3d	1	1.02mi
4638 Rockport Dr Hudsonville, MI	3.0	2.0–2.5	1500	$2,398	$1.60	0d	3	1.36mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-09-23
   days on market $427,500 Active 476 DOM
2. 2026-09-22
   days on market $427,500 Active 475 DOM
3. 2026-09-21
   days on market $427,500 Active 474 DOM
4. 2026-09-20
   days on market $427,500 Active 473 DOM
5. 2026-09-19
   days on market $427,500 Active 472 DOM
6. 2026-09-18
   days on market $427,500 Active 471 DOM
7. 2026-09-17
   days on market $427,500 Active 470 DOM
8. 2026-09-16
   days on market $427,500 Active 469 DOM
9. 2026-09-15
   days on market $427,500 Active 468 DOM
10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $427,500 Active 467 DOM
11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $427,500 Active 466 DOM
12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $427,500 Active 465 DOM
13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $427,500 Active 464 DOM
14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $427,500 Active 458 DOM
15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $427,500 Active 457 DOM
16. 2026-09-03
    pricedays on market $427,500 Active 456 DOM
17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $423,100 Active 453 DOM
18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $423,100 Active 452 DOM
19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $423,100 Active 451 DOM
20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $423,100 Active 450 DOM
21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $423,100 Active 449 DOM
22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $423,100 Active 448 DOM
23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $423,100 Active 447 DOM
24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $423,100 Active 446 DOM
25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $423,100 Active 445 DOM
26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $423,100 Active 444 DOM
27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $423,100 Active 443 DOM
28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $423,100 Active 442 DOM
29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $423,100 Active 441 DOM
30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $423,100 Active 440 DOM
31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $423,100 Active 439 DOM
32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $423,100 Active 438 DOM
33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $423,100 Active 437 DOM
34. 2026-08-15
    days on market $423,100 Active 436 DOM
35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $423,100 Active 435 DOM
36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $423,100 Active 434 DOM
37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $423,100 Active 433 DOM
38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $423,100 Active 432 DOM
39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $423,100 Active 431 DOM
40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $423,100 Active 430 DOM
41. 2026-08-07
    days on market $423,100 Active 429 DOM
42. 2026-08-06
    days on market $423,100 Active 428 DOM
43. 2026-08-05
    days on market $423,100 Active 427 DOM
44. 2026-08-04
    days on market $423,100 Active 426 DOM
45. 2026-08-03
    days on market $423,100 Active 425 DOM
46. 2026-07-31
    days on market $423,100 Active 422 DOM
47. 2026-07-30
    days on market $423,100 Active 421 DOM
48. 2026-07-30
    days on market $423,100 Active 420 DOM
49. 2026-07-28
    days on market $423,100 Active 419 DOM
50. 2026-07-26
    days on market $423,100 Active 417 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,327
• − Mortgage interest: −$33,393
• − Property taxes: −$8,942
• − Insurance: −$2,981
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,186
• − Management: −$2,186
• − Depreciation: −$17,342
• Taxable loss: −$39,703
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$9,529
• After-tax cash flow: $-18,320/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a great opportunity for an investor to make some cosmetic updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior — Refreshing the exterior paint can enhance curb appeal and increase the home's value. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
• Both Interior updates — Updating the interior can make the home more appealing and increase its value for both resale and rental purposes. ↑

C Composite school gradezoned avg 62/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Bauer Elementary School B+ MI #105/1,397 Nat'l #4,366/41,679 Middle Baldwin Street Middle School B+ MI #51/493 Nat'l #1,738/14,009 High Hudsonville High School C+ MI #73/713 Nat'l #3,545/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hudsonville Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2618840
• Math proficiency: 55% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 70% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $69,784
• Composite: 54.98/100
• National rank: #1301
• State rank: #32 of 540 in MI

Livability — Georgetown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Ottawa · 313,561 people
• Metro: Grand Rapids-Wyoming-Kentwood, MI
• Population (ZIP): 28,090
• Household income: $92,290
• Rent vs Own: 15.2% rent · 84.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 19% of renters

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Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 313,561 people
• By 2030: 330,027 · +5.3%
• By 2040: 361,118 · +15.2%
• By 2050: 388,414 · +23.9%
• By 2075: 452,175 · +44.2%
• By 2100: 473,041 · +50.9%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 37% Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

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Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.0% · R 59.5% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -20.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -234.19%
• Current HPI: 264.7304
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

-4.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-03 Price Changed $423,100 Zillow
• 2025-07-15 Price Changed $443,100 Zillow
• 2025-06-04 Listed $440,500 Zillow