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847 Woodbury Rd
B+ Composite 75.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,999

847 Woodbury Rd · Jackson, MS 39206
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,243 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 344 Days on market
Built 1984 $68/sqft · 35% below area Est $132k · 35% under ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.

Key facts

  • Built 1984
  • Listed 344 days

Tags

ROOF LESS THAN 5 YEARS OLD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 344 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,799 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 344 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
11.28%
Cash-on-cash
17.79%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$131,617
List price
$84,999
Delta
-35.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
764 Avalon Rd 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,287 (+4%) 0mo $89,900 $70 79
4858 Sheridan Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,264 (+2%) 2mo $123,000 $97 63
506 Broadmoor Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,187 (-4%) 2mo $79,900 $67 61
632 Woodbury Rd 0.33mi 2/2.0 1,416 (+14%) 2mo $115,000 $81 59
610 Lawrence Rd 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,302 (+5%) 4mo $69,900 $54 59
805 Serville Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,332 (+7%) 3mo $150,000 $113 55
521 Launcelot Rd 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,346 (+8%) 6mo $87,000 $65 53
421 Benning Rd 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,155 (-7%) 3mo $74,900 $65 47
544 Wellington Rd 0.54mi 2/1.0 1,092 (-12%) 4mo $79,900 $73 47
4875 Churchill Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,118 (-10%) 3mo $69,900 $63 46
4851 Maplewood Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,201 (-3%) 8mo $74,900 $62 46
515 Belvedere Rd 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,163 (-6%) 9mo $69,900 $60 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$8,542
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$35,720
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39206

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,264 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$165 /mo · $1,978/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $818
Max offer price $84,999
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4901 McWillie Cir Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 806 $1,150 $1.43 13d 1 0.12mi
20 N Hill Pkwy Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1046 $900 $0.86 13d 31 0.31mi
4627 Estelle Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1489 $1,475 $0.99 23d 1 0.38mi
521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,423 $1.06 43d 1 0.49mi
4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,550 $1.19 23d 1 0.58mi
5255 Manhattan Rd Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 813 $1,100 $1.35 13d 1 0.62mi
229 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 23d 1 0.75mi
229 Lawrence Rd #229 Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 43d 1 0.75mi
227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 13d 2 0.75mi
227 Lawrence Rd #227 Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 43d 1 0.75mi
227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 1.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 23d 1 0.75mi
5155 Wayneland Dr Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 905 $1,500 $1.66 23d 1 0.86mi
4833 N State St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 994 $1,195 $1.20 43d 1 0.90mi
214 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1207 $1,500 $1.24 43d 1 1.09mi
5301 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1482 $1,850 $1.25 43d 1 1.11mi
5000 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS 1.0 2.0 750 $1,129 $1.51 13d 1 1.18mi
5000 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1093 $1,279 $1.17 44d 1 1.18mi
5000 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS 1.0 1.0 720 $1,149 $1.60 43d 1 1.18mi
4263 Forest Park Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1318 $1,949 $1.48 43d 1 1.27mi
200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,300 $1.19 43d 1 1.44mi
200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,300 $1.19 13d 1 1.44mi
3718 Northbrook Dr Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 942 $1,050 $1.11 23d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,999 Active 344 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,999 Active 343 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,999 Active 342 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,999 Active 341 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,999 Active 339 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,999 Active 338 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,999 Active 336 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,999 Active 335 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,999 Active 334 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,999 Active 333 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,999 Active 330 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,999 Active 329 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,999 Active 328 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,999 Active 327 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,999 Active 326 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,999 Active 325 DOM
  17. 2026-03-19
    status Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    ''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.

  18. 2026-02-11
    status Pending 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    ''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.

  19. 2026-01-01
    price $84,999 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    ''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.

  20. 2025-10-13
    price $89,999 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    ''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.

  21. 2025-06-03
    listed $109,999 Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    ''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.

  22. 2019-10-17
    soldstatus
  23. 1995-08-31
    soldstatus
  24. 1992-10-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,978 · $165/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,978 · $165/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,173
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,978
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,214
− Management
−$1,214
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$3,108
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$746
After-tax cash flow
$3,489/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,257
Household income
$42,686
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
1554.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.38%
Current HPI
194.5873
Rent YoY
▲ 2.83%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-22.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-02-11 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-01-01 Price Changed $84,999 MLSU
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $89,999 MLSU
  • 2025-06-03 Listed $109,999 MLSU
  • 2019-10-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-08-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1992-10-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,978 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…