847 Woodbury Rd · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.
Key facts
- Built 1984
- Listed 344 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 344 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 344 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.79%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,617
- List price
- $84,999
- Delta
- -35.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 764 Avalon Rd | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,287 (+4%) | 0mo | $89,900 | $70 | 79 |
| 4858 Sheridan Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,264 (+2%) | 2mo | $123,000 | $97 | 63 |
| 506 Broadmoor Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,187 (-4%) | 2mo | $79,900 | $67 | 61 |
| 632 Woodbury Rd | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (+14%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $81 | 59 |
| 610 Lawrence Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,302 (+5%) | 4mo | $69,900 | $54 | 59 |
| 805 Serville Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,332 (+7%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $113 | 55 |
| 521 Launcelot Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,346 (+8%) | 6mo | $87,000 | $65 | 53 |
| 421 Benning Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,155 (-7%) | 3mo | $74,900 | $65 | 47 |
| 544 Wellington Rd | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,092 (-12%) | 4mo | $79,900 | $73 | 47 |
| 4875 Churchill Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,118 (-10%) | 3mo | $69,900 | $63 | 46 |
| 4851 Maplewood Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,201 (-3%) | 8mo | $74,900 | $62 | 46 |
| 515 Belvedere Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,163 (-6%) | 9mo | $69,900 | $60 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $8,542
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $35,720
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39206
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,264 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,978/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $353
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4901 McWillie Cir Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 20 N Hill Pkwy Jackson, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1046 | $900 | $0.86 | 13d | 31 | 0.31mi |
| 4627 Estelle Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,475 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $1,423 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5255 Manhattan Rd Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 229 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 229 Lawrence Rd #229 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 13d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd #227 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5155 Wayneland Dr Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,500 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4833 N State St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 214 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5301 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $1,850 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5000 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $1,129 | $1.51 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5000 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1093 | $1,279 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5000 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,149 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4263 Forest Park Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $1,949 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3718 Northbrook Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,999 Active 344 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $84,999 Active 343 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $84,999 Active 342 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $84,999 Active 341 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $84,999 Active 339 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $84,999 Active 338 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $84,999 Active 336 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $84,999 Active 335 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $84,999 Active 334 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $84,999 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,999 Active 330 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $84,999 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $84,999 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,999 Active 327 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $84,999 Active 326 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $84,999 Active 325 DOM
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2026-03-19status Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.
-
2026-02-11status Pending 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.
-
2026-01-01price $84,999 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.
-
2025-10-13price $89,999 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.
-
2025-06-03$109,999 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
''BACK ON MARKET'' Deal fell through. PRICE REDUCTION!!!! SELLER IS ALLOWING $5000 AT CLOSING TO BUYER FOR REPAIRS/REPLACEMENTS. 2BR/2BA Townhome equipped with refrigerator, washer, dryer and window unit. The roof is less that 5 years old. The central air does not work. . Property is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS''. Agent is related to seller.
-
2019-10-17soldstatus
-
1995-08-31soldstatus
-
1992-10-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,978 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,978 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,173
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,978
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,214
- − Management
- −$1,214
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $3,108
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$746
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,489/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,257
- Household income
- $42,686
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.38%
- Current HPI
- 194.5873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.83%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-22.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-02-11 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-01-01 Price Changed $84,999 MLSU
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $89,999 MLSU
- 2025-06-03 Listed $109,999 MLSU
- 2019-10-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-08-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-10-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,978 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…