6142 S Barrister Rd · Drexel Heights, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 6142 S Barrister Road, a charming home located in a welcoming 55+ community, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in Tucson's vibrant Southwest area. Brand new carpet just installed, roof is less than 2 years old and two brand new mini splits. Enjoy breathtaking sunsets from the Arizona room, a vibrant community atmosphere, and the peace of a quiet neighborhood. Please reach out to Co-listing agent for details Jon Haas 520-416-6939
Key facts
- 4,269 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($-5/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $175k (0.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (16.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Drexel Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#73 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Tucson Unified District (4403) (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #190 of 249 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Frances J Warren Elementary School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #814 of 1,109 statewide, top 76%, 162 students, 76% FRL); Pistor Middle School (math 7% / reading 16%, grade F, #180 of 218 statewide, top 83%, 724 students, 74% FRL); Pueblo High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 1,831 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 17% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $130k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.01%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,901
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- -6.42%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6171 S Mainside Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+5%) | 10mo | $194,000 | $144 | 79 |
| 6155 S Foxhunt Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+5%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $130 | 75 |
| 6171 S Foxhunt Dr | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+12%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $135 | 75 |
| 6154 S Mainside Dr | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,352 (+6%) | 22mo | $190,000 | $141 | 68 |
| 6186 S Mainside Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (+14%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $130 | 64 |
| 6306 S Waterton Dr | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,352 (+6%) | 20mo | $194,000 | $143 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-32,657
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-45,054
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85746
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,460 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $443/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$127
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $-0
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $99 | -5% $49 | +0% $0 | +5% $-50 | +10% $-99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-116 | -5% $-58 | +0% $0 | +5% $57 | +10% $115 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $88 | -0.5pp $44 | base $0 | +0.5pp $-46 | +1.0pp $-92 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6143 S Mainside Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,395 | $1.12 | 5d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3486 W Center Mountain Way Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,725 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5740 S Hildreth Ave Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,770 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3508 W Lost Village Ln Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1865 | $1,599 | $0.86 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6978 S Placita de Amigos Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 894 | $1,400 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2956 W Maxine Cir Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3604 W Avenida del Mar Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2811 W Calle del Tigre Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1787 | $1,895 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2511 W Vereda de las Flores Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $2,500 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $127 · $1,524/yr
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $174,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $174,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,900 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $174,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,900 Active 95 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $174,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-02-28price $174,900 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
Welcome to 6142 S Barrister Road, a charming home located in a welcoming 55+ community, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in Tucson's vibrant Southwest area. Brand new carpet just installed, roof is less than 2 years old and two brand new mini splits. Enjoy breathtaking sunsets from the Arizona room, a vibrant community atmosphere, and the peace of a quiet neighborhood. Please reach out to Co-listing agent for details Jon Haas 520-416-6939
-
2026-02-26$149,999 Active 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
Welcome to 6142 S Barrister Road, a charming home located in a welcoming 55+ community, offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in Tucson's vibrant Southwest area. Brand new carpet just installed, roof is less than 2 years old and two brand new mini splits. Enjoy breathtaking sunsets from the Arizona room, a vibrant community atmosphere, and the peace of a quiet neighborhood. Please reach out to Co-listing agent for details Jon Haas 520-416-6939
-
2021-05-14soldstatus $129,500 Closed 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
Custom built 16x80 home, split floor plan, in active 55+ park. Big master bath has separate shower/garden tub, skylight & generous linen closet. Large master bedroom has walk-in closet and beautiful ceiling fan. Kitchen has skylight, pantry & laundry also has storage. Dining area has 2 oak built-in china hutches. Spacious living room also has 2 built-in hutches, one entertainment center, and ceiling fan. Big spare Bdrm has murphy bed, large walk-in closet & ceiling fan. Hallway has a coat closet and another linen closet. Enjoy morning coffee on screened front porch. 3-car driveway, 2 under cover. Big storage shed. Block wall in rear separates you from beautiful desert, sunrises & sunsets. Easy care landscaping and orange tree. Close to shopping, etc., just minutes to I-19 and casinos.
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2021-05-14soldstatus $129,500
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
Custom built 16x80 home, split floor plan, in active 55+ park. Big master bath has separate shower/garden tub, skylight & generous linen closet. Large master bedroom has walk-in closet and beautiful ceiling fan. Kitchen has skylight, pantry & laundry also has storage. Dining area has 2 oak built-in china hutches. Spacious living room also has 2 built-in hutches, one entertainment center, and ceiling fan. Big spare Bdrm has murphy bed, large walk-in closet & ceiling fan. Hallway has a coat closet and another linen closet. Enjoy morning coffee on screened front porch. 3-car driveway, 2 under cover. Big storage shed. Block wall in rear separates you from beautiful desert, sunrises & sunsets. Easy care landscaping and orange tree. Close to shopping, etc., just minutes to I-19 and casinos.
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2021-03-18historical Active Contingent 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
Custom built 16x80 home, split floor plan, in active 55+ park. Big master bath has separate shower/garden tub, skylight & generous linen closet. Large master bedroom has walk-in closet and beautiful ceiling fan. Kitchen has skylight, pantry & laundry also has storage. Dining area has 2 oak built-in china hutches. Spacious living room also has 2 built-in hutches, one entertainment center, and ceiling fan. Big spare Bdrm has murphy bed, large walk-in closet & ceiling fan. Hallway has a coat closet and another linen closet. Enjoy morning coffee on screened front porch. 3-car driveway, 2 under cover. Big storage shed. Block wall in rear separates you from beautiful desert, sunrises & sunsets. Easy care landscaping and orange tree. Close to shopping, etc., just minutes to I-19 and casinos.
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2021-03-14price $129,950 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
Custom built 16x80 home, split floor plan, in active 55+ park. Big master bath has separate shower/garden tub, skylight & generous linen closet. Large master bedroom has walk-in closet and beautiful ceiling fan. Kitchen has skylight, pantry & laundry also has storage. Dining area has 2 oak built-in china hutches. Spacious living room also has 2 built-in hutches, one entertainment center, and ceiling fan. Big spare Bdrm has murphy bed, large walk-in closet & ceiling fan. Hallway has a coat closet and another linen closet. Enjoy morning coffee on screened front porch. 3-car driveway, 2 under cover. Big storage shed. Block wall in rear separates you from beautiful desert, sunrises & sunsets. Easy care landscaping and orange tree. Close to shopping, etc., just minutes to I-19 and casinos.
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2021-02-28$124,950 Active 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (811 chars)
Custom built 16x80 home, split floor plan, in active 55+ park. Big master bath has separate shower/garden tub, skylight & generous linen closet. Large master bedroom has walk-in closet and beautiful ceiling fan. Kitchen has skylight, pantry & laundry also has storage. Dining area has 2 oak built-in china hutches. Spacious living room also has 2 built-in hutches, one entertainment center, and ceiling fan. Big spare Bdrm has murphy bed, large walk-in closet & ceiling fan. Hallway has a coat closet and another linen closet. Enjoy morning coffee on screened front porch. 3-car driveway, 2 under cover. Big storage shed. Block wall in rear separates you from beautiful desert, sunrises & sunsets. Easy care landscaping and orange tree. Close to shopping, etc., just minutes to I-19 and casinos.
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2020-12-24historical Active Contingent
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2020-12-23status Active
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2020-12-23historical
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2020-12-18historical Active Contingent
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2020-11-23price $124,900
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2020-11-20status Active
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2020-11-19historical Active Contingent
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2020-11-09$120,000 Active
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2020-08-23historical Active Contingent
-
2020-08-23historical
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2020-07-15status Active
-
2020-07-07historical Active Contingent
-
2020-05-16$112,000 Active
-
2012-10-26soldstatus $48,000
-
1992-10-01soldstatus $12,000
-
1988-03-01soldstatus $8,250
-
1986-01-01soldstatus $2,682,000
-
1985-11-01soldstatus $2,000,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $443 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,154 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$712/yr (+$59/mo · 160.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,522
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$443
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,402
- − Management
- −$1,402
- − HOA
- −$1,524
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$3,007
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$722
- After-tax cash flow
- $717/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tucson Unified District (4403)
- NCES district ID
- 0408800
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,962
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9270
- State rank
- #190 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Drexel Heights
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #73
- US rank
- #11688
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Drexel Heights, AZ
- County
- Pima County · 1,012,107 people
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,835
- Household income
- $68,903
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1050.0
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% White 20% Two or more races 16% Native American 6% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 68% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 46%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.03%
- Current HPI
- 312.2096
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
-91.3% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-28 Price Changed $174,900 MLSSAZ
- 2026-02-26 Listed $149,999 MLSSAZ
- 2021-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $129,500 Public Records
- 2021-05-14 Sold (MLS) $129,500 MLSSAZ
- 2021-03-18 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2021-03-14 Price Changed $129,950 MLSSAZ
- 2021-02-28 Listed $124,950 MLSSAZ
- 2020-12-24 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2020-12-23 Relisted — MLSSAZ
- 2020-12-23 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2020-12-18 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2020-11-23 Price Changed $124,900 MLSSAZ
- 2020-11-20 Relisted — MLSSAZ
- 2020-11-19 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2020-11-09 Listed $120,000 MLSSAZ
- 2020-08-23 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2020-08-23 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2020-07-15 Relisted — MLSSAZ
- 2020-07-07 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2020-05-16 Listed $112,000 MLSSAZ
- 2012-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1992-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 1988-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,250 Public Records
- 1986-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $2,682,000 Public Records
- 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $2,000,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.4%/yrLatest (2024): $443 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…