205 Cherry St · Elliott, IA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$27,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Foreclosure selling as is. great potential. Put in some sweat equity.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1895
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $27k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#545 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Griswold Community School District (rural): math 74% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #54 of 289 in IA (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2 of equity ($187 loan paydown + $-185 appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 40.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 121.12%
- DSCR
- 6.39
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $71,006
- List price
- $27,000
- Delta
- -61.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Cherry St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,404 (0%) | 2mo | $25,500 | $18 | 99 |
| 100 Elm St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,550 (+10%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $48 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $17,929
- Equity at exit
- $6,925
- IRR
- 52.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.85×
- Total profit
- $44,258
- Equity at exit
- $7,626
Cash invested: $7,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51532
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,202 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$142
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$34 /mo · $405/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $321 | -5% $312 | +0% $303 | +5% $293 | +10% $284 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $208 | -5% $255 | +0% $303 | +5% $350 | +10% $398 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $316 | -0.5pp $310 | base $303 | +0.5pp $296 | +1.0pp $289 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,750
- Closing costs
- $810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $27,000 Pending 130 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $27,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $27,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $27,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $27,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $27,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $27,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-04-30soldstatus $25,500 Closed 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
Foreclosure selling as is. great potential. Put in some sweat equity.
-
2026-04-07status Pending 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
Foreclosure selling as is. great potential. Put in some sweat equity.
-
2026-04-03price $27,000 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (75 chars)
Foreclosure. Selling as-is. Fix and flip or remodel and build sweat equity.
-
2026-04-03price $27,000 75-char remark
Show marketing remark (75 chars)
Foreclosure. Selling as-is. Fix and flip or remodel and build sweat equity.
-
2026-03-04price $28,500 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
Foreclosure selling as is. great potential. Put in some sweat equity.
-
2026-03-02price $28,500 75-char remark
Show marketing remark (75 chars)
Foreclosure. Selling as-is. Fix and flip or remodel and build sweat equity.
-
2026-01-27$30,000 Active 75-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
Foreclosure selling as is. great potential. Put in some sweat equity.
-
2026-01-27$30,000 Active 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
Foreclosure selling as is. great potential. Put in some sweat equity.
-
2020-09-24soldstatus $30,000
-
2020-09-23soldstatus $30,000
-
2020-05-11$32,000
-
2016-01-15soldstatus $14,700
-
2015-07-29$17,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,425
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,512
- − Property taxes
- −$405
- − Insurance
- −$5,660
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,154
- − Management
- −$1,154
- − Depreciation
- −$785
- Taxable income
- $3,754
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$901
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,731/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Griswold Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1913230
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 80% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,914
- Composite
- 65.05/100
- National rank
- #500
- State rank
- #54 of 289 in IA
Livability — Elliott
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #545
- US rank
- #12209
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elliott, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 629
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,518 people
- By 2030
- 9,116 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 8,303 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 7,595 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 6,568 · -31.0%
- By 2100
- 5,800 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3% Serbian 2%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.1) · D 29.8% · R 68.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -39.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.1 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+21.6 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.69%
- Current HPI
- 149.1955
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+44.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Sold (MLS) $25,500 DMMLS
- 2026-04-07 Pending — DMMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $27,000 DMMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $27,000 IAR
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $28,500 DMMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $28,500 IAR
- 2026-01-27 Listed $30,000 IAR
- 2026-01-27 Listed $30,000 DMMLS
- 2020-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-23 Sold (MLS) $30,000 SWIAR
- 2020-05-11 Listed $32,000 SWIAR
- 2016-01-15 Sold (MLS) $14,700 SWIAR
- 2015-07-29 Listed $17,600 SWIAR
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,848 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…