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26127 Sea Rosemary Ln 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 39.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$283,690

26127 Sea Rosemary Ln · Houston, TX 77493
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,875 sqft · SingleFamily · 27 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $183/mo HOA · 7% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This new single-level home offers a modern and low-maintenance layout. An open-concept floorplan blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space, with access to a covered patio for simple entertaining and multitasking. All four bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

Key facts

  • Full bathroom
  • Walk-in closet
  • Single-level home

Tags

SINGLE-LEVEL HOMEOPEN-CONCEPT FLOORPLANCOVERED PATIOLUXE OWNER SUITEFULL BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA managed by KRJ Management, Inc.; Annual association fee of $2,200

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Under construction (new construction); Slab foundation
  • Construction: Built by Lennar Homes; Brick exterior; Composition roof; Year built: 2026
  • Exterior features: Back yard fence; Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Gas oven; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 14 x 12); Three additional bedrooms on the first floor (each approx. 10 x 10)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Double vanity; Kitchen and family room combo; Separate shower; Tub with shower; Kitchen and dining combo
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $283,690 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $296,250.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $284k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-178 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $271k (4.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $260k (8.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $260k (8.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Robert King El (math 41% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,313 of 4,322 statewide, top 31%, 981 students, 68% FRL); Katy J H (math 52% / reading 51%, grade C, #318 of 1,662 statewide, top 20%, 1,094 students, 53% FRL); Katy H S (math 62% / reading 74%, grade B, #150 of 1,632 statewide, top 10%, 3,330 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 27% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 2729 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($279k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $259,836 (8.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.57%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$296,250
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6614 Sienna Sunrise Ln 0.12mi 4/2.0 2,013 (+7%) 1mo $309,790 $154 77
6634 Sienna Sunrise Ln 0.17mi 4/2.0 2,013 (+7%) 0mo $305,990 $152 76
6666 Iron Clover Dr 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,655 (-12%) 1mo $283,590 $171 69
6671 Iron Clover Dr 0.15mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,635 (-13%) 0mo $265,000 $162 64
26906 Rosebay Woods Dr 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,760 (-6%) 1mo $262,990 $149 62
26527 Ivory Petal Dr 0.42mi 4/2.0 2,083 (+11%) 1mo $309,140 $148 57
26803 Scarlet Willow Dr 0.72mi 4/2.5 1,968 (+5%) 0mo $275,240 $140 56
26607 Ivory Petal Dr 0.45mi 4/2.0 2,083 (+11%) 1mo $380,990 $183 56
6806 Violet Clover Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,629 (-13%) 1mo $257,240 $158 53
26707 Scarlet Willow Dr 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,720 (-8%) 1mo $322,990 $188 53
6738 Violet Clover Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,629 (-13%) 1mo $272,890 $168 53
26811 Scarlet Willow Dr 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,720 (-8%) 1mo $270,590 $157 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.3%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-66,781
Equity at exit
$44,172
10-year hold
IRR
-33.1%
Equity multiple
-0.22×
Total profit
$-101,530
Equity at exit
$25,614

Cash invested: $82,950 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77493

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
2729
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,598 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,554
Tax est. 1.5%
$370 /mo · $4,444/yr
Insurance
$123
HOA
$183
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$546
Net cashflow
$-178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,823
Max offer price $270,549
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $27 -5% $-75 +0% $-178 +5% $-280 +10% $-382
Rent -10% $-383 -5% $-280 +0% $-178 +5% $-75 +10% $28
Rate -1.0pp $-28 -0.5pp $-102 base $-178 +0.5pp $-254 +1.0pp $-332

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,062
Closing costs
$8,888
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6758 Sunset Velvet Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1580 $2,350 $1.49 45d 1 0.32mi
26642 Prairie Smoke Ln Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1949 $2,300 $1.18 45d 1 0.65mi
26811 Prairie Smoke Ln Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 1656 $2,250 $1.36 45d 1 0.80mi
6414 Orchid Beach Dr Katy, TX 5.0 4.0 2490 $3,000 $1.20 14d 1 1.07mi
26802 Cenzontle Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1470 $1,850 $1.26 45d 1 1.08mi
7410 Hillside Arbor Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.0 2289 $2,400 $1.05 45d 1 1.13mi
7402 Clover Chase Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1840 $2,400 $1.30 45d 1 1.17mi
6303 Marigold Blaze Dr Katy, TX 3.0 2.0 1474 $2,250 $1.53 45d 1 1.27mi
6427 Seafoam Lake Dr Katy, TX 4.0 4.0 2479 $3,000 $1.21 0d 1 1.38mi
27507 Hudson Sands Ln Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 2294 $3,000 $1.31 19d 1 1.40mi
27327 Blue Pool Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 2100 $2,600 $1.24 45d 1 1.47mi
5819 Bright Keel Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 2598 $2,400 $0.92 45d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$183 · $2,196/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $283,690 Pending 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $283,690 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $283,690 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 593-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    price $283,690 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $311,690 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $311,690 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $311,690 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $311,690 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $311,690 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $311,690 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $311,690 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $311,690 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $311,690 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $311,690 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    listed $311,690 Active
  17. 2026-05-19
    price $311,690 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    This new single-level home offers a modern and low-maintenance layout. An open-concept floorplan blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space, with access to a covered patio for simple entertaining and multitasking. All four bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

  18. 2026-05-18
    listed $327,990 Active 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    This new single-level home offers a modern and low-maintenance layout. An open-concept floorplan blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space, with access to a covered patio for simple entertaining and multitasking. All four bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,180
− Mortgage interest
−$16,595
− Property taxes
−$4,444
− Insurance
−$1,481
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,494
− Management
−$2,494
− HOA
−$2,196
− Depreciation
−$8,618
Taxable loss
−$7,142
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,714
After-tax cash flow
$-417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 24 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This modern single-family home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good exterior, modern kitchen and bathrooms, and well-maintained landscaping. The home is move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint the exterior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Rental Replace the window blinds — New blinds can improve the home's rental appeal and reduce maintenance costs.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint the exterior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Rental Replace the window blinds — New blinds can improve the home's rental appeal and reduce maintenance costs.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Katy ISD
NCES district ID
4825170
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$90,312
Composite
56.59/100
National rank
#1146
State rank
#29 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
71,484
Household income
$118,464
Rent vs Own
20.4% rent · 79.6% own
Severe rent burden
913.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.65%
Current HPI
233.1683
Rent YoY
▼ -0.80%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $311,690 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $311,690 Zillow
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $327,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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