19102 Division Ave NE · Suquamish, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tons of potential here! . 24 acre lot, 2 manufactured homes currently in place. One is a 385 sqft 1990 Skyline park model, the other is 910 sqft 1979 built, and a 1064 sqft stick built garage/shop. Homes attached to public water and sewer. Right in the heart of town, close to restaurants, the waterfront, and easy access to surrounding areas, ferries, and more! Come check this one out. Value in land, cash only, buyer to verify all information to their satisfaction. Please do not walk the property without your agent.
Key facts
- Close to restaurants
- 24 acre lot
- Public sewer
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property considered residential, manufactured on land; Lot valued for land (0.24 acre); Square footage listed from county records
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Detached garage (has garage)
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (Kitsap PUD); Sewer connected (Kitsap PUD); Power provided by Puget Sound Energy
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Main level entry; Facing information not provided
- Construction: Metal/vinyl construction; Composition roof; Foundation details: see remarks; Built as a manufactured house (double wide)
- Exterior features: Outbuildings on site; Metal/vinyl exterior
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 bathtub
- Heating & cooling: Heating available (see remarks); No central cooling
- Interior features: No basement; Level topography; Second living quarter (ADU) with 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($292/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (13.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $130k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#262 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
- North Kitsap School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #54 of 291 in WA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Suquamish Elementary School (328 students, 52% FRL); North Kitsap High School (1,063 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $150k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.70%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $311,220
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18680 1st Ave NE | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+6%) | 24mo | $328,000 | $342 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-22,753
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-17,811
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98392
- Home prices YoY
- -9.5%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,304 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,884/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-12$150,000 Active
-
1985-01-04soldstatus $51,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,884 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,884 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,654
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,884
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,252
- − Management
- −$1,252
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$2,251
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$540
- After-tax cash flow
- $833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Kitsap School District
- NCES district ID
- 5305760
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,919
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #3092
- State rank
- #54 of 291 in WA
Livability — Suquamish
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #9023
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Suquamish, WA
- City population
- 3,412
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,412
Population outlook (Kitsap County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 277,525 people
- By 2030
- 285,040 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 294,957 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 300,622 · +8.3%
- By 2075
- 315,580 · +13.7%
- By 2100
- 304,340 · +9.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Slovak 4% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kitsap
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.9) · D 58.8% · R 37.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.6pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 20.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.9 2020: D+18.1 2016: D+11.6 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.67%
- Current HPI
- 349.5788
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+194.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listed $150,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,884 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…