201 Kinnane Ave · Springfield, OH 45505

$49,900

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1949 6,969 sqft lot Est $70k · 29% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +2.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Wow! Same owner for over 70 years looking to move into his retirement home. Nice large tri-parcel lot with a 3 bedroom 1 bath home. Great opportunity to build a nice 2 or 3 car garage on this corner lot. Home needs some TLC. Shawnee School District. Cash buyers only. Being sold as-is. Listing condition -Owner to find home of choice.

Key facts

• 6,969 sq ft lot
• Built 1949
• Listed 2 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $50k).
• Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 4.8% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Clark-Shawnee Local (rural): math 54% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #301 of 656 in OH (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $49,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.70% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.42%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.02%
• DSCR: 2.29
• GRM: 4.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $70,176
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
625 Kinnane Ave	0.27mi	2/1.0 (+1)	777 (-5%)	15mo	$14,124	$18	62
2201 Superior Ave	0.54mi	2/1.0 (+1)	824 (+1%)	12mo	$137,000	$166	58
2220 Superior Ave	0.52mi	2/1.0 (+1)	857 (+5%)	13mo	$127,000	$148	52
2566 York St	0.39mi	2/1.0 (+1)	728 (-11%)	18mo	$39,900	$55	44
2110 Ontario Ave	0.62mi	2/1.0 (+1)	752 (-8%)	21mo	$64,900	$86	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 23.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.96×
• Total profit: $13,441
• Equity at exit: $7,440

10-year hold

• IRR: 31.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.82×
• Total profit: $39,440
• Equity at exit: $4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 45505

• Home prices YoY: -34.3%
• Active inventory: 158
• Price-to-rent: 4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $850 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$51 /mo · $617/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$179
• Net cashflow: $338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $423

Max offer price $49,900

Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,475
• Closing costs: $1,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
55 W Parkwood Ave Unit 3 Springfield, OH	1.0	1.0	680	$799	$1.18	3d	1	1.26mi
55 W Parkwood Ave Unit 1 Springfield, OH	1.0	1.0	680	$799	$1.18	43d	1	1.26mi
1452 S Wittenberg Ave Springfield, OH	2.0	1.0	937	$1,010	$1.08	1d	1	1.38mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2025-05-26
   status Pending
2. 2025-05-24
   status Active
3. 2025-04-25
   status Pending
4. 2025-04-23
   listed $49,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $617 · $51/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $698 · $58/mo
• Expected delta: +$81/yr (+$7/mo · 13.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,204
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,795
• − Property taxes: −$617
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$816
• − Management: −$816
• − Depreciation: −$1,452
• Taxable income: $3,458
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$830
• After-tax cash flow: $3,225/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Clark-Shawnee Local
• NCES district ID: 3904628
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 62% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $59,411
• Composite: 50.29/100
• National rank: #1884
• State rank: #301 of 656 in OH

Livability — Springfield

• Score: 56/100
• State rank: #1108
• US rank: #22551

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Clark County · 33,261 people
• City population: 33,261
• Metro: Springfield, OH
• Population (ZIP): 19,826
• Household income: $43,819
• Rent vs Own: 47.3% rent · 52.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 950.0

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 130,703 people
• By 2030: 126,952 · -2.9%
• By 2040: 118,344 · -9.5%
• By 2050: 109,590 · -16.2%
• By 2075: 89,464 · -31.6%
• By 2100: 68,810 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% German 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -135.16%
• Current HPI: 258.9037
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Springfield, OH
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

4 events — show timeline

• 2025-05-26 Pending — WRIST
• 2025-05-24 Relisted — WRIST
• 2025-04-25 Pending — WRIST
• 2025-04-23 Listed $49,900 WRIST

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $617 · +43.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.