CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3737 Weaver Hollow Rd
D Composite 44.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$229,000

3737 Weaver Hollow Rd · Andes, NY 13731
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured · 86 Days on market
Built 1970 Poor condition 2.00 ac lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A tiny home with a big Catskills soul. Set on 2 serene acres in Andes, this fully renovated 1970s mobile home has been transformed into a modern, light-filled retreat. Clean lines, thoughtful finishes, and a simplified footprint create an easy, intentional way of living. Outside, a stream quietly runs through the land—your own built-in soundtrack for morning coffee, afternoon naps, and evenings under the stars. This is the kind of place you come to slow down, reset, and stay a little longer than planned.

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • Built 1970
  • Listed 85 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $229k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-104 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.1% in Andes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,096 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D.
  • Margaretville Central School District (rural): math 30% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #734 of 755 in NY (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
  • Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($215k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,516 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.09%
Cash-on-cash
-0.71%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$68,012
Equity at exit
$152,976
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$203,483
Equity at exit
$285,552

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13731

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,955 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax est. 1.5%
$286 /mo · $3,435/yr
Insurance
$95
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$-104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,087
Max offer price $213,886
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $54 -5% $-25 +0% $-104 +5% $-184 +10% $-263
Rent -10% $-259 -5% $-182 +0% $-104 +5% $-27 +10% $50
Rate -1.0pp $11 -0.5pp $-46 base $-104 +0.5pp $-164 +1.0pp $-224

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $229,000 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $229,000 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $229,000 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,000 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,000 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,000 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $229,000 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,000 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,000 Active 71 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $229,000 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,000 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,000 Active 65 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,000 Active 64 DOM
  17. 2026-05-17
    price $229,000 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    A tiny home with a big Catskills soul. Set on 2 serene acres in Andes, this fully renovated 1970s mobile home has been transformed into a modern, light-filled retreat. Clean lines, thoughtful finishes, and a simplified footprint create an easy, intentional way of living. Outside, a stream quietly runs through the land—your own built-in soundtrack for morning coffee, afternoon naps, and evenings under the stars. This is the kind of place you come to slow down, reset, and stay a little longer than planned.

  18. 2026-05-14
    status Active 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    A tiny home with a big Catskills soul. Set on 2 serene acres in Andes, this fully renovated 1970s mobile home has been transformed into a modern, light-filled retreat. Clean lines, thoughtful finishes, and a simplified footprint create an easy, intentional way of living. Outside, a stream quietly runs through the land—your own built-in soundtrack for morning coffee, afternoon naps, and evenings under the stars. This is the kind of place you come to slow down, reset, and stay a little longer than planned.

  19. 2026-03-17
    status Pending 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    A tiny home with a big Catskills soul. Set on 2 serene acres in Andes, this fully renovated 1970s mobile home has been transformed into a modern, light-filled retreat. Clean lines, thoughtful finishes, and a simplified footprint create an easy, intentional way of living. Outside, a stream quietly runs through the land—your own built-in soundtrack for morning coffee, afternoon naps, and evenings under the stars. This is the kind of place you come to slow down, reset, and stay a little longer than planned.

  20. 2026-01-29
    listed $249,000 Active 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    A tiny home with a big Catskills soul. Set on 2 serene acres in Andes, this fully renovated 1970s mobile home has been transformed into a modern, light-filled retreat. Clean lines, thoughtful finishes, and a simplified footprint create an easy, intentional way of living. Outside, a stream quietly runs through the land—your own built-in soundtrack for morning coffee, afternoon naps, and evenings under the stars. This is the kind of place you come to slow down, reset, and stay a little longer than planned.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,462
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$3,435
− Insurance
−$1,942
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,877
− Management
−$1,877
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable loss
−$5,159
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,238
After-tax cash flow
$-15/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This mobile home requires extensive renovation and repairs to bring it up to code and modern standards, significantly improving its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen — No photos of kitchen
  • Major bath — No photos of bath
  • Major roof — No photos of roof
  • Major exterior — No photos of exterior
  • Major flooring — No photos of flooring
  • Major interior walls/paint — No photos of interior walls/paint
  • Major windows — No photos of windows
  • Major foundation/structure — No photos of foundation/structure
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — No photos of HVAC/mechanicals
  • Major landscaping/curb appeal — No photos of landscaping/curb appeal

Value-add opportunities

  • Both extensive renovation to bring home up to code and modern standards — This would significantly improve the home's marketability and safety
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced curb appeal would attract more buyers and renters
  • Both HVAC and mechanical upgrades — Modern, efficient systems would improve comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both exterior siding and roof repairs — These repairs would address immediate safety concerns and improve the home's appearance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen · No photos of kitchen Major $15,000–50,000
bath · No photos of bath Major $15,000–50,000
roof · No photos of roof Major $15,000–50,000
exterior · No photos of exterior Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · No photos of flooring Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · No photos of interior walls/paint Major $15,000–50,000
windows · No photos of windows Major $15,000–50,000
foundation/structure · No photos of foundation/structure Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No photos of HVAC/mechanicals Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping/curb appeal · No photos of landscaping/curb appeal Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 10 items $150,000–500,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both extensive renovation to bring home up to code and modern standards — This would significantly improve the home's marketability and safety
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced curb appeal would attract more buyers and renters
  • Both HVAC and mechanical upgrades — Modern, efficient systems would improve comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both exterior siding and roof repairs — These repairs would address immediate safety concerns and improve the home's appearance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Margaretville Central School District
NCES district ID
3618510
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,369
Composite
26.35/100
National rank
#12675
State rank
#734 of 755 in NY

Livability — Andes

Score
57/100
State rank
#1096
US rank
#22324

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime D+ Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,102

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,668 people
By 2030
40,337 · -5.5%
By 2040
35,514 · -16.8%
By 2050
31,265 · -26.7%
By 2075
24,455 · -42.7%
By 2100
19,529 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Italian 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.62%
Current HPI
408.9953
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $229,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-17 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $249,000 UNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…