9594 Doubloon Trl · Rotonda, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$685,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Unique Two-In-One home design. The first level features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, while the second level provides an additional 2 bedrooms and 2 baths, making it ideal for families or guests seeking both comfort and privacy. This exceptional property is located on Little Gasparilla Island, a bridgeless barrier island off the coast of the Cape Haze Peninsula and is accessible only by private boat or water taxi. The island is just a short 10-minute ride across the bay, offering a tranquil escape from the hustle and bustle of the mainland. Here, you can truly unwind and let your stress melt away. Located at the end of a peaceful cul-de-sac in Gaspar’s Hideaway. Residents enjoy the convenien
Key facts
- Large deck
- Two homes in one
- Outside kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is on a bridgeless barrier island accessible by private boat or water taxi only; Water access to bay/harbor, gulf/ocean, gulf/ocean to bay, and intracoastal waterway; Pets allowed (cats and dogs); Furnished
- HOA & community: Has HOA (annual fee $650 / $54.17 monthly equivalent); Association approval not required; Association contact: Deb Lyons-Wright
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Garage with door opener; Golf cart garage and golf cart parking (1 garage space)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Two stories; Stilt / on piling foundation; Faces east
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Metal roof; Built on stilt/piling foundation
- Exterior features: Outdoor grill; Outdoor kitchen; Outdoor shower; Exterior lighting
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Wood-burning fireplace in living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in kitchen and separate laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $685k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $685k).
- Recommended offer: $603k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.1% in Rotonda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#548 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 915 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $192k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 400 days — a 12% lower offer ($603k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $114k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $525k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 400 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.89%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $15,324
- Equity at exit
- $136,112
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $164,858
- Equity at exit
- $119,264
Cash invested: $191,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33946
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 915
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,594 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,592
- Tax from tax record
- −$957 /mo · $11,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$285
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$54
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,805
- Net cashflow
- $1,474
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $171,250
- Closing costs
- $20,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9736 Little Gasparilla Unit B Placida, FL | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1911 | $9,000 | $4.71 | 20d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 9498 Alborado Rd Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1780 | $8,500 | $4.78 | 20d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 550 Gaspar Dr Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1803 | $5,500 | $3.05 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 11000 Placida Rd #2201 Placida, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1973 | $8,750 | $4.43 | 20d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 13045 Via Aurelia Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1961 | $8,200 | $4.18 | 20d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10425 Pilothouse Cir #131 Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2390 | $5,000 | $2.09 | 20d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $54 · $648/yr
- Likely covers
- watergas
Listing history 49 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $685,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $685,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $685,000 Active 398 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $685,000 Active 397 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $685,000 Active 395 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $685,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $685,000 Active 392 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $685,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $685,000 Active 390 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $685,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $685,000 Active 384 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $685,000 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $685,000 Active 382 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $685,000 Active 381 DOM
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2026-05-09status Active
-
2026-05-07historical
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2026-02-07price $685,000
-
2025-08-08price $725,000
-
2025-05-12$799,000 Active
-
2022-10-11historical
-
2022-10-10historical
-
2022-09-13status Active
-
2022-09-12historical
-
2022-09-06$784,900 Active
-
2022-09-06$784,900 Active
-
2022-08-16historical
-
2022-06-07price $799,900
-
2022-04-20status Active
-
2022-04-19status Pending
-
2022-04-18price $849,000
-
2022-02-16$899,000 Active
-
2017-04-07soldstatus $525,000 Sold
-
2017-02-03status Pending
-
2017-01-14$549,000 Active
-
2016-09-27historical
-
2016-07-02status Active
-
2016-07-02historical
-
2016-03-28$549,000 Active
-
2014-10-23historical
-
2014-06-14status Active
-
2014-06-10historical
-
2014-04-28$595,000 Active
-
2007-06-25soldstatus $675,000
-
2007-06-21soldstatus $675,000
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2006-05-29$799,900
-
2006-03-06historical
-
2006-03-03historical
-
2005-09-19$799,900
-
2005-09-17$799,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $11,485 · $957/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,485 · $957/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $103,133
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,371
- − Property taxes
- −$11,485
- − Insurance
- −$8,544
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,251
- − Management
- −$8,251
- − HOA
- −$648
- − Depreciation
- −$19,927
- Taxable income
- $7,657
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,838
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Rotonda
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #548
- US rank
- #10359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 10,490
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,745
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.90%
- Current HPI
- 288.559
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-14.4% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-07 Price Changed $685,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $725,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-12 Listed $799,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-11 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2022-10-10 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-13 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2022-09-12 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2022-09-06 Listed $784,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-06 Listed $784,900 FORTMLS
- 2022-08-16 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-07 Price Changed $799,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-20 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-19 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-18 Price Changed $849,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-16 Listed $899,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-07 Sold (MLS) $525,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-03 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-14 Listed $549,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-02 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-02 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-28 Listed $549,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-23 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-14 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-10 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-04-28 Listed $595,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $675,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-21 Sold (MLS) $675,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-29 Listed $799,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-06 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-03 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-19 Listed $799,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-17 Listed $799,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $11,485 · +562.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…