Duplex
72 Ford St · Providence, RI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $835 – $1,551
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$569,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
OWNER OCCUPANTS AND INVESTORS TAKE NOTICE! Recently updated inside and out, townhouse second and third floor.
Key facts
- Finished attic
- Fitness area
- Finished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee (if applicable); Community access to highways, public transportation, sidewalks, shopping, restaurants, and proximity to hospital and schools
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Five off-street parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electrical service with 100 amp circuit breakers
- Home design: Multi-family building (2 units); Three total stories; Above-grade finished area reported
- Construction: Drywall and plaster interior walls; Vinyl siding; Built with standard foundation (information provided)
- Exterior features: Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen(s); Oven; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One unit with three bedrooms (LR, EIK); One unit with two bedrooms (LR, EIK)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms across units (two in 3-bed unit, one in 2-bed unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas-fired hot water heating
- Interior features: Attic with permanent attic stairs; Finished full basement with both interior and exterior entry
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $570k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $107/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $471k (17.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $471k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.0% in Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in RI, #794 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Providence (urban): math 8% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #34 of 39 in RI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: George J. West El. School (math 7% / reading 13%, grade F, #148 of 167 statewide, top 90%, 601 students, 84% FRL); Nathanael Greene Middle (math 10% / reading 23%, grade F, #37 of 57 statewide, top 64%, 808 students, 85% FRL); Central High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #53 of 58 statewide, top 96%, 1,302 students, 87% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.3%/yr); 62 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,712/mo this rent would consume 108% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 2189% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $570k implies a 396% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.61%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $457,800
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Lincoln Ave | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 | 2,106 (+0%) | 24mo | $460,000 | $218 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-53,990
- Equity at exit
- $84,974
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $83,117
- Equity at exit
- $49,275
Cash invested: $159,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 31 Tenant-Leaning
- State Rhode Island
- 31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02907
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- 15.3%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 20.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,712 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,989
- Tax from tax record
- −$282 /mo · $3,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$237
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$990
- Net cashflow
- $214
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $537 | -5% $376 | +0% $214 | +5% $53 | +10% $-108 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-158 | -5% $28 | +0% $214 | +5% $400 | +10% $587 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $501 | -0.5pp $359 | base $214 | +0.5pp $67 | +1.0pp $-84 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | — | $4,712 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $2,356 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $2,356 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,712 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $142,475
- Closing costs
- $17,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Anthony Ave Unit 1 Providence, RI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 56 Greenwich St Unit 1 Providence, RI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 216 Maplewood Ave Cranston, RI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2921 | $2,200 | $0.75 | 6d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 216 Maplewood Ave Cranston, RI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1850 | $2,200 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 14 Calef St Unit 16 Cranston, RI | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3000 | $3,500 | $1.17 | 19d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 35 Stadden St Unit 2/3 Providence, RI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1900 | $2,600 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-20$569,900 Active
-
2023-11-03status Pending
-
2023-11-03historical
-
2023-10-16$500,000 Active
-
2017-01-23soldstatus $115,000 Sold 109-char remark
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
OWNER OCCUPANTS AND INVESTORS TAKE NOTICE! Recently updated inside and out, townhouse second and third floor.
-
2016-11-08price $267,000
-
2016-10-27status Pending 109-char remark
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
OWNER OCCUPANTS AND INVESTORS TAKE NOTICE! Recently updated inside and out, townhouse second and third floor.
-
2016-08-23$123,900 Active - New 109-char remark
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
OWNER OCCUPANTS AND INVESTORS TAKE NOTICE! Recently updated inside and out, townhouse second and third floor.
-
2016-08-19historical
-
2016-02-22$124,900 Active - New
-
2014-12-13historical
-
2014-06-12$119,900 Active - New
-
2014-04-30historical
-
2013-12-19price $39,900
-
2013-11-02$89,900 Active
-
2008-12-02soldstatus $26,500
-
2008-10-15historical
-
2008-04-24$97,900
-
2007-08-02soldstatus $247,500
-
2006-06-15soldstatus $250,000
-
2005-12-05historical
-
2005-08-29$260,000
-
2005-08-05historical
-
2005-06-05$270,000
-
2001-10-15soldstatus $84,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,385 · $282/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,337 · $528/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,952/yr (+$246/mo · 87.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,544
- − Mortgage interest
- −$31,923
- − Property taxes
- −$3,385
- − Insurance
- −$2,850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,524
- − Management
- −$4,524
- − Depreciation
- −$16,579
- Taxable loss
- −$7,240
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,738
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Providence
- NCES district ID
- 4400900
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,197
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9803
- State rank
- #34 of 39 in RI
Livability — Providence
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #794
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Providence, RI
- County
- Providence County · 548,917 people
- City population
- 212,734
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,461
- Household income
- $52,485
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2189.0
Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 653,469 people
- By 2030
- 660,819 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 672,747 · +3.0%
- By 2050
- 683,741 · +4.6%
- By 2075
- 720,435 · +10.2%
- By 2100
- 741,582 · +13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 70% Two or more races 26% Black 10% White 10% Asian 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 50%
- Common ancestry
- Swiss 1% Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 55% · Canada, Jamaica, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 25% English-only · Spanish 67% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Providence
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.19%
- Current HPI
- 498.142
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.32%
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.25%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $373B |
|
||
| Food Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+574.4% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — RIS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $569,900 RIS
- 2023-11-03 Pending — RIS
- 2023-11-03 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2023-10-16 Listed $500,000 RIS
- 2017-01-23 Sold (MLS) $115,000 RIS
- 2016-11-08 Price Changed $267,000 RIS
- 2016-10-27 Pending — RIS
- 2016-08-23 Listed $123,900 RIS
- 2016-08-19 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2016-02-22 Listed $124,900 RIS
- 2014-12-13 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2014-06-12 Listed $119,900 RIS
- 2014-04-30 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2013-12-19 Price Changed $39,900 RIS
- 2013-11-02 Listed $89,900 RIS
- 2008-12-02 Sold (MLS) $26,500 RIS
- 2008-10-15 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2008-04-24 Listed $97,900 RIS
- 2007-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $247,500 Public Records
- 2006-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2005-12-05 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2005-08-29 Listed $260,000 RIS
- 2005-08-05 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2005-06-05 Listed $270,000 RIS
- 2001-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $84,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,385 · -38.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…