Duplex
665 E 59th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$495,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Short Sale AS IS - 3 story, 2 family brick. Community driveway w private parking at back. Entrance to 1st floor apt has separate door to left. Ground floor is a 3 BR's, 1 Bth, LR & Eat in kitchen. 2nd & 3rd floor make up the 2nd apt. 2nd Fl: LR open lay out w dining area, Large Kitchen w dining space, half bath. 3rd Fl: 4BR's & Full bath. Basement / Ground Floor: Full finished. Separate boiler room. Access to backyard / driveway. Kitchen, Full bath, 2 or 3 separate BR's, large living space. 1 water meter, 1 gas meter. Needs total renovation, No Access - Sight unseen. None Paying Tenants.
Key facts
- Access to backyard
- Private parking
- 2,000 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.8-bath units multifamily listed at $495k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $495k).
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.2%/yr); 460 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,655/mo this rent would consume 94% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 2384% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $139k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $190k; list at $495k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.27%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $999,000
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1124 Remsen Ave | 0.69mi | 7/2.5 (-1) | 2,837 (+5%) | 18mo | $1,050,000 | $370 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $112,773
- Equity at exit
- $73,806
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.46×
- Total profit
- $479,455
- Equity at exit
- $42,799
Cash invested: $138,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11234
- Rents YoY
- 16.2%
- Active inventory
- 460
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,655 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,596
- Tax from tax record
- −$788 /mo · $9,458/yr
- Insurance
- −$206
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,608
- Net cashflow
- $2,391
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,671 | -5% $2,531 | +0% $2,391 | +5% $2,251 | +10% $2,111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,786 | -5% $2,088 | +0% $2,391 | +5% $2,693 | +10% $2,995 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,640 | -0.5pp $2,517 | base $2,391 | +0.5pp $2,262 | +1.0pp $2,132 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | 1.8 | $7,656 |
| #1 | 4 | 1.8 | $3,828 |
| #2 | 4 | 1.8 | $3,828 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,655 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $123,750
- Closing costs
- $14,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2025-01-13status Pending
-
2025-01-10$495,000 Active
-
2019-01-18historical
-
2018-11-29soldstatus $190,000
-
2018-11-03status Back On Market
-
2018-11-03price $820,000
-
2018-04-06historical
-
2018-01-17$680,000 New
-
1999-07-06soldstatus $274,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,458 · $788/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,458 · $788/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $91,860
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,728
- − Property taxes
- −$9,458
- − Insurance
- −$3,272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,349
- − Management
- −$7,349
- − Depreciation
- −$14,400
- Taxable income
- $22,304
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,353
- After-tax cash flow
- $23,336/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 83,187
- Household income
- $97,479
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2384.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, China, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -667.47%
- Current HPI
- 318.0416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 16.21%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+80.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-01-13 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2025-01-10 Listed $495,000 BNYMLS
- 2019-01-18 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-03 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-03 Price Changed $820,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-06 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-17 Listed $680,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $274,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $9,458 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…