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23 Leonard Dr
B- Composite 66.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

23 Leonard Dr · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1957 6,098 sqft lot Est $105k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Municipal Occupancy Ready! Charming and move-in ready 3-bedroom home with a detached garage and extensive renovations throughout. From the moment you walk in, you'll appreciate the tasteful updates, including fresh paint, new windows, beautifully finished luxury vinyl flooring, and completely updated kitchen and bathroom spaces. The open concept layout creates a seamless flow between the living area and the renovated kitchen, featuring white shaker cabinets, brand-new countertops, back splash, large laundry room, and new ceiling fans. The bathroom has been updated with a new vanity, light fixture, toilet, and flooring. Additional major improvements provide peace of mind, including a new roo

Key facts

  • Updated kitchen
  • Updated bathroom
  • New roof

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEEXTENSIVE RENOVATIONSUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMNEW WINDOWSNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Construction materials: Other; Above-grade finished area approximately 936 (estimated)
  • Exterior features: Lot features: Other; Approximately 0.14-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Appliances included (details not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Central air; Forced air heating; Appliances included (unspecified)
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry/utility details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,367/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.96%
Cash-on-cash
16.68%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,832
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19 Leonard Dr 0.02mi 3/1.0 936 (0%) 1mo $59,000 $63 94
20 Leonard Dr 0.03mi 4/2.0 (+1) 975 (+4%) 0mo $110,000 $113 86
1708 Parklane Dr 0.17mi 3/1.0 925 (-1%) 2mo $105,000 $114 84
103 Kenneth Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 864 (-8%) 1mo $105,000 $122 71
306 Marion St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+7%) 1mo $49,000 $49 70
235 St Christopher Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 925 (-1%) 2mo $22,950 $25 69
1426 Richard Dr 0.51mi 3/1.5 912 (-3%) 2mo $80,000 $88 68
1417 Richard Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 936 (0%) 2mo $105,000 $112 68
1408 Williams St 0.62mi 3/1.0 936 (0%) 1mo $80,000 $85 66
1936 Doris 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 887 (-5%) 1mo $32,500 $37 54
1313 Saint Raphael St 0.62mi 3/1.0 864 (-8%) 1mo $105,000 $122 53
2116 Doris Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 880 (-6%) 2mo $105,000 $119 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$8,598
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$39,481
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,367 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$389

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $458 -5% $424 +0% $389 +5% $355 +10% $320
Rent -10% $281 -5% $335 +0% $389 +5% $443 +10% $497
Rate -1.0pp $439 -0.5pp $415 base $389 +0.5pp $363 +1.0pp $337

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 24d 1 0.21mi
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 5d 1 0.43mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 2d 1 0.55mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 22d 1 0.56mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.65mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 16d 1 0.66mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 15d 1 0.66mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 3d 1 0.67mi
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 22d 1 0.75mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 44d 1 0.79mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 15d 1 0.81mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 44d 1 0.82mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 22d 1 0.89mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 0.98mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 3d 1 1.00mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 24d 1 1.09mi
2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $885 $0.96 44d 1 1.15mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 22d 1 1.18mi
142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 2.0 990 $1,300 $1.31 44d 1 1.19mi
13 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 13d 1 1.21mi
701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 44d 1 1.26mi
70 W Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,200 $1.30 44d 1 1.26mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 16d 1 1.29mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 24d 1 1.32mi
121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 44d 1 1.35mi
2231 Loren St Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 44d 1 1.42mi
705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1033 $1,600 $1.55 22d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $100,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    status $105,000 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-10
    listed $105,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,408
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,313
− Management
−$1,313
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$3,272
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$785
After-tax cash flow
$3,884/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-31.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $17 · -99.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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