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502 E Lincoln E
B- Composite 68.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$92,000

502 E Lincoln E · Sulphur, LA 70663
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,369 sqft · SingleFamily · 133 Days on market
Built 1970 4,356 sqft lot $67/sqft · at area comps Est $90k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity - This duplex offers two-bedroom, one-bath units on each side, each with access to a covered carport, making it ideal for generating rental income.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1970

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $447 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 8.8% in Sulphur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#48 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
12.12%
Cash-on-cash
20.82%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,598
List price
$92,000
Delta
2.68%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 Pitre St 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,432 (+5%) 4mo $152,500 $106 78
718 E Lyons St E 0.17mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (-5%) 14mo $129,900 $100 63
855 E Lyons St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,518 (+11%) 3mo $115,000 $76 62
615 W Burton St St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,315 (-4%) 4mo $109,999 $84 55
106 W Carlton St W 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,446 (+6%) 11mo $165,000 $114 54
600 S Stanford St S 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (+2%) 15mo $72,000 $51 54
1230 Sherwood Dr 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,280 (-6%) 8mo $115,500 $90 52
728 W Lyons St W 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,305 (-5%) 2mo $73,000 $56 51
310 Cherry St 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,211 (-12%) 11mo $170,000 $140 50
207 N Johnson St N 0.29mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,206 (-12%) 15mo $120,000 $100 47
601 Mackey St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,329 (-3%) 19mo $127,500 $96 44
515 W Elizabeth St W 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (+14%) 7mo $152,500 $98 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$19,859
Equity at exit
$13,717
10-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
4.20×
Total profit
$82,409
Equity at exit
$7,954

Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70663

Rents YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
291
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,290 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$482
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $611/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$447

Break-even live

Break-even rent $724
Max offer price $92,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,000
Closing costs
$2,760
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1408 Christie Dr Sulphur, LA 3.0 2.0 1794 $4,250 $2.37 43d 1 0.71mi
625 N Claiborne St Unit 1 Sulphur, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $925 $0.77 13d 1 0.80mi
309 W Mimosa Dr Sulphur, LA 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,500 $1.15 13d 1 1.43mi
2304 Merwood St Unit B Sulphur, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $900 $0.75 20d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $92,000 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $92,000 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $92,000 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $92,000 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $92,000 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $92,000 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $92,000 Active 126 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $92,000 Active 124 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $92,000 Active 123 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $92,000 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $92,000 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $92,000 Active 118 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $92,000 Active 116 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $92,000 Active 115 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,000 Active 114 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $92,000 Active 113 DOM
  17. 2026-02-06
    listed $92,000 Active 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Great investment opportunity - This duplex offers two-bedroom, one-bath units on each side, each with access to a covered carport, making it ideal for generating rental income.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$611 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$611 · $51/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,475
− Mortgage interest
−$5,153
− Property taxes
−$611
− Insurance
−$460
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,238
− Management
−$1,238
− Depreciation
−$2,676
Taxable income
$4,098
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$983
After-tax cash flow
$4,381/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calcasieu Parish
NCES district ID
2200330
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$44,700
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5979
State rank
#29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Sulphur

Score
71/100
State rank
#48
US rank
#7164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sulphur, LA
County
Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
City population
27,799
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
Population (ZIP)
27,799
Household income
$64,707
Rent vs Own
19.7% rent · 80.3% own
Severe rent burden
197.0

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,179 people
By 2030
218,199 · +2.8%
By 2040
228,486 · +7.7%
By 2050
236,208 · +11.3%
By 2075
251,696 · +18.6%
By 2100
247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 13% Slovak 2% Scandinavian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.29%
Current HPI
100.0895
Rent YoY
▲ 7.65%
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $92,000 SWLAR

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $611 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…