502 E Lincoln E · Sulphur, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.3/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity - This duplex offers two-bedroom, one-bath units on each side, each with access to a covered carport, making it ideal for generating rental income.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1970
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $447 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 8.8% in Sulphur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#48 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.82%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,598
- List price
- $92,000
- Delta
- 2.68%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 Pitre St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,432 (+5%) | 4mo | $152,500 | $106 | 78 |
| 718 E Lyons St E | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-5%) | 14mo | $129,900 | $100 | 63 |
| 855 E Lyons St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,518 (+11%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $76 | 62 |
| 615 W Burton St St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,315 (-4%) | 4mo | $109,999 | $84 | 55 |
| 106 W Carlton St W | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,446 (+6%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $114 | 54 |
| 600 S Stanford St S | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (+2%) | 15mo | $72,000 | $51 | 54 |
| 1230 Sherwood Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,280 (-6%) | 8mo | $115,500 | $90 | 52 |
| 728 W Lyons St W | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,305 (-5%) | 2mo | $73,000 | $56 | 51 |
| 310 Cherry St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,211 (-12%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $140 | 50 |
| 207 N Johnson St N | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,206 (-12%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $100 | 47 |
| 601 Mackey St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,329 (-3%) | 19mo | $127,500 | $96 | 44 |
| 515 W Elizabeth St W | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+14%) | 7mo | $152,500 | $98 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $19,859
- Equity at exit
- $13,717
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.20×
- Total profit
- $82,409
- Equity at exit
- $7,954
Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70663
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,290 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$482
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $611/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $447
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,000
- Closing costs
- $2,760
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1408 Christie Dr Sulphur, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $4,250 | $2.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 625 N Claiborne St Unit 1 Sulphur, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $925 | $0.77 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 309 W Mimosa Dr Sulphur, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2304 Merwood St Unit B Sulphur, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $900 | $0.75 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $92,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $92,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $92,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $92,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $92,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $92,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $92,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $92,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $92,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $92,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $92,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $92,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $92,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $92,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $92,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-02-06$92,000 Active 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Great investment opportunity - This duplex offers two-bedroom, one-bath units on each side, each with access to a covered carport, making it ideal for generating rental income.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $611 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $611 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,153
- − Property taxes
- −$611
- − Insurance
- −$460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,238
- − Management
- −$1,238
- − Depreciation
- −$2,676
- Taxable income
- $4,098
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$983
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,381/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Sulphur
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #48
- US rank
- #7164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sulphur, LA
- County
- Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
- City population
- 27,799
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,799
- Household income
- $64,707
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 197.0
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Slovak 2% Scandinavian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.29%
- Current HPI
- 100.0895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.65%
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-06 Listed $92,000 SWLAR
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $611 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…