1211 Schley St · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property is perfect for an investor to complete a rehab.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1944
- Listed 44 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Address: 1211 Schley St, Macon, GA 31206; Subdivision: Bruce-Bedingfield; Lot size approximately 0.2 acre (8712 sq ft); Listing price $45,000; Public-record living area 1408 square feet; 1 photo available
- Financial info: Listing available for cash and other terms
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Electric service on property
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); Built in 1944; Composition roof
- Construction: Construction materials listed as other; No basement
- Exterior features: Private lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Flooring listed as other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (type listed as other); Has cooling (type listed as other)
- Interior features: One-level living; Fixer condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features listed as other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $667 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.1% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Southfield Elementary School (math 5% / reading 6%, grade F, #1,158 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 737 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,218/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.57%
- DSCR
- 3.83
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,741
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -43.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1250 Schley St | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,348 (-4%) | 2mo | $132,500 | $98 | 89 |
| 1336 Peavy Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,393 (-1%) | 1mo | $132,000 | $95 | 83 |
| 1175 Hartley St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,344 (-4%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $93 | 82 |
| 1308 Dewey St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,456 (+3%) | 7mo | $138,000 | $95 | 82 |
| 935 Troupe St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,430 (+2%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $59 | 65 |
| 4322 Mikado Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-4%) | 5mo | $75,500 | $56 | 63 |
| 1289/91 Rocky Creek Rd | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,404 (-0%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $53 | 60 |
| 1205 Buena Vista Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,321 (-6%) | 8mo | $8,000 | $6 | 57 |
| 1275 Triple Hill Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-1%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $93 | 54 |
| 4133 Buena Vista Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,257 (-11%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $36 | 49 |
| 4043 Emory Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,372 (-3%) | 10mo | $147,700 | $108 | 48 |
| 4055 Emory Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-14%) | 2mo | $58,000 | $48 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 64.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $37,765
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 69.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.82×
- Total profit
- $98,512
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31206
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,218 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $475/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $667
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $693 | -5% $680 | +0% $667 | +5% $655 | +10% $642 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $571 | -5% $619 | +0% $667 | +5% $716 | +10% $764 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $690 | -0.5pp $679 | base $667 | +0.5pp $656 | +1.0pp $644 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 955 Putnam St Unit 1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,199 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4322 Mikado Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,230 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1332 Hillridge Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1240 Rocky Creek Rd Unit A Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1342 | $1,090 | $0.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4052 Mikado Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1624 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4028 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 832 Richmond St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1364 | $925 | $0.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 846 Bedingfield Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1187 | $975 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 524 Carmen Pl Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $1,050 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3823 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3685 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3837 Spencer Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,300 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3709 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,300 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3423 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $895 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $750 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $45,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $45,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-05$45,000 New 56-char remark
-
2026-05-04historical
-
2025-07-14$45,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $475 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $475 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,610
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$475
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,169
- − Management
- −$1,169
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $7,742
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,858
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,310
- Household income
- $30,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1335.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.17%
- Current HPI
- 148.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $45,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-07-14 Listed $45,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+11.7%/yrLatest (2025): $475 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…