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B Composite 74.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$43,000

2960 Silver Creek Rd Lot 130 · Bullhead City, AZ 86442
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured · 142 Days on market
Built 1986 Est $64k · 33% under ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

CUTE AND COZY - FURNISHED Nice and bright single wide manufactured home with enclosed screened Arizona Room, (3) skylights, furnished , Move in Condition. Home is located in the Longridge Mobile Home Park a 55+community on leased land. This 2 bedroom 1 bath home is priced to sell, amenities include gas oven/range, refrigerator, washer/dryer, garbage disposal, walk in shower, flooring is laminate and vinyl, carpet in master bedroom. Home has DUAL PANE WINDOWS, desert landscaping with a backyard rock garden with swing to view the sunset, cozy backyard patio, storage shed, 2 car covered carport. Sales are contingent upon park approval for residency, applications may be picked up at managemen

Key facts

  • Garbage disposal
  • Washer dryer
  • Gas oven range

Tags

ENCLOSED SCREENED ARIZONA ROOM3 SKYLIGHTSGAS OVEN RANGEREFRIGERATORWASHER DRYERGARBAGE DISPOSAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1986; Single-story (implied)
  • Construction: Built in 1986
  • Exterior features: Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Interior features: Carpet flooring; Furnished; Pantry; Skylights; Patio

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $43k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $43k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.1% vs local median 3.7% in Bullhead City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#103 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Bullhead City School District (4378) (town): math 16% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #189 of 249 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 710 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $297 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $37,840 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.96%
Cap rate
26.07%
Cash-on-cash
70.62%
DSCR
4.14
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,288
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2960 Silver Creek Rd #58 0.07mi 2/1.5 728 (-7%) 10mo $75,000 $103 75
2960 Silver Creek Rd #155 0.07mi 2/2.0 728 (-7%) 18mo $60,000 $82 66
2960 Silver Creek Rd #23 0.40mi 2/2.0 840 (+7%) 3mo $50,000 $60 63
2960 Silver Creek Rd #98 0.07mi 2/2.0 900 (+15%) 15mo $60,000 $67 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
66.8%
Equity multiple
3.86×
Total profit
$34,447
Equity at exit
$6,411
10-year hold
IRR
70.1%
Equity multiple
7.13×
Total profit
$73,763
Equity at exit
$3,718

Cash invested: $12,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86442

Home prices YoY
-27.0%
Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
710
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,273 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$225
Tax est. 1.5%
$54 /mo · $645/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$709

Break-even live

Break-even rent $376
Max offer price $43,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,750
Closing costs
$1,290
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2801 Colibri Ct Bullhead City, AZ 2.0 1.0 720 $950 $1.32 13d 1 0.41mi
1570 Paseo Grande Bullhead City, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,585 $2.05 13d 10 0.68mi
2030 Prospector Ct Bullhead City, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1118 $1,259 $1.13 13d 13 1.37mi
1618 Goldrush Rd Bullhead City, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 731 $1,298 $1.77 13d 6 1.38mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-16
    price $43,000
  3. 2026-03-05
    price $49,000
  4. 2026-01-19
    price $55,000
  5. 2025-12-16
    listed $59,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥111°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,276
− Mortgage interest
−$2,409
− Property taxes
−$645
− Insurance
−$215
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,222
− Management
−$1,222
− Depreciation
−$1,251
Taxable income
$8,312
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,995
After-tax cash flow
$6,507/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bullhead City School District (4378)
NCES district ID
0401500
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,109
Composite
15.83/100
National rank
#9263
State rank
#189 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Bullhead City

Score
64/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#14458

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bullhead City, AZ
County
Mohave County · 181,906 people
City population
43,354
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
Population (ZIP)
34,735
Household income
$48,081
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
1040.0

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,184 people
By 2030
209,674 · +0.2%
By 2040
205,897 · -1.6%
By 2050
196,810 · -5.9%
By 2075
169,454 · -19.0%
By 2100
136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.11%
Current HPI
270.3297
Rent YoY
▼ -0.90%
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending FSBO.com
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $43,000 FSBO.com
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $49,000 FSBO.com
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $55,000 FSBO.com
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $59,900 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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