61 Buckingham Dr Unit A · Leisure Village, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-Bed, 2-Bath Home in Desirable Leisure Village (55+ Community) Welcome to this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in the sought-after Leisure Village, a gated 55+ community offering resort-style amenities and a convenient location.This home features a remodeled main bathroom and a private en-suite in the primary bedroom with a well-kept shower stall. The spacious layout includes new windows throughout and an enclosed breezeway connecting to the attached garage, which boasts a new door. Enjoy a low-maintenance lifestyle with access to community lakes (with small boating allowed), a clubhouse, swimming pool, and beautifully landscaped grounds—all behind a guarded entry gate for added security. Ideally located close to major shopping centers, highways, and the GSP.
Key facts
- Community lakes
- Clubhouse
- Private en-suite
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 6.0% in Leisure Village — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#416 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oak Street Elem School (math 17% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,030 of 1,303 statewide, top 80%, 534 students, 97% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (math 16% / reading 30%, grade F, #376 of 431 statewide, top 88%, 995 students, 94% FRL); Lakewood High School (math 14% / reading 37%, grade F, #321 of 399 statewide, top 81%, 1,423 students, 86% FRL).
- Market conditions: 543 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 67d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 79% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 375 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 375 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.64%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,029
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -9.68%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87C Dorchester Dr #1003 | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (-4%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $151 | 82 |
| 80C Dorchester Dr | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (-4%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $151 | 80 |
| 115A Buckingham Dr | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,053 (+9%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $180 | 76 |
| 111B Edinburgh Ln | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,053 (+9%) | 1mo | $251,000 | $238 | 74 |
| 682 New Castle Ct Unit B | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (+1%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $178 | 70 |
| 280B Kingston Ct #2001 | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (+1%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $183 | 66 |
| 300A W Malvern Ct Unit A | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (-11%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $134 | 66 |
| 41G Cambridge Ct | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 841 (-13%) | 0mo | $117,500 | $140 | 64 |
| 48G Cambridge Ct | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 841 (-13%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $149 | 64 |
| 653F Plymouth Dr | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (-11%) | 0mo | $196,500 | $229 | 56 |
| 212D Huntington Dr Unit D | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (-11%) | 1mo | $168,000 | $196 | 55 |
| 155 Lucy Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,072 (+11%) | 0mo | $610,000 | $569 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-14,630
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $2,462
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 46 active · 34 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.8 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $194,450 ($212/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 53 d
- This list price
- 22% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -13.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 08701
- Active inventory
- 543
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,056 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$346
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $284 | -5% $229 | +0% $173 | +5% $118 | +10% $63 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $11 | -5% $92 | +0% $173 | +5% $255 | +10% $336 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $254 | -0.5pp $214 | base $173 | +0.5pp $132 | +1.0pp $90 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47L Cambridge Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,795 | $2.13 | 73d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 106A Edinburgh Ln Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,200 | $2.56 | 66d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 341B Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,275 | $2.32 | 71d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 335A Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 68d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 219 Buckingham Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,900 | $2.87 | 93d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,150 | $2.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,150 | $2.15 | 38d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 533E Dartmoor Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,750 | $2.64 | 19d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1034B Aberdeen Dr Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,350 | $2.04 | 42d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1042C Aberdeen Dr Unit C Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,000 | $2.04 | 53d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 841B Inverness Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,600 | $2.41 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 824A Balmoral Ct Unit A Toms River, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,200 | $2.24 | 68d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 829A Balmoral Ct Unit 1001 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,600 | $2.41 | 73d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 523 Sophee Ln #1000 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,800 | $2.02 | 48d | 1 | 1.29mi |
HOA detail $346/mo · $4,152/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpoolsecurity
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $159,900 Active 375 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $159,900 Active 373 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $159,900 Active 372 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $159,900 Active 371 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $159,900 Active 370 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $159,900 Active 367 DOM
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2026-07-30pricedays on market $159,900 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $199,500 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $199,500 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $199,500 Active 360 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $199,500 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $199,500 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $199,500 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $199,500 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $199,500 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $199,500 Active 353 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $199,500 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $199,500 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $199,500 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $199,500 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $199,500 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $199,500 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $199,500 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $199,500 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $199,500 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $199,500 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $199,500 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $199,500 Active 340 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $199,500 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $199,500 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $199,500 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $199,500 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $199,500 Active 335 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $199,500 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $199,500 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $199,500 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $199,500 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $199,500 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,500 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,500 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,500 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,500 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,500 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,500 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,500 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,500 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,500 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,500 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,500 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,500 Active 309 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,673
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,398
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,974
- − Management
- −$1,974
- − HOA
- −$4,152
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$233
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$56
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,135/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in Leisure Village is well-maintained with a good condition score. It has a good roof, exterior, and interior walls, but the kitchen needs updating. The home is move-in ready with a good curb appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate kitchen appliances — outdated and in need of replacement
- Moderate roof shingles — visible wear and tear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers ↑
- Resale repair roof shingles — aesthetic appeal and potential for water damage ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakewood Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3408220
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,301
- Composite
- 19.21/100
- National rank
- #8813
- State rank
- #417 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Leisure Village
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #14624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leisure Village, NJ
- County
- Ocean County · 586,991 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 139,149
- Household income
- $64,959
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -682.83%
- Current HPI
- 465.344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-7.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $199,500 MOMLS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $210,000 MOMLS
- 2025-07-29 Listed $215,000 MOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…