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5970 Tangledahl Ln
B Composite 70.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,700

5970 Tangledahl Ln · Beaumont, TX 77706
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,371 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1968 0.26 ac lot $67/sqft · 46% below area Est $300k · 47% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious home full of potential in a nice location! Nestled in a quiet, well-established area just down the road from Regina Howell Schools, this property offers the perfect opportunity to make it your own. With generous living spaces and a functional layout, there’s plenty of room to update and customize to fit your vision. Venture outside to a big backyard—ideal for entertaining, gardening, or simply enjoying the outdoors. Whether you’re looking for your next home or an investment opportunity, this one has great bones and endless possibilities in a fantastic neighborhood!

Key facts

  • Big backyard
  • Functional layout
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

BIG BACKYARDGENEROUS LIVING SPACESFUNCTIONAL LAYOUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 258 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,118 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
9.73%
Cash-on-cash
12.28%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$299,784
List price
$159,700
Delta
-46.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5755 Sul Ross Ln 0.33mi 4/2.0 2,447 (+3%) 1mo $256,500 $105 77
6070 Pan St 0.24mi 4/2.5 2,477 (+4%) 7mo $330,000 $133 76
1365 Sheridan Ln 0.53mi 4/2.5 2,343 (-1%) 1mo $289,900 $124 73
6120 Pinkstaff Ln 0.13mi 4/2.5 2,617 (+10%) 9mo $315,000 $120 69
1865 Rikisha Ln 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,186 (-8%) 10mo $192,500 $88 56
5715 Dellwood Ln 0.30mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,286 (-4%) 23mo $289,000 $126 56
4870 Teakwood Ln 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,369 (-0%) 23mo $265,000 $112 55
5770 Derby Ln 0.27mi 4/2.0 2,038 (-14%) 19mo $268,900 $132 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-6,006
Equity at exit
$23,812
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$7,134
Equity at exit
$13,808

Cash invested: $44,716 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77706

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
258
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,293 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$837
Tax from tax record
$449 /mo · $5,394/yr
Insurance
$67
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$481
Net cashflow
$391

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,797
Max offer price $159,700
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,925
Closing costs
$4,791
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1510 Belvedere Dr Beaumont, TX 4.0 2.5 2476 $2,200 $0.89 23d 1 0.28mi
930 Hibiscus Cir Beaumont, TX 4.0 2.5 2639 $2,950 $1.12 14d 1 0.58mi
5875 Oleander Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 2595 $2,500 $0.96 44d 1 0.62mi
4740 Baywood Ln Beaumont, TX 4.0 3.0 2548 $2,495 $0.98 23d 1 0.63mi
440 N Circuit Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1946 $2,150 $1.10 23d 1 0.93mi
6795 Greenwood Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,500 $1.52 23d 1 1.16mi
770 Peyton Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1769 $1,895 $1.07 44d 1 1.20mi
880 Lockwood Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1819 $1,995 $1.10 44d 1 1.22mi
6286 Afton Ln Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 2024 $1,675 $0.83 23d 1 1.26mi
1170 Brandywine St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 2100 $1,890 $0.90 23d 1 1.32mi
7 Stonebrook Ct Beaumont, TX 5.0 3.5 3000 $3,500 $1.17 14d 1 1.32mi
1915 Sams Way Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1696 $2,100 $1.24 23d 1 1.33mi
5195 Oriole Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1814 $2,000 $1.10 44d 1 1.43mi
3450 Durwood Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1952 $2,195 $1.12 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,700 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,700 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,700 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,700 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,700 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,700 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $159,700 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,700 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,700 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $199,700 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $201,400 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $201,400 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $201,400 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $201,400 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $201,400 Active 47 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    price $201,400 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    Spacious home full of potential in a nice location! Nestled in a quiet, well-established area just down the road from Regina Howell Schools, this property offers the perfect opportunity to make it your own. With generous living spaces and a functional layout, there’s plenty of room to update and customize to fit your vision. Venture outside to a big backyard—ideal for entertaining, gardening, or simply enjoying the outdoors. Whether you’re looking for your next home or an investment opportunity, this one has great bones and endless possibilities in a fantastic neighborhood!

  17. 2026-04-14
    listed $212,000 Active 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    Spacious home full of potential in a nice location! Nestled in a quiet, well-established area just down the road from Regina Howell Schools, this property offers the perfect opportunity to make it your own. With generous living spaces and a functional layout, there’s plenty of room to update and customize to fit your vision. Venture outside to a big backyard—ideal for entertaining, gardening, or simply enjoying the outdoors. Whether you’re looking for your next home or an investment opportunity, this one has great bones and endless possibilities in a fantastic neighborhood!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,394 · $449/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,394 · $449/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,512
− Mortgage interest
−$8,946
− Property taxes
−$5,394
− Insurance
−$1,596
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,201
− Management
−$2,201
− Depreciation
−$4,646
Taxable income
$2,529
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$607
After-tax cash flow
$4,088/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaumont ISD
NCES district ID
4809670
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,683
Composite
15.43/100
National rank
#9316
State rank
#789 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beaumont

Score
64/100
State rank
#739
US rank
#13710

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaumont, TX
County
Jefferson County · 203,592 people
City population
125,901
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
30,393
Household income
$73,185
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
1299.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -180.53%
Current HPI
159.4053
Rent YoY
▲ 0.66%
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $201,400 BBOR
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $212,000 BBOR

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,394 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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