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3660 20th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 79.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,350,000

3660 20th St · San Francisco, CA 94110
8 bd · 5.0 ba · 3,862 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1907 2,866 sqft lot $350/sqft · 35% below area Est $2092k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptional value-add multifamily opportunity in the heart of San Francisco's Mission District. 3660 20th Street is a five-unit building offered at $1,350,000 ($270,000/unit, $350/SF), featuring a strong unit mix of (3) two-bedroom units, (2) one-bedroom units, and a non-tenant-occupied garage providing ancillary income free of tenant protections. The 3,862 SF building sits on a 2,866 SF lot and currently generates $7,113/month against estimated market rents of $19,000/month approximately 167% upside to gross scheduled income. Steps from Mission Dolores Park, the Valencia Corridor, Tartine, Bi-Rite, and Delfina, with walkable access to both 16th Street and 24th Street BART stations and U. S. 101. Originally acquired through a trust sale with historically below-market rents, the asset offers a clear path to stabilization through organic turnover and targeted renovations in one of San Francisco's most supply-constrained submarkets. Listed at a 3.40% cap rate and 15.82 GRM on in-place numbers.

Key facts

  • Strong unit mix
  • Targeted renovations
  • Walkable access

Tags

MULTIFAMILY OPPORTUNITYFIVE UNIT BUILDINGNON TENANT OCCUPIED GARAGESTRONG UNIT MIXWALKABLE ACCESSTARGETED RENOVATIONS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $1,350,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$2,092,459) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8-bed/5.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.35M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($66k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($18k rent vs $1.35M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.31M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $18,415/mo this rent would consume 140% of the median local household income ($158k/yr) (locally 2732% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $40k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $378k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.31M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,309,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.15%
Cash-on-cash
17.33%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$2,092,459
List price
$1,350,000
Delta
-35.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
75-79 Brosnan St 0.68mi 8/4.0 3,656 (-5%) 5mo $1,385,000 $379 51
3283 25th St 0.66mi 7/5.0 (-1) 4,273 (+11%) 0mo $2,400,000 $562 46
67-71 Sharon St 0.58mi 8/3.0 3,851 (-0%) 22mo $2,455,000 $637 46
3017 20th St 0.63mi 9/— (+1) 4,200 (+9%) 8mo $900,000 $214 44
759 Capp St 0.43mi 7/6.0 (-1) 3,500 (-9%) 15mo $905,000 $259 43
2760-2762 Folsom St 0.59mi 7/3.0 (-1) 3,750 (-3%) 19mo $1,932,125 $515 39
685 Noe St 0.52mi 8/5.0 4,385 (+14%) 18mo $3,880,000 $885 38
3932-3934 26th St 0.74mi 7/— (-1) 4,155 (+8%) 20mo $4,999,000 $1,203 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$226,424
Equity at exit
$201,289
10-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
3.88×
Total profit
$1,088,393
Equity at exit
$116,723

Cash invested: $378,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94110

Rents YoY
14.5%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
17.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$18,415 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$7,080
Tax from tax record
$1,446 /mo · $17,353/yr
Insurance
$562
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,867
Net cashflow
$5,460

Break-even live

Break-even rent $11,504
Max offer price $1,350,000
Occupancy floor 65%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $5,309
Total (3 units) $18,415

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$337,500
Closing costs
$40,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,350,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-04-28
    listed $1,350,000 Active 1006-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1006 chars)

    Exceptional value-add multifamily opportunity in the heart of San Francisco's Mission District. 3660 20th Street is a five-unit building offered at $1,350,000 ($270,000/unit, $350/SF), featuring a strong unit mix of (3) two-bedroom units, (2) one-bedroom units, and a non-tenant-occupied garage providing ancillary income free of tenant protections. The 3,862 SF building sits on a 2,866 SF lot and currently generates $7,113/month against estimated market rents of $19,000/month approximately 167% upside to gross scheduled income. Steps from Mission Dolores Park, the Valencia Corridor, Tartine, Bi-Rite, and Delfina, with walkable access to both 16th Street and 24th Street BART stations and U. S. 101. Originally acquired through a trust sale with historically below-market rents, the asset offers a clear path to stabilization through organic turnover and targeted renovations in one of San Francisco's most supply-constrained submarkets. Listed at a 3.40% cap rate and 15.82 GRM on in-place numbers.

  16. 2021-12-03
    soldstatus $1,275,000 Closed 77-char remark
    Show marketing remark (77 chars)

    * * * Court Confirmation and Overbid Date is Set * * * November 8, 2021.

  17. 2021-12-03
    soldstatus $1,275,000
    Show marketing remark (77 chars)

    * * * Court Confirmation and Overbid Date is Set * * * November 8, 2021.

  18. 2021-11-08
    status Pending 77-char remark
    Show marketing remark (77 chars)

    * * * Court Confirmation and Overbid Date is Set * * * November 8, 2021.

  19. 2021-07-30
    listed $1,100,000 Active 77-char remark
    Show marketing remark (77 chars)

    * * * Court Confirmation and Overbid Date is Set * * * November 8, 2021.

  20. 2005-07-29
    listed $935,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$17,353 · $1,446/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$17,353 · $1,446/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥78°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$220,980
− Mortgage interest
−$75,621
− Property taxes
−$17,353
− Insurance
−$6,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$17,678
− Management
−$17,678
− Depreciation
−$39,273
Taxable income
$46,627
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$11,190
After-tax cash flow
$54,326/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
66,865
Household income
$158,351
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
2732.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 32% Asian 16% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 27% Chinese 5% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1385.62%
Current HPI
267.2424
Rent YoY
▲ 14.54%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+44.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $1,350,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2021-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $1,275,000 Public Records
  • 2021-12-03 Sold (MLS) $1,275,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2021-11-08 Pending San Francisco MLS
  • 2021-07-30 Listed $1,100,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2005-07-29 Listed $935,000 San Francisco MLS

Property tax history

+10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $17,353 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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