2006 Villa Dr · Tyler, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Townhome in Highland Villas – Low-Maintenance Living Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the highly desirable Highland Villas community. Spanning 1,522 square feet across two levels, this home offers a perfect blend of comfort, style, and low-maintenance living. Step inside to discover an open-concept layout featuring spacious living and dining areas, a well-equipped kitchen, and a private primary suite. The attached 2-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage space. Conveniently located near shopping, hospitals, and city amenities, this townhome is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. This is a rare opportunity to own a fantastic property. Seller is also willing to rent at $1420/month with $1000 deposit.
Key facts
- Private bedrooms
- Extra storage
- Secure parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-209 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (19.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (16.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.6% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
- Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 649 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 364 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 364 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.72%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $231,086
- List price
- $189,990
- Delta
- -17.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2501 Villa Ct | 0.23mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,409 (-10%) | 8mo | $199,500 | $142 | 60 |
| 3614 Birdwell Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,776 (+14%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $166 | 47 |
| 1425 Easy St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,351 (-13%) | 10mo | $229,900 | $170 | 42 |
| 3801 Old Troup Hwy | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,394 (-11%) | 20mo | $178,200 | $128 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-48,671
- Equity at exit
- $28,328
- IRR
- -47.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.45×
- Total profit
- $-77,120
- Equity at exit
- $16,427
Cash invested: $53,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75703
- Rents YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 649
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,594 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$268 /mo · $3,221/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$125
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $-209
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,498
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4118 Southpark Dr Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $1,450 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 4309 Aberdeen Dr Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $1,475 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1909 Sybil Ln Tyler, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1067 | $1,510 | $1.42 | 13d | 9 | 0.16mi |
| 4400 Paluxy Dr Tyler, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,227 | $1.36 | 13d | 60 | 0.24mi |
| 4418 Edinburgh Dr Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,750 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4518 Edinburgh Dr Unit 4520 Edinburgh Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,425 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4520 Edinburgh Dr Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,425 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3038 Santa Elena Dr Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $2,485 | $1.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3032 Santa Elena Dr Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1473 | $2,485 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2725 Amy Ln Tyler, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1146 | $1,520 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1717 Shiloh Rd Tyler, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,449 | $1.45 | 13d | 10 | 0.82mi |
| 4920 Thistle Dr Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,387 | $1.79 | 13d | 8 | 0.85mi |
| 3113 Greg Ln Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1157 | $1,300 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3127 Andy Ln Tyler, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1733 | $2,100 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5058 Paluxy Dr Tyler, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,608 | $1.67 | 13d | 11 | 0.89mi |
| 2525 Shiloh Rd Tyler, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,379 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1101 Balmoral Dr Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1930 | $1,950 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3712 Colony Park Dr Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1802 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3206 Bain Pl Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $1,895 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 509 Winchester Dr Tyler, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1960 | $2,400 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5603 Thomas Nelson Dr Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1880 | $2,500 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 328 Brookwood Dr Tyler, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1985 | $2,300 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5716 Thomas Nelson Dr Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1855 | $2,300 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3210 S Donnybrook Ave Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,945 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 826 Wilma St Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,800 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3106 S Donnybrook Ave Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1251 | $1,525 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $125 · $1,500/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,990 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,990 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,990 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,990 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,990 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,990 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,990 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,990 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,990 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-03-14price $190,000 804-char remark
Show marketing remark (804 chars)
Charming Townhome in Highland Villas – Low-Maintenance Living Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the highly desirable Highland Villas community. Spanning 1,522 square feet across two levels, this home offers a perfect blend of comfort, style, and low-maintenance living. Step inside to discover an open-concept layout featuring spacious living and dining areas, a well-equipped kitchen, and a private primary suite. The attached 2-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage space. Conveniently located near shopping, hospitals, and city amenities, this townhome is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. This is a rare opportunity to own a fantastic property. Seller is also willing to rent at $1420/month with $1000 deposit.
-
2026-03-07price $199,400 804-char remark
Show marketing remark (804 chars)
Charming Townhome in Highland Villas – Low-Maintenance Living Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the highly desirable Highland Villas community. Spanning 1,522 square feet across two levels, this home offers a perfect blend of comfort, style, and low-maintenance living. Step inside to discover an open-concept layout featuring spacious living and dining areas, a well-equipped kitchen, and a private primary suite. The attached 2-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage space. Conveniently located near shopping, hospitals, and city amenities, this townhome is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. This is a rare opportunity to own a fantastic property. Seller is also willing to rent at $1420/month with $1000 deposit.
-
2025-11-26price $199,500 804-char remark
Show marketing remark (804 chars)
Charming Townhome in Highland Villas – Low-Maintenance Living Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the highly desirable Highland Villas community. Spanning 1,522 square feet across two levels, this home offers a perfect blend of comfort, style, and low-maintenance living. Step inside to discover an open-concept layout featuring spacious living and dining areas, a well-equipped kitchen, and a private primary suite. The attached 2-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage space. Conveniently located near shopping, hospitals, and city amenities, this townhome is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. This is a rare opportunity to own a fantastic property. Seller is also willing to rent at $1420/month with $1000 deposit.
-
2025-08-14price $200,000 804-char remark
Show marketing remark (804 chars)
Charming Townhome in Highland Villas – Low-Maintenance Living Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the highly desirable Highland Villas community. Spanning 1,522 square feet across two levels, this home offers a perfect blend of comfort, style, and low-maintenance living. Step inside to discover an open-concept layout featuring spacious living and dining areas, a well-equipped kitchen, and a private primary suite. The attached 2-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage space. Conveniently located near shopping, hospitals, and city amenities, this townhome is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. This is a rare opportunity to own a fantastic property. Seller is also willing to rent at $1420/month with $1000 deposit.
-
2025-07-25price $214,500 804-char remark
Show marketing remark (804 chars)
Charming Townhome in Highland Villas – Low-Maintenance Living Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the highly desirable Highland Villas community. Spanning 1,522 square feet across two levels, this home offers a perfect blend of comfort, style, and low-maintenance living. Step inside to discover an open-concept layout featuring spacious living and dining areas, a well-equipped kitchen, and a private primary suite. The attached 2-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage space. Conveniently located near shopping, hospitals, and city amenities, this townhome is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. This is a rare opportunity to own a fantastic property. Seller is also willing to rent at $1420/month with $1000 deposit.
-
2025-07-14price $215,000 804-char remark
Show marketing remark (804 chars)
Charming Townhome in Highland Villas – Low-Maintenance Living Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the highly desirable Highland Villas community. Spanning 1,522 square feet across two levels, this home offers a perfect blend of comfort, style, and low-maintenance living. Step inside to discover an open-concept layout featuring spacious living and dining areas, a well-equipped kitchen, and a private primary suite. The attached 2-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage space. Conveniently located near shopping, hospitals, and city amenities, this townhome is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. This is a rare opportunity to own a fantastic property. Seller is also willing to rent at $1420/month with $1000 deposit.
-
2025-06-11$220,000 Active 804-char remark
Show marketing remark (804 chars)
Charming Townhome in Highland Villas – Low-Maintenance Living Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the highly desirable Highland Villas community. Spanning 1,522 square feet across two levels, this home offers a perfect blend of comfort, style, and low-maintenance living. Step inside to discover an open-concept layout featuring spacious living and dining areas, a well-equipped kitchen, and a private primary suite. The attached 2-car garage provides secure parking and additional storage space. Conveniently located near shopping, hospitals, and city amenities, this townhome is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. This is a rare opportunity to own a fantastic property. Seller is also willing to rent at $1420/month with $1000 deposit.
-
2005-05-06soldstatus
-
1996-04-29soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,221 · $268/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,477 · $290/mo
- Expected delta
- +$255/yr (+$21/mo · 7.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,134
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,642
- − Property taxes
- −$3,221
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,531
- − Management
- −$1,531
- − HOA
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$5,769
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,384
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,127/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tyler ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843470
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,090
- Composite
- 32.69/100
- National rank
- #5650
- State rank
- #449 of 826 in TX
Livability — Tyler
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #147
- US rank
- #4181
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tyler, TX
- County
- Smith County · 180,570 people
- City population
- 127,842
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,039
- Household income
- $79,194
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1585.0
Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,890 people
- By 2030
- 261,665 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 286,114 · +15.0%
- By 2050
- 308,006 · +23.8%
- By 2075
- 354,171 · +42.3%
- By 2100
- 372,828 · +49.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Smith
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -218.79%
- Current HPI
- 182.3842
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.95%
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-13.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $190,000 GTAR
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $199,400 GTAR
- 2025-11-26 Price Changed $199,500 GTAR
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $200,000 GTAR
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $214,500 GTAR
- 2025-07-14 Price Changed $215,000 GTAR
- 2025-06-11 Listed $220,000 GTAR
- 2005-05-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1996-04-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2024): $3,221 · -7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…