1037 New Orleans Ave Ave · Port Arthur, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Single-family home in Port Arthur with approximately 1,016 sq ft on a 4,200 sq ft lot. Built in 1962, the property is being sold as-is and offers potential for renovation.
Key facts
- 4,200 sq ft lot
- Built 1962
- Listed 142 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 5.0% in Port Arthur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,014 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Port Arthur ISD (urban): math 15% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #796 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.43%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,926
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -19.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1235 Dequeen Blvd | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-1%) | 5mo | $10,000 | $10 | 63 |
| 530 Liberty Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,127 (+11%) | 15mo | $210,000 | $186 | 39 |
| 1040 E 18th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-11%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $100 | 38 |
| 2217 Rev Dr Ransom Howard St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+13%) | 18mo | $30,000 | $26 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $17,539
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $49,577
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77640
- Home prices YoY
- -22.2%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,401/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $414
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1409 10th St Port Arthur, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $925 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1409 10th St Unit A Port Arthur, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1278 | $1,275 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1300 18th St Port Arthur, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,495 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 311 12th St Port Arthur, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,200 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3000 8th St Port Arthur, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,195 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2510 Avenue A Port Arthur, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,500 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $55,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $55,000 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Single-family home in Port Arthur with approximately 1,016 sq ft on a 4,200 sq ft lot. Built in 1962, the property is being sold as-is and offers potential for renovation.
-
2026-03-10price $62,000 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Single-family home in Port Arthur with approximately 1,016 sq ft on a 4,200 sq ft lot. Built in 1962, the property is being sold as-is and offers potential for renovation.
-
2026-01-27$75,000 Active 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Single-family home in Port Arthur with approximately 1,016 sq ft on a 4,200 sq ft lot. Built in 1962, the property is being sold as-is and offers potential for renovation.
-
2022-08-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,401 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,401 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,401
- − Insurance
- −$1,072
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $4,437
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,065
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Arthur ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4835400
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,795
- Composite
- 14.9/100
- National rank
- #9373
- State rank
- #796 of 826 in TX
Livability — Port Arthur
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1014
- US rank
- #18061
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Arthur, TX
- City population
- 38,358
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,480
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,015 people
- By 2030
- 260,685 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 263,309 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 265,237 · +2.4%
- By 2075
- 270,193 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 255,628 · -1.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.78%
- Current HPI
- 167.6359
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-26.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $55,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $62,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Listed $75,000 HARMLS
- 2022-08-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,401 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…