529 13th St · Rawlins, WY 82301

$67,900

1 bd · 2.0 ba · 420 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market

Built 1907 6,098 sqft lot Est $68k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.2/10.0
• ARV discount +7.6/15.0
• Schools +3.8/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 6,098 sq ft lot
• Built 1907
• Listed 32 days

Tags

• LOCATED NEAR WASHINGTON PARK

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Aluminum siding
• Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.14 acre; Located in the Park Hill 3 subdivision

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Oven
• Flooring: Carpet
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating
• Interior features: Refrigerator; Range; Oven

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($899 rent vs $68k).
• Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.1% in Rawlins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#31 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
• Carbon County School District #1 (town): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #35 of 41 in WY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $469 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Carbon County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $65,863 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.32% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.57%
• Cash-on-cash: 18.86%
• DSCR: 1.84
• GRM: 6.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $68,040
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
529 13th St	0.00mi	1/0.8	420 (0%)	0mo	$67,900	$162	95

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.42×
• Total profit: $8,005
• Equity at exit: $10,124

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.65×
• Total profit: $31,386
• Equity at exit: $5,871

Cash invested: $19,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Wyoming: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 82301

• Active inventory: 92
• Price-to-rent: 6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $899 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$356
• Tax from tax record: −$27 /mo · $325/yr
• Insurance: −$28
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$189
• Net cashflow: $299

Break-even live

Break-even rent $521

Max offer price $67,900

Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $337	-5% $318	+0% $299	+5% $280	+10% $260
Rent	-10% $228	-5% $263	+0% $299	+5% $334	+10% $370
Rate	-1.0pp $333	-0.5pp $316	base $299	+0.5pp $281	+1.0pp $263

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,975
• Closing costs: $2,037
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-05-06
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-04
   listed $67,900 Active
3. 2026-01-22
   status Active
4. 2025-08-21
   price $67,900
5. 2025-04-03
   listed $72,000 Active
6. 2019-04-23
   listed $39,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $325 · $27/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $414 · $35/mo
• Expected delta: +$89/yr (+$7/mo · 27.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 5 d/yr ≥86°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,788
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,803
• − Property taxes: −$325
• − Insurance: −$340
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$863
• − Management: −$863
• − Depreciation: −$1,975
• Taxable income: $2,619
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$629
• After-tax cash flow: $2,957/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Carbon County School District #1
• NCES district ID: 5601030
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $59,074
• Composite: 38.23/100
• National rank: #4248
• State rank: #35 of 41 in WY

Livability — Rawlins

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #31
• US rank: #7516

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Rawlins, WY
• County: Carbon County · 8,180 people
• City population: 8,180
• Metro: Rock Springs, WY
• Population (ZIP): 8,180
• Household income: $62,841
• Rent vs Own: 28.6% rent · 71.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 163.0

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 15,217 people
• By 2030: 14,977 · -1.6%
• By 2040: 14,430 · -5.2%
• By 2050: 14,381 · -5.5%
• By 2075: 14,566 · -4.3%
• By 2100: 13,729 · -9.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (70%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 19%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 3% Slovak 2% Scottish 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+58.1) · D 20.1% · R 78.3% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -29.0pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -58.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+58.1 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+50.5 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+29.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -202.83%
• Current HPI: 139.787
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Rock Springs, WY
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+74.1% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-06 Pending — WMLS
• 2026-04-04 Listed $67,900 WMLS
• 2026-01-22 Relisted — WMLS
• 2025-08-21 Price Changed $67,900 WMLS
• 2025-04-03 Listed $72,000 WMLS
• 2019-04-23 Listed $39,000 WMLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $325 · -25.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.