376 Vermont Ave · Rochester, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Cash flow +3.8/30.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$168,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Duplex - 1st floor occupied 3 Bedroom 1 full Bath - 2nd Floor vacant remodeled 2 Bedroom 1 Full Bath - whole house blown in insulation - Separate Utilities - Washers/Dryers/Stoves/Refrigerators All Stay -2 Hot Water Tanks - 2 Furnace 3 Car Detached Garage - Tenants pay their own utilities.
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- 2 furnace
- 2 hot water tanks
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: One unit currently rents for $750; One unit currently rents for $600
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Total of 3 parking spaces
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water available; Public sewer available
- Home design: Two-unit property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: R-1 zoning
Interior
- Bedrooms: One unit with 2 bedrooms; One unit with 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $168k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-483 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $83k (50.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (43.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $83k (50.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 2.8% vs local median 6.7% in Rochester — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#220 in PA, #1,937 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester Area SD (rural): math 28% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #375 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rochester Area El Sch (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 334 students, 100% FRL); Rochester Ms (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #385 of 512 statewide, top 76%, 160 students, 100% FRL); Rochester High School (math 34%, 225 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 57% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $168k implies a 572% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.57% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.32%
- DSCR
- 0.45
- GRM
- 14.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -39.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.23×
- Total profit
- $-57,927
- Equity at exit
- $25,049
- IRR
- -59.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.91×
- Total profit
- $-89,809
- Equity at exit
- $14,526
Cash invested: $47,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15074
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 14.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $953 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$881
- Tax from tax record
- −$285 /mo · $3,422/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $-483
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-388 | -5% $-435 | +0% $-483 | +5% $-531 | +10% $-578 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-558 | -5% $-521 | +0% $-483 | +5% $-445 | +10% $-408 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-398 | -0.5pp $-440 | base $-483 | +0.5pp $-527 | +1.0pp $-571 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,000
- Closing costs
- $5,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $168,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $168,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $168,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 292-char remark
-
2026-06-16$168,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,422 · $285/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,422 · $285/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,440
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,411
- − Property taxes
- −$3,422
- − Insurance
- −$840
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$915
- − Management
- −$915
- − Depreciation
- −$4,887
- Taxable loss
- −$8,950
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,148
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,648/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220460
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,841
- Composite
- 32.7/100
- National rank
- #5644
- State rank
- #375 of 539 in PA
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #1937
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,543
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.06%
- Current HPI
- 166.4711
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+572.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $168,000 West Penn MLS
- 1990-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2026): $3,422 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…