2679 Walnut Blvd · Ashtabula, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gorgeous 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick beauty on Walnut Boulevard. Three lots total . 39-acres of Lake Erie views. Kitchen with morning room and views of the Lake. Main floor office and formal dining room. Sunny living room. Very well maintained home with so much charm. Single panel wood doors with glass knobs, rounded doorways, hardwood floors, brick gas fireplace. Views from 5 rooms of Lake Erie. The 2nd floor sleeping porch with lake views will win you over. 3rd floor bonus room. Newer full bath with shower on the lower level. All appliances (excluding freezer) are included as well as 12-month home warranty. 1-mile to Walnut Beach and Bridge Street restaurants, shops and festivals and Lake Erie access.
Key facts
- 5,806 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1932
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $315k).
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 8.2% in Ashtabula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#420 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Ashtabula Area City (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #588 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 155 units permitted in Ashtabula County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,341/mo this rent would consume 129% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashtabula County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.95%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $247,696
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1015 Allen Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.5 | 2,415 (+10%) | 9mo | $227,000 | $94 | 52 |
| 717 Allen Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,907 (-13%) | 15mo | $213,000 | $112 | 46 |
| 1024 Norwood Dr | 0.22mi | 4/3.5 | 1,875 (-14%) | 16mo | $212,000 | $113 | 45 |
| 1219 Union Ave | 0.45mi | 4/1.5 | 1,904 (-13%) | 19mo | $215,000 | $113 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $84,529
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- 31.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.81×
- Total profit
- $248,255
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44004
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,341 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$308 /mo · $3,697/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,122
- Net cashflow
- $2,128
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,306 | -5% $2,217 | +0% $2,128 | +5% $2,039 | +10% $1,950 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,706 | -5% $1,917 | +0% $2,128 | +5% $2,339 | +10% $2,550 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,287 | -0.5pp $2,208 | base $2,128 | +0.5pp $2,047 | +1.0pp $1,964 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1036 Union Ave Unit 1496086P Ashtabula, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1496 | $5,341 | $3.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending
-
2026-04-05historical Contingent
-
2026-04-01$315,000 Active
-
2023-06-02historical 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Gorgeous 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick beauty on Walnut Boulevard. Three lots total . 39-acres of Lake Erie views. Kitchen with morning room and views of the Lake. Main floor office and formal dining room. Sunny living room. Very well maintained home with so much charm. Single panel wood doors with glass knobs, rounded doorways, hardwood floors, brick gas fireplace. Views from 5 rooms of Lake Erie. The 2nd floor sleeping porch with lake views will win you over. 3rd floor bonus room. Newer full bath with shower on the lower level. All appliances (excluding freezer) are included as well as 12-month home warranty. 1-mile to Walnut Beach and Bridge Street restaurants, shops and festivals and Lake Erie access.
-
2023-06-02soldstatus $310,000
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Gorgeous 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick beauty on Walnut Boulevard. Three lots total . 39-acres of Lake Erie views. Kitchen with morning room and views of the Lake. Main floor office and formal dining room. Sunny living room. Very well maintained home with so much charm. Single panel wood doors with glass knobs, rounded doorways, hardwood floors, brick gas fireplace. Views from 5 rooms of Lake Erie. The 2nd floor sleeping porch with lake views will win you over. 3rd floor bonus room. Newer full bath with shower on the lower level. All appliances (excluding freezer) are included as well as 12-month home warranty. 1-mile to Walnut Beach and Bridge Street restaurants, shops and festivals and Lake Erie access.
-
2023-06-01soldstatus $310,000 Closed 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Gorgeous 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick beauty on Walnut Boulevard. Three lots total . 39-acres of Lake Erie views. Kitchen with morning room and views of the Lake. Main floor office and formal dining room. Sunny living room. Very well maintained home with so much charm. Single panel wood doors with glass knobs, rounded doorways, hardwood floors, brick gas fireplace. Views from 5 rooms of Lake Erie. The 2nd floor sleeping porch with lake views will win you over. 3rd floor bonus room. Newer full bath with shower on the lower level. All appliances (excluding freezer) are included as well as 12-month home warranty. 1-mile to Walnut Beach and Bridge Street restaurants, shops and festivals and Lake Erie access.
-
2023-05-23status Pending 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Gorgeous 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick beauty on Walnut Boulevard. Three lots total . 39-acres of Lake Erie views. Kitchen with morning room and views of the Lake. Main floor office and formal dining room. Sunny living room. Very well maintained home with so much charm. Single panel wood doors with glass knobs, rounded doorways, hardwood floors, brick gas fireplace. Views from 5 rooms of Lake Erie. The 2nd floor sleeping porch with lake views will win you over. 3rd floor bonus room. Newer full bath with shower on the lower level. All appliances (excluding freezer) are included as well as 12-month home warranty. 1-mile to Walnut Beach and Bridge Street restaurants, shops and festivals and Lake Erie access.
-
2023-04-28historical Contingent 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Gorgeous 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick beauty on Walnut Boulevard. Three lots total . 39-acres of Lake Erie views. Kitchen with morning room and views of the Lake. Main floor office and formal dining room. Sunny living room. Very well maintained home with so much charm. Single panel wood doors with glass knobs, rounded doorways, hardwood floors, brick gas fireplace. Views from 5 rooms of Lake Erie. The 2nd floor sleeping porch with lake views will win you over. 3rd floor bonus room. Newer full bath with shower on the lower level. All appliances (excluding freezer) are included as well as 12-month home warranty. 1-mile to Walnut Beach and Bridge Street restaurants, shops and festivals and Lake Erie access.
-
2023-04-25status Active 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Gorgeous 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick beauty on Walnut Boulevard. Three lots total . 39-acres of Lake Erie views. Kitchen with morning room and views of the Lake. Main floor office and formal dining room. Sunny living room. Very well maintained home with so much charm. Single panel wood doors with glass knobs, rounded doorways, hardwood floors, brick gas fireplace. Views from 5 rooms of Lake Erie. The 2nd floor sleeping porch with lake views will win you over. 3rd floor bonus room. Newer full bath with shower on the lower level. All appliances (excluding freezer) are included as well as 12-month home warranty. 1-mile to Walnut Beach and Bridge Street restaurants, shops and festivals and Lake Erie access.
-
2023-04-24status Pending 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Gorgeous 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick beauty on Walnut Boulevard. Three lots total . 39-acres of Lake Erie views. Kitchen with morning room and views of the Lake. Main floor office and formal dining room. Sunny living room. Very well maintained home with so much charm. Single panel wood doors with glass knobs, rounded doorways, hardwood floors, brick gas fireplace. Views from 5 rooms of Lake Erie. The 2nd floor sleeping porch with lake views will win you over. 3rd floor bonus room. Newer full bath with shower on the lower level. All appliances (excluding freezer) are included as well as 12-month home warranty. 1-mile to Walnut Beach and Bridge Street restaurants, shops and festivals and Lake Erie access.
-
2023-04-21$313,000 Active 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Gorgeous 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick beauty on Walnut Boulevard. Three lots total . 39-acres of Lake Erie views. Kitchen with morning room and views of the Lake. Main floor office and formal dining room. Sunny living room. Very well maintained home with so much charm. Single panel wood doors with glass knobs, rounded doorways, hardwood floors, brick gas fireplace. Views from 5 rooms of Lake Erie. The 2nd floor sleeping porch with lake views will win you over. 3rd floor bonus room. Newer full bath with shower on the lower level. All appliances (excluding freezer) are included as well as 12-month home warranty. 1-mile to Walnut Beach and Bridge Street restaurants, shops and festivals and Lake Erie access.
-
2003-12-15historical
-
2003-12-05soldstatus $142,500
-
2003-12-05soldstatus $142,500
-
2003-06-09$110,000
-
2003-03-06$149,900
-
2003-02-28historical
-
2001-12-07$149,900
-
2001-11-15historical
-
2001-05-31$180,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,697 · $308/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,305 · $359/mo
- Expected delta
- +$609/yr (+$51/mo · 16.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $64,092
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$3,697
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,127
- − Management
- −$5,127
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable income
- $21,757
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,222
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,316/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashtabula Area City
- NCES district ID
- 3904351
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,812
- Composite
- 24.3/100
- National rank
- #7712
- State rank
- #588 of 656 in OH
Livability — Ashtabula
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #420
- US rank
- #6883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashtabula, OH
- County
- Ashtabula · 97,617 people
- City population
- 31,076
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,076
- Household income
- $49,507
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14.1
Population outlook (Ashtabula County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 92,950 people
- By 2030
- 89,146 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 80,715 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 72,270 · -22.2%
- By 2075
- 55,780 · -40.0%
- By 2100
- 40,928 · -56.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashtabula
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.9pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+12.1 2008: D+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.51%
- Current HPI
- 260.7146
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+75.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-05 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-01 Listed $315,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-06-02 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2023-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-01 Sold (MLS) $310,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-05-23 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2023-04-28 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2023-04-25 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2023-04-24 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2023-04-21 Listed $313,000 MLSNOW
- 2003-12-15 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2003-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $142,500 Public Records
- 2003-12-05 Sold (MLS) $142,500 MLSNOW
- 2003-06-09 Listed $110,000 MLSNOW
- 2003-03-06 Listed $149,900 MLSNOW
- 2003-02-28 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2001-12-07 Listed $149,900 MLSNOW
- 2001-11-15 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2001-05-31 Listed $180,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,697 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…