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12 Walton Pl
C+ Composite 64.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$699,000

12 Walton Pl · Ocean City, NJ 08226
None bd · None ba · 1,428 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1900 Est $1361k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bay Views! Property is being offered for land value only. The current structure features bay views from the rear deck, offering excellent potential for future redevelopment or new construction. Access to the structure is limited and requires a signed Hold Harmless Agreement before entry. Please complete and submit the agreement to the listing agent before scheduling or touring the property. Please see the associated documents for the required form. Property being sold AS IS.

Key facts

  • Bay views
  • Rear deck
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

BAY VIEWSREAR DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Survey available
  • Financial info: Listed for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Two exterior parking spaces; No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater; Separate electric and gas meters
  • Home design: Multi-unit property (3 units)
  • Construction: Asbestos, cedar, and wood shingle exterior; Property over 25 years old
  • Exterior features: Bay view; Stone driveway

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Space/wall/floor heating
  • Interior features: Wall/space heaters

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a single-family listed at $699k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $959 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $699k).
  • Recommended offer: $678k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.3% in Ocean City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#72 in NJ, #1,762 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, cost of living F.
  • Ocean City School District (urban): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #212 of 472 in NJ (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ocean City Primary School (math 54% / reading 42%, grade D, #299 of 1,303 statewide, top 23%, 280 students, 31% FRL); Ocean City Intermediate School (math 26% / reading 49%, grade F, #217 of 431 statewide, top 51%, 370 students, 27% FRL); Ocean City High School (math 33% / reading 63%, grade D, #117 of 399 statewide, top 30%, 1,215 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 427 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($678k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $678,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.67%
Cash-on-cash
8.49%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,361,164
List price
$699,000
Delta
-48.65%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1312 Bay Ave 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,444 (+1%) 18mo $1,050,000 $727 70
1309 Pleasure Ave 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,291 (-10%) 9mo $1,100,000 $852 63
301 13th St 0.33mi 5/2.5 1,574 (+10%) 16mo $800,000 $508 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-52,204
Equity at exit
$104,223
10-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$33,140
Equity at exit
$60,437

Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08226

Active inventory
427
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,085 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,666
Tax from tax record
$255 /mo · $3,061/yr
Insurance
$291
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,488
Net cashflow
$959

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,872
Max offer price $699,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,355 -5% $1,157 +0% $959 +5% $761 +10% $563
Rent -10% $399 -5% $679 +0% $959 +5% $1,239 +10% $1,519
Rate -1.0pp $1,311 -0.5pp $1,137 base $959 +0.5pp $778 +1.0pp $594

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$174,750
Closing costs
$20,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1142 Simpson Ave Unit 1308992P Ocean City, NJ 3.0 2.0 1097 $7,788 $7.10 45d 1 0.17mi
935 Ocean Ave Ocean City, NJ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1112 $5,350 $4.81 45d 1 0.53mi
101 West Ave Unit 1309011P Ocean City, NJ 3.0 1.0 990 $5,019 $5.07 45d 1 1.02mi
710 Battersea Rd Unit 1309016P Ocean City, NJ 3.0 2.0 1291 $8,042 $6.23 45d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $699,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $699,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $699,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $699,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $699,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $699,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $699,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $699,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $699,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $699,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $699,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $699,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $699,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $699,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $699,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $699,000 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $699,000 Active 23 DOM
  18. 2026-05-08
    listed $699,000 Active 452-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Bay Views! Property is being offered for land value only. The current structure features bay views from the rear deck, offering excellent potential for future redevelopment or new construction. Access to the structure is limited and requires a signed Hold Harmless Agreement before entry. Please complete and submit the agreement to the listing agent before scheduling or touring the property. Please see the associated documents for the required form. Property being sold AS IS.

  19. 2026-05-08
    listed $699,000 Active 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Bay Views! Property is being offered for land value only. The current structure features bay views from the rear deck, offering excellent potential for future redevelopment or new construction. Access to the structure is limited and requires a signed Hold Harmless Agreement before entry. Please complete and submit the agreement to the listing agent before scheduling or touring the property. Please see the associated documents for the required form. Property being sold AS IS.

  20. 2025-12-17
    soldstatus $680,000
  21. 2025-10-20
    historical
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Multi-Unit Opportunity in Ocean City's Bay Area! Welcome to 2 Walton Place—a rare 3-unit property in the heart of Ocean City’s sought-after bay area! This unique offering features a front duplex and a detached rear cottage, all on a spacious 120x25 ft lot. The front building offers two well-maintained units: Unit A (First Floor): 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom Unit B (Second Floor): 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom Tucked behind the main building, the detached cottage is full of charm and coastal whimsy, offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom—perfect for summer guests, extended family, or rental income. Enjoy the privacy and character of the central courtyard, perfect for outdoor dining or relaxing after a beach day. The spacious front yard adds curb appeal and room to play, while 2 off-street parking spots complete this investment package. Just a short walk to the bay, beach, boardwalk, and downtown, this is a versatile property with endless potential—ideal for investors or a multi-generational beach retreat!

  22. 2025-10-20
    historical
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Multi-Unit Opportunity in Ocean City's Bay Area! Welcome to 2 Walton Place—a rare 3-unit property in the heart of Ocean City’s sought-after bay area! This unique offering features a front duplex and a detached rear cottage, all on a spacious 120x25 ft lot. The front building offers two well-maintained units: Unit A (First Floor): 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom Unit B (Second Floor): 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom Tucked behind the main building, the detached cottage is full of charm and coastal whimsy, offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom—perfect for summer guests, extended family, or rental income. Enjoy the privacy and character of the central courtyard, perfect for outdoor dining or relaxing after a beach day. The spacious front yard adds curb appeal and room to play, while 2 off-street parking spots complete this investment package. Just a short walk to the bay, beach, boardwalk, and downtown, this is a versatile property with endless potential—ideal for investors or a multi-generational beach retreat!

  23. 2025-09-17
    listed $799,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Multi-Unit Opportunity in Ocean City's Bay Area! Welcome to 2 Walton Place—a rare 3-unit property in the heart of Ocean City’s sought-after bay area! This unique offering features a front duplex and a detached rear cottage, all on a spacious 120x25 ft lot. The front building offers two well-maintained units: Unit A (First Floor): 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom Unit B (Second Floor): 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom Tucked behind the main building, the detached cottage is full of charm and coastal whimsy, offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom—perfect for summer guests, extended family, or rental income. Enjoy the privacy and character of the central courtyard, perfect for outdoor dining or relaxing after a beach day. The spacious front yard adds curb appeal and room to play, while 2 off-street parking spots complete this investment package. Just a short walk to the bay, beach, boardwalk, and downtown, this is a versatile property with endless potential—ideal for investors or a multi-generational beach retreat!

  24. 2025-09-17
    listed $799,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Multi-Unit Opportunity in Ocean City's Bay Area! Welcome to 2 Walton Place—a rare 3-unit property in the heart of Ocean City’s sought-after bay area! This unique offering features a front duplex and a detached rear cottage, all on a spacious 120x25 ft lot. The front building offers two well-maintained units: Unit A (First Floor): 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom Unit B (Second Floor): 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom Tucked behind the main building, the detached cottage is full of charm and coastal whimsy, offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom—perfect for summer guests, extended family, or rental income. Enjoy the privacy and character of the central courtyard, perfect for outdoor dining or relaxing after a beach day. The spacious front yard adds curb appeal and room to play, while 2 off-street parking spots complete this investment package. Just a short walk to the bay, beach, boardwalk, and downtown, this is a versatile property with endless potential—ideal for investors or a multi-generational beach retreat!

  25. 2025-09-17
    historical
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Multi-Unit Opportunity in Ocean City's Bay Area! Welcome to 2 Walton Place—a rare 3-unit property in the heart of Ocean City’s sought-after bay area! This unique offering features a front duplex and a detached rear cottage, all on a spacious 120x25 ft lot. The front building offers two well-maintained units: Unit A (First Floor): 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom Unit B (Second Floor): 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom Tucked behind the main building, the detached cottage is full of charm and coastal whimsy, offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom—perfect for summer guests, extended family, or rental income. Enjoy the privacy and character of the central courtyard, perfect for outdoor dining or relaxing after a beach day. The spacious front yard adds curb appeal and room to play, while 2 off-street parking spots complete this investment package. Just a short walk to the bay, beach, boardwalk, and downtown, this is a versatile property with endless potential—ideal for investors or a multi-generational beach retreat!

  26. 2025-09-17
    historical
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Multi-Unit Opportunity in Ocean City's Bay Area! Welcome to 2 Walton Place—a rare 3-unit property in the heart of Ocean City’s sought-after bay area! This unique offering features a front duplex and a detached rear cottage, all on a spacious 120x25 ft lot. The front building offers two well-maintained units: Unit A (First Floor): 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom Unit B (Second Floor): 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom Tucked behind the main building, the detached cottage is full of charm and coastal whimsy, offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom—perfect for summer guests, extended family, or rental income. Enjoy the privacy and character of the central courtyard, perfect for outdoor dining or relaxing after a beach day. The spacious front yard adds curb appeal and room to play, while 2 off-street parking spots complete this investment package. Just a short walk to the bay, beach, boardwalk, and downtown, this is a versatile property with endless potential—ideal for investors or a multi-generational beach retreat!

  27. 2025-08-31
    price $849,900
  28. 2025-08-31
    price $849,900
  29. 2025-08-21
    price $899,900
  30. 2025-08-21
    price $899,900
  31. 2025-08-05
    price $999,900
  32. 2025-08-05
    price $999,900
  33. 2025-07-24
    listed $1,100,000 Active
  34. 2025-07-24
    listed $1,100,000 Active
  35. 1999-03-15
    soldstatus $119,000
  36. 1990-05-17
    soldstatus $105,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,061 · $255/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,233 · $853/mo
Expected delta
+$7,172/yr (+$598/mo · 234.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$85,025
− Mortgage interest
−$39,155
− Property taxes
−$3,061
− Insurance
−$8,614
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,802
− Management
−$6,802
− Depreciation
−$20,335
Taxable income
$257
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$62
After-tax cash flow
$11,446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean City School District
NCES district ID
3411970
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$60,444
Composite
37.07/100
National rank
#4506
State rank
#212 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Ocean City

Score
80/100
State rank
#72
US rank
#1762

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute B- Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing D+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean City, NJ
City population
11,260
Population (ZIP)
11,260

Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,234 people
By 2030
84,144 · -4.6%
By 2040
75,146 · -14.8%
By 2050
67,389 · -23.6%
By 2075
55,732 · -36.8%
By 2100
44,972 · -49.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 2% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cape May

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.7% · R 58.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.9 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -381.90%
Current HPI
389.3687
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+565.7% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $699,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $699,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $680,000 Public Records
  • 2025-10-20 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Listed $799,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Listed $799,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-08-31 Price Changed $849,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-08-31 Price Changed $849,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $899,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $899,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-08-05 Price Changed $999,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-08-05 Price Changed $999,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Listed $1,100,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Listed $1,100,000 SJSRMLS
  • 1999-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $119,000 Public Records
  • 1990-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,061 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…