16600 Orange Ave #48 · Paramount, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +5.9/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wow, this property is good move in condition, kitchen has been renovated with quartz counter tops and marble back splash, kitchen is fully equipped with stainless steel stove, microwave, doble doors refrigerator, with dishwasher and washer and dryer, new cabinets, it has a bar/island that seats comfortably 4 people, recessed lighting in the kitchen and living room, all blinds will stay with the property, laminated light brown floors throughout the entire home, recently painted in and out, double painted windows that makes the interior nice and quiet, interior laundry, master bedroom has a remote control celling fan, doble sink and wall to wall closet, lots of closet space, crown molding, glass shower doors. central heat, spacious cover patio perfect foe BBQ's and entertaining, space for 3 cars parking with carport, storage room, community offers pool, jacuzzi, kids soccer field and club house. close to the 91 FWY and 710 FWY, walking distance to shopping and markets. show this large home to your special buyers. .
Key facts
- Marble back splash
- Kitchen renovated
- Recessed lighting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $235k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $894 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.2% in Paramount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#432 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Paramount Unified (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #416 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,187/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 2420% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.30%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $227,091
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- 3.48%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16511 Garfield Unit B4 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-2%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $193 | 82 |
| 16600 Orange Ave #129 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 22mo | $217,500 | $174 | 72 |
| 16600 Orange Ave Spc 111 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 16mo | $158,000 | $110 | 71 |
| 16601 Garfield Ave #107 | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+2%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $141 | 70 |
| 16601 Garfield #129 | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-7%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $146 | 68 |
| 16707 Garfield Ave #1707 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-11%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $221 | 64 |
| 16707 S Garfield, #1703 #1703 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (+7%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $106 | 58 |
| 16511 Garfield Ave Unit 62B | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,140 (-14%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $219 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $9,566
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $45,744
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90723
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,187 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$669
- Net cashflow
- $894
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1319 E 68th St Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $2,600 | $2.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 6765 Lemon Ave Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $3,800 | $3.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 6501 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,874 | $2.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6651 Millmark Ave Long Beach, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $3,750 | $2.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6890 Paramount Blvd Unit 12 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,695 | $2.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6327 California Ave Long Beach, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $4,500 | $3.21 | 1d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6327 California Ave Long Beach, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $4,450 | $3.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6202 Cherry Ave Unit 6202 Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,175 | $2.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 15334 Orizaba Ave Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $3,095 | $2.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7227 Richfield St Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $2,450 | $2.75 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7317 Richfield St Unit 7317 Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $3,200 | $3.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6045 Cherry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $2,850 | $2.60 | 12d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3384 E 67th St Apt 2 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,234 | $3.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-03-06price $235,000 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
Wow, this property is good move in condition, kitchen has been renovated with quartz counter tops and marble back splash, kitchen is fully equipped with stainless steel stove, microwave, doble doors refrigerator, with dishwasher and washer and dryer, new cabinets, it has a bar/island that seats comfortably 4 people, recessed lighting in the kitchen and living room, all blinds will stay with the property, laminated light brown floors throughout the entire home, recently painted in and out, double painted windows that makes the interior nice and quiet, interior laundry, master bedroom has a remote control celling fan, doble sink and wall to wall closet, lots of closet space, crown molding, glass shower doors. central heat, spacious cover patio perfect foe BBQ's and entertaining, space for 3 cars parking with carport, storage room, community offers pool, jacuzzi, kids soccer field and club house. close to the 91 FWY and 710 FWY, walking distance to shopping and markets. show this large home to your special buyers. .
-
2026-01-26$249,000 Active 1029-char remark
Show marketing remark (1029 chars)
Wow, this property is good move in condition, kitchen has been renovated with quartz counter tops and marble back splash, kitchen is fully equipped with stainless steel stove, microwave, doble doors refrigerator, with dishwasher and washer and dryer, new cabinets, it has a bar/island that seats comfortably 4 people, recessed lighting in the kitchen and living room, all blinds will stay with the property, laminated light brown floors throughout the entire home, recently painted in and out, double painted windows that makes the interior nice and quiet, interior laundry, master bedroom has a remote control celling fan, doble sink and wall to wall closet, lots of closet space, crown molding, glass shower doors. central heat, spacious cover patio perfect foe BBQ's and entertaining, space for 3 cars parking with carport, storage room, community offers pool, jacuzzi, kids soccer field and club house. close to the 91 FWY and 710 FWY, walking distance to shopping and markets. show this large home to your special buyers. .
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,248
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,525
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,060
- − Management
- −$3,060
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $7,429
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,783
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property is in good condition with recent renovations and updates, making it a good move-in condition. It has a good curb appeal and is ready for a new owner.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and aesthetics
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and aesthetics ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paramount Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629850
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,631
- Composite
- 21.25/100
- National rank
- #8398
- State rank
- #416 of 517 in CA
Livability — Paramount
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #432
- US rank
- #14664
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paramount, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 52,050
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,050
- Household income
- $75,250
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2420.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 26% Black 9% White 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 71%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 67% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -459.80%
- Current HPI
- 478.1981
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.99%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $235,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-26 Listed $249,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…