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16600 Orange Ave #48
B- Composite 65.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.9/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,000

16600 Orange Ave #48 · Paramount, CA 90723
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · Manufactured · 125 Days on market
Built 1967 Good condition $178/sqft · at area comps Est $227k · at est. ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wow, this property is good move in condition, kitchen has been renovated with quartz counter tops and marble back splash, kitchen is fully equipped with stainless steel stove, microwave, doble doors refrigerator, with dishwasher and washer and dryer, new cabinets, it has a bar/island that seats comfortably 4 people, recessed lighting in the kitchen and living room, all blinds will stay with the property, laminated light brown floors throughout the entire home, recently painted in and out, double painted windows that makes the interior nice and quiet, interior laundry, master bedroom has a remote control celling fan, doble sink and wall to wall closet, lots of closet space, crown molding, glass shower doors. central heat, spacious cover patio perfect foe BBQ's and entertaining, space for 3 cars parking with carport, storage room, community offers pool, jacuzzi, kids soccer field and club house. close to the 91 FWY and 710 FWY, walking distance to shopping and markets. show this large home to your special buyers. .

Key facts

  • Marble back splash
  • Kitchen renovated
  • Recessed lighting

Tags

KITCHEN RENOVATEDQUARTZ COUNTER TOPSMARBLE BACK SPLASHSTAINLESS STEEL STOVEBAR ISLANDRECESSED LIGHTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $235k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $894 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.2% in Paramount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#432 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Paramount Unified (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #416 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,187/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 2420% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.86%
Cash-on-cash
16.30%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$227,091
List price
$235,000
Delta
3.48%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16511 Garfield Unit B4 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-2%) 5mo $250,000 $193 82
16600 Orange Ave #129 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-6%) 22mo $217,500 $174 72
16600 Orange Ave Spc 111 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+9%) 16mo $158,000 $110 71
16601 Garfield Ave #107 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (+2%) 7mo $190,000 $141 70
16601 Garfield #129 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-7%) 6mo $180,000 $146 68
16707 Garfield Ave #1707 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-11%) 8mo $260,000 $221 64
16707 S Garfield, #1703 #1703 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,413 (+7%) 23mo $150,000 $106 58
16511 Garfield Ave Unit 62B 0.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,140 (-14%) 8mo $250,000 $219 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$9,566
Equity at exit
$35,039
10-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$45,744
Equity at exit
$20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 90723

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,187 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax est. 1.5%
$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$669
Net cashflow
$894

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,056
Max offer price $235,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1319 E 68th St Long Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 902 $2,600 $2.88 24d 1 0.39mi
6765 Lemon Ave Long Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1197 $3,800 $3.17 3d 1 0.51mi
6501 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 915 $1,874 $2.05 15d 1 0.83mi
6651 Millmark Ave Long Beach, CA 4.0 2.0 1440 $3,750 $2.60 43d 1 0.85mi
6890 Paramount Blvd Unit 12 Long Beach, CA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,695 $2.45 43d 1 0.93mi
6327 California Ave Long Beach, CA 4.0 3.0 1400 $4,500 $3.21 1d 1 1.05mi
6327 California Ave Long Beach, CA 4.0 2.5 1400 $4,450 $3.18 43d 1 1.05mi
6202 Cherry Ave Unit 6202 Long Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 875 $2,175 $2.49 43d 1 1.20mi
15334 Orizaba Ave Paramount, CA 3.0 1.0 1116 $3,095 $2.77 43d 1 1.23mi
7227 Richfield St Paramount, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 890 $2,450 $2.75 2d 1 1.27mi
7317 Richfield St Unit 7317 Paramount, CA 3.0 1.0 924 $3,200 $3.46 43d 1 1.29mi
6045 Cherry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA 3.0 1.0 1095 $2,850 $2.60 12d 1 1.35mi
3384 E 67th St Apt 2 Long Beach, CA 3.0 1.0 1000 $3,234 $3.23 43d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $235,000 Active 125 DOM
  2. 2026-03-06
    price $235,000 1029-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    Wow, this property is good move in condition, kitchen has been renovated with quartz counter tops and marble back splash, kitchen is fully equipped with stainless steel stove, microwave, doble doors refrigerator, with dishwasher and washer and dryer, new cabinets, it has a bar/island that seats comfortably 4 people, recessed lighting in the kitchen and living room, all blinds will stay with the property, laminated light brown floors throughout the entire home, recently painted in and out, double painted windows that makes the interior nice and quiet, interior laundry, master bedroom has a remote control celling fan, doble sink and wall to wall closet, lots of closet space, crown molding, glass shower doors. central heat, spacious cover patio perfect foe BBQ's and entertaining, space for 3 cars parking with carport, storage room, community offers pool, jacuzzi, kids soccer field and club house. close to the 91 FWY and 710 FWY, walking distance to shopping and markets. show this large home to your special buyers. .

  3. 2026-01-26
    listed $249,000 Active 1029-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    Wow, this property is good move in condition, kitchen has been renovated with quartz counter tops and marble back splash, kitchen is fully equipped with stainless steel stove, microwave, doble doors refrigerator, with dishwasher and washer and dryer, new cabinets, it has a bar/island that seats comfortably 4 people, recessed lighting in the kitchen and living room, all blinds will stay with the property, laminated light brown floors throughout the entire home, recently painted in and out, double painted windows that makes the interior nice and quiet, interior laundry, master bedroom has a remote control celling fan, doble sink and wall to wall closet, lots of closet space, crown molding, glass shower doors. central heat, spacious cover patio perfect foe BBQ's and entertaining, space for 3 cars parking with carport, storage room, community offers pool, jacuzzi, kids soccer field and club house. close to the 91 FWY and 710 FWY, walking distance to shopping and markets. show this large home to your special buyers. .

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,248
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$3,525
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,060
− Management
−$3,060
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable income
$7,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,783
After-tax cash flow
$8,945/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This property is in good condition with recent renovations and updates, making it a good move-in condition. It has a good curb appeal and is ready for a new owner.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paramount Unified
NCES district ID
0629850
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,631
Composite
21.25/100
National rank
#8398
State rank
#416 of 517 in CA

Livability — Paramount

Score
64/100
State rank
#432
US rank
#14664

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paramount, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
52,050
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
52,050
Household income
$75,250
Rent vs Own
57.0% rent · 43.0% own
Severe rent burden
2420.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 26% Black 9% White 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 71%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada
Languages at home
29% English-only · Spanish 67% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -459.80%
Current HPI
478.1981
Rent YoY
▼ -0.99%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $235,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $249,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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