🏷️ Likely Rental
1056 W 30th St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
First time homebuyers, your search has stopped with the brick home located on a corner lot near shopping, golf course, tennis court and community swimming pool. Feel free to preview this cozy home being sold AS-IS. Go through Showing Assist only. This home will not last long
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1966
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Water: Other; Sewer: Other
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Construction materials: See remarks; Roof: Other
- Exterior features: Front porch; Road surface: Other; Zoning: RMD-A
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 total room (rooms count listed as 1)
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $910 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 224.8% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 399 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,196/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 23.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 224.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 780.35%
- DSCR
- 35.72
- GRM
- 0.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,612
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1044 W 30th St | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,410 (-6%) | 18mo | $195,000 | $138 | 70 |
| 1131 W 32nd St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (-14%) | 17mo | $195,000 | $151 | 51 |
| 1243 W 27th St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,336 (-10%) | 23mo | $189,000 | $141 | 46 |
| 4123 Wilson St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-6%) | 16mo | $94,600 | $67 | 38 |
| 1476 W 23rd St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,327 (-11%) | 12mo | $108,000 | $81 | 36 |
| 1209 19th St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,329 (-11%) | 17mo | $126,500 | $95 | 32 |
| 4511 Springfield Blvd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,328 (-11%) | 22mo | $147,500 | $111 | 27 |
| 526 Long Branch Blvd | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,338 (-10%) | 23mo | $50,500 | $38 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 40.84×
- Total profit
- $55,776
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 85.03×
- Total profit
- $117,636
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32209
- Home prices YoY
- -22.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 399
- Price-to-rent
- 0.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,196 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $910
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $914 | -5% $912 | +0% $910 | +5% $909 | +10% $907 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $816 | -5% $863 | +0% $910 | +5% $958 | +10% $1,005 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $913 | -0.5pp $912 | base $910 | +0.5pp $909 | +1.0pp $908 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3902 Stuart St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1169 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1750 | $850 | $0.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1196 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $880 | $1.01 | 18d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1204 W 29th St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 3.0 | 960 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1173 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,145 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1031 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1261 | $1,445 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1201 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,145 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1220 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,299 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1316 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $998 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1018 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1161 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1185 W 22nd St Unit U Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 8d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1407 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1140 | $1,550 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1417 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,100 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 666 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2904 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4721 E Castlewood Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,250 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1530 W 29th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,385 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1359 W 20th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,134 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 528 W 25th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1431 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1199 | $1,425 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2817 Mars Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $975 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1410 W 20th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,485 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 522 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1587 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1363 | $1,450 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1348 Crestwood St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 643 Linwood Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,325 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 519 W 19th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $1,095 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 519 W 19th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $1,075 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 519 W 19th St Unit a Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1071 | $1,095 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 519 W 19th St Unit a Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1071 | $1,075 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2324 Moncrief Rd Unit 2324 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 347 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $1,112 | $0.95 | 8d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4526 Fairview St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1575 | $980 | $0.62 | 18d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 326 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,550 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 517 W 18th St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $995 | $0.87 | 5d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1636 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,375 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1609 W 24th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1169 | $1,223 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 451 Long Branch Blvd Unit 451 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 511 Ivy St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1645 W 23rd St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,275 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $5,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 302-char remark
-
2026-06-17$5,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,354
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,148
- − Management
- −$1,148
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $11,532
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,768
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,157/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,657
- Household income
- $30,514
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2921.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.92%
- Current HPI
- 189.5977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-94.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2018-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-25 Sold (MLS) $86,000 realMLS
- 2018-07-13 Pending — realMLS
- 2018-07-13 Listed $89,000 realMLS
Property tax history
+26.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,014 · +238.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…