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1056 W 30th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 46.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

1056 W 30th St · Jacksonville, FL 32209
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,492 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1966 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

First time homebuyers, your search has stopped with the brick home located on a corner lot near shopping, golf course, tennis court and community swimming pool. Feel free to preview this cozy home being sold AS-IS. Go through Showing Assist only. This home will not last long

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1966

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Water: Other; Sewer: Other
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Construction materials: See remarks; Roof: Other
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Road surface: Other; Zoning: RMD-A

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 total room (rooms count listed as 1)
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $5,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$165,612) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $910 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $5k).
  • Cap rate 224.8% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 399 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,196/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
23.92%
Cap rate
224.79%
Cash-on-cash
780.35%
DSCR
35.72
GRM
0.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$165,612
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1044 W 30th St 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,410 (-6%) 18mo $195,000 $138 70
1131 W 32nd St 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,288 (-14%) 17mo $195,000 $151 51
1243 W 27th St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,336 (-10%) 23mo $189,000 $141 46
4123 Wilson St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,404 (-6%) 16mo $94,600 $67 38
1476 W 23rd St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,327 (-11%) 12mo $108,000 $81 36
1209 19th St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,329 (-11%) 17mo $126,500 $95 32
4511 Springfield Blvd 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,328 (-11%) 22mo $147,500 $111 27
526 Long Branch Blvd 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,338 (-10%) 23mo $50,500 $38 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
40.84×
Total profit
$55,776
Equity at exit
$746
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
85.03×
Total profit
$117,636
Equity at exit
$432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32209

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
399
Price-to-rent
0.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,196 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$910

Break-even live

Break-even rent $44
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 19%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $914 -5% $912 +0% $910 +5% $909 +10% $907
Rent -10% $816 -5% $863 +0% $910 +5% $958 +10% $1,005
Rate -1.0pp $913 -0.5pp $912 base $910 +0.5pp $909 +1.0pp $908

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3902 Stuart St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1114 $1,050 $0.94 24d 1 0.04mi
1169 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 1750 $850 $0.49 24d 1 0.14mi
1196 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 875 $880 $1.01 18d 1 0.15mi
1204 W 29th St Jacksonville, FL 1.0 3.0 960 $1,295 $1.35 15d 1 0.17mi
1173 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,145 $1.06 15d 1 0.17mi
1031 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1261 $1,445 $1.15 24d 1 0.19mi
1201 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,145 $1.02 24d 1 0.20mi
1220 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1122 $1,299 $1.16 24d 1 0.21mi
1316 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 906 $998 $1.10 24d 1 0.33mi
1018 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1161 $1,600 $1.38 24d 1 0.35mi
1185 W 22nd St Unit U Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 8d 1 0.38mi
1407 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 3.5 1140 $1,550 $1.36 24d 1 0.41mi
1417 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,100 $1.25 2d 1 0.43mi
666 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 0.53mi
2904 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 952 $1,100 $1.16 24d 1 0.56mi
4721 E Castlewood Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,250 $1.24 24d 1 0.59mi
1530 W 29th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1164 $1,385 $1.19 24d 1 0.60mi
1359 W 20th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 901 $1,134 $1.26 18d 1 0.60mi
528 W 25th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 944 $1,100 $1.17 24d 1 0.61mi
1431 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1199 $1,425 $1.19 15d 1 0.62mi
2817 Mars Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 945 $975 $1.03 22d 1 0.63mi
1410 W 20th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,485 $1.27 15d 1 0.65mi
522 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,350 $1.29 24d 1 0.69mi
1587 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1363 $1,450 $1.06 15d 1 0.69mi
1348 Crestwood St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 24d 1 0.71mi
643 Linwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,325 $1.08 4d 1 0.72mi
519 W 19th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $1,095 $1.02 22d 1 0.74mi
519 W 19th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $1,075 $1.00 5d 1 0.74mi
519 W 19th St Unit a Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.5 1071 $1,095 $1.02 22d 1 0.74mi
519 W 19th St Unit a Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.5 1071 $1,075 $1.00 15d 1 0.74mi
2324 Moncrief Rd Unit 2324 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 24d 1 0.75mi
347 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1176 $1,112 $0.95 8d 1 0.77mi
4526 Fairview St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1575 $980 $0.62 18d 1 0.77mi
326 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1317 $1,550 $1.18 24d 1 0.77mi
517 W 18th St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 1150 $995 $0.87 5d 1 0.78mi
1636 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 912 $1,375 $1.51 24d 1 0.78mi
1609 W 24th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1169 $1,223 $1.05 22d 1 0.79mi
451 Long Branch Blvd Unit 451 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 24d 1 0.79mi
511 Ivy St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 24d 1 0.84mi
1645 W 23rd St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,275 $1.40 24d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $5,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 302-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $5,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,354
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$25
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,148
− Management
−$1,148
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$11,532
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,768
After-tax cash flow
$8,157/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
34,657
Household income
$30,514
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2921.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.92%
Current HPI
189.5977
Rent YoY
▲ 1.81%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-94.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2018-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
  • 2018-09-25 Sold (MLS) $86,000 realMLS
  • 2018-07-13 Pending realMLS
  • 2018-07-13 Listed $89,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+26.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,014 · +238.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…