204 W Line St · Hartford, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Southern home for sale located in Hartford, Alabama. So much charm! Home has been updated w/ new windows, new electrical and new plumbing. Tongue and groove wood walls and ceilings! 2bed/1ba home w/ foyer and large front porch! Nice back porch and small shed in the backyard. 1216sqft - Originally built in 1920. City water and sewer - window units for cooling.
Key facts
- New plumbing
- Large front porch
- New electrical
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($888 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#169 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, schools D-.
- Geneva County (rural): math 22% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #39 of 129 in AL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Geneva County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Geneva County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $75k implies a 582% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.09%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,603
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -28.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403 West Mill St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,251 (+3%) | 10mo | $157,000 | $125 | 75 |
| 209 W Commerce St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,370 (+13%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $142 | 63 |
| 209 W Commerce St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,370 (+13%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $142 | 63 |
| 305 S 1st Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+1%) | 13mo | $129,900 | $105 | 59 |
| 305 S 1st Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+1%) | 13mo | $129,900 | $105 | 59 |
| 700 W Commerce St | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (-10%) | 8mo | $154,000 | $140 | 53 |
| 308 S 8th Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,313 (+8%) | 13mo | $148,000 | $113 | 50 |
| 308 S Eighth Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,313 (+8%) | 13mo | $148,000 | $113 | 50 |
| 404 W Fulton St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+7%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $123 | 48 |
| 203 Woodland Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (-9%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $122 | 43 |
| 106 Newton St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,398 (+15%) | 12mo | $199,000 | $142 | 26 |
| 106 Newton St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,398 (+15%) | 12mo | $199,000 | $142 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $4,630
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $25,542
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36344
- Home prices YoY
- -13.0%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $888 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $152/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $264
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $307 | -5% $285 | +0% $264 | +5% $157 | +10% $131 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $194 | -5% $229 | +0% $264 | +5% $299 | +10% $334 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $302 | -0.5pp $283 | base $264 | +0.5pp $245 | +1.0pp $225 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $75,000 Pending 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$75,000 Active 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Southern home for sale located in Hartford, Alabama. So much charm! Home has been updated w/ new windows, new electrical and new plumbing. Tongue and groove wood walls and ceilings! 2bed/1ba home w/ foyer and large front porch! Nice back porch and small shed in the backyard. 1216sqft - Originally built in 1920. City water and sewer - window units for cooling.
-
2026-04-16$75,000 Active 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Southern home for sale located in Hartford, Alabama. So much charm! Home has been updated w/ new windows, new electrical and new plumbing. Tongue and groove wood walls and ceilings! 2bed/1ba home w/ foyer and large front porch! Nice back porch and small shed in the backyard. 1216sqft - Originally built in 1920. City water and sewer - window units for cooling.
-
2022-07-14soldstatus $11,000 Closed
-
2022-05-13$18,000
-
2021-09-16soldstatus $14,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $152 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $308 · $26/mo
- Expected delta
- +$156/yr (+$13/mo · 102.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,653
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$152
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$852
- − Management
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,038
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$489
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,680/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Geneva County
- NCES district ID
- 0101660
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,144
- Composite
- 30.15/100
- National rank
- #6325
- State rank
- #39 of 129 in AL
Livability — Hartford
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #169
- US rank
- #14759
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hartford, AL
- City population
- 5,345
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,345
Population outlook (Geneva County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,614 people
- By 2030
- 26,346 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 25,491 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 24,280 · -8.8%
- By 2075
- 20,914 · -21.4%
- By 2100
- 16,830 · -36.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Geneva
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.0) · D 11.2% · R 88.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -62.5pp · 2024: -77.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.0 2020: R+73.8 2016: R+72.4 2012: R+63.0 2008: R+62.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.75%
- Current HPI
- 151.8431
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+435.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $75,000 SAMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $75,000 WBR
- 2022-07-14 Sold (MLS) $11,000 SAMLS
- 2022-05-13 Listed $18,000 SAMLS
- 2021-09-16 Sold (MLS) $14,000 SAMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $152 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…