131 Indian Ln · Eagle Rock, VA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.79%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$152,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious home full of character and potential, ready for your personal touch. A welcoming front porch sets the tone for relaxed country living. Inside, a central hallway with original hardwood floors leads to large formal living and dining rooms, featuring a built-in china cabinet and unique rock accent wall. The kitchen offers great renovation potential, and the laundry room includes a half bath. Upstairs features 4 bedrooms and a full bath. Enjoy a side porch for entertaining, plus a detached garage and metal building ideal for a workshop. Walk-up attic offers expansion potential. Replacement windows (pre-2021) and new HVAC (2026). potential! Perfect for anyone looking to put in some work & create their dream country retreat. Replacement windows installed prior to 2021.
Key facts
- Central hallway
- Front porch
- Large formal rooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $153k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (5.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $135k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Botetourt County Public School District (rural): math 76% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #6 of 131 in VA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Botetourt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
- Botetourt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.37%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,024
- List price
- $152,950
- Delta
- -7.87%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Second St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,400 (+12%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $94 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $52,347
- Equity at exit
- $96,382
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.45×
- Total profit
- $147,662
- Equity at exit
- $174,984
Cash invested: $42,826 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24085
- Home prices YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,443 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$802
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $992/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $125
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,238
- Closing costs
- $4,588
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $152,950 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $152,950 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $152,950 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $152,950 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $152,950 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $152,950 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $152,950 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $152,950 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $152,950 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $152,950 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $152,950 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $152,950 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $152,950 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $152,950 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $152,950 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $159,950 788-char remark
Show marketing remark (788 chars)
Spacious home full of character and potential, ready for your personal touch. A welcoming front porch sets the tone for relaxed country living. Inside, a central hallway with original hardwood floors leads to large formal living and dining rooms, featuring a built-in china cabinet and unique rock accent wall. The kitchen offers great renovation potential, and the laundry room includes a half bath. Upstairs features 4 bedrooms and a full bath. Enjoy a side porch for entertaining, plus a detached garage and metal building ideal for a workshop. Walk-up attic offers expansion potential. Replacement windows (pre-2021) and new HVAC (2026). potential! Perfect for anyone looking to put in some work & create their dream country retreat. Replacement windows installed prior to 2021.
-
2026-04-09status Active 788-char remark
Show marketing remark (788 chars)
Spacious home full of character and potential, ready for your personal touch. A welcoming front porch sets the tone for relaxed country living. Inside, a central hallway with original hardwood floors leads to large formal living and dining rooms, featuring a built-in china cabinet and unique rock accent wall. The kitchen offers great renovation potential, and the laundry room includes a half bath. Upstairs features 4 bedrooms and a full bath. Enjoy a side porch for entertaining, plus a detached garage and metal building ideal for a workshop. Walk-up attic offers expansion potential. Replacement windows (pre-2021) and new HVAC (2026). potential! Perfect for anyone looking to put in some work & create their dream country retreat. Replacement windows installed prior to 2021.
-
2026-02-03historical 788-char remark
Show marketing remark (788 chars)
Spacious home full of character and potential, ready for your personal touch. A welcoming front porch sets the tone for relaxed country living. Inside, a central hallway with original hardwood floors leads to large formal living and dining rooms, featuring a built-in china cabinet and unique rock accent wall. The kitchen offers great renovation potential, and the laundry room includes a half bath. Upstairs features 4 bedrooms and a full bath. Enjoy a side porch for entertaining, plus a detached garage and metal building ideal for a workshop. Walk-up attic offers expansion potential. Replacement windows (pre-2021) and new HVAC (2026). potential! Perfect for anyone looking to put in some work & create their dream country retreat. Replacement windows installed prior to 2021.
-
2026-01-05price $169,950 788-char remark
Show marketing remark (788 chars)
Spacious home full of character and potential, ready for your personal touch. A welcoming front porch sets the tone for relaxed country living. Inside, a central hallway with original hardwood floors leads to large formal living and dining rooms, featuring a built-in china cabinet and unique rock accent wall. The kitchen offers great renovation potential, and the laundry room includes a half bath. Upstairs features 4 bedrooms and a full bath. Enjoy a side porch for entertaining, plus a detached garage and metal building ideal for a workshop. Walk-up attic offers expansion potential. Replacement windows (pre-2021) and new HVAC (2026). potential! Perfect for anyone looking to put in some work & create their dream country retreat. Replacement windows installed prior to 2021.
-
2025-12-02$179,950 Active 788-char remark
Show marketing remark (788 chars)
Spacious home full of character and potential, ready for your personal touch. A welcoming front porch sets the tone for relaxed country living. Inside, a central hallway with original hardwood floors leads to large formal living and dining rooms, featuring a built-in china cabinet and unique rock accent wall. The kitchen offers great renovation potential, and the laundry room includes a half bath. Upstairs features 4 bedrooms and a full bath. Enjoy a side porch for entertaining, plus a detached garage and metal building ideal for a workshop. Walk-up attic offers expansion potential. Replacement windows (pre-2021) and new HVAC (2026). potential! Perfect for anyone looking to put in some work & create their dream country retreat. Replacement windows installed prior to 2021.
-
2025-10-31historical
-
2025-09-23price $198,000
-
2025-08-19price $202,950
-
2025-07-02price $204,950
-
2025-06-20price $209,950
-
2025-06-13price $214,950
-
2025-06-03price $224,950
-
2025-05-27$234,950 Active
-
2021-06-03soldstatus $140,000
-
2021-03-25$155,000
-
2007-11-15soldstatus $125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $992 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,254 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$262/yr (+$22/mo · 26.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 79% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,319
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,568
- − Property taxes
- −$992
- − Insurance
- −$1,562
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,385
- − Management
- −$1,385
- − Depreciation
- −$4,449
- Taxable loss
- −$1,024
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$246
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,748/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Botetourt County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100420
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,125
- Composite
- 68.07/100
- National rank
- #355
- State rank
- #6 of 131 in VA
Livability — Eagle Rock
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eagle Rock, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,425
Population outlook (Botetourt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,273 people
- By 2030
- 34,457 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 34,051 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 32,841 · -4.2%
- By 2075
- 30,720 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 26,395 · -23.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Botetourt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.5 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.02%
- Current HPI
- 117.9254
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+28.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $159,950 MLSRV
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — MLSRV
- 2026-02-03 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $169,950 MLSRV
- 2025-12-02 Listed $179,950 MLSRV
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $198,000 MLSRV
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $202,950 MLSRV
- 2025-07-02 Price Changed $204,950 MLSRV
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $209,950 MLSRV
- 2025-06-13 Price Changed $214,950 MLSRV
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $224,950 MLSRV
- 2025-05-27 Listed $234,950 MLSRV
- 2021-06-03 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MLSRV
- 2021-03-25 Listed $155,000 MLSRV
- 2007-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2021): $992 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…