661 S 41st St · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Classic Louisville Foursquare with * * brand new plumbing and electrical. * * Features columned porch, nice floors, stainless appliances, spacious bedrooms, full basement, and detached garage. Sold as-is — near move-in ready. Sold strictly as-is — strong fit for flip, BRRRR, or owner-finance exit in a high-demand West End rental pocket. Bring your contractor and your numbers. Investor-grade American Foursquare in Louisville's Parkland (40211), on a deep 35x175 city lot. Solid original millwork, full unfinished basement with high ceilings, rear deck, and full-width front porch with classical columns. Public sewer (MSD), no flood insurance required. Two blocks off W Broadway,
Key facts
- Brand new plumbing
- Columned porch
- Stainless appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: JANSINGS
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: One-car garage; Parking details: See remarks
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; One HVAC unit
- Home design: Single family residence; Traditional style; Two stories; Living area reported as 2,082 total (1,543 above grade, 539 below grade finished)
- Construction: Built in 1910; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Chain-link fencing; Sidewalk; Cleared, level lot; Storm sewer
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Dining room on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; All bedrooms located on the second floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the second floor; One half bathroom on the first floor
- Interior features: Nine total rooms; Three closets; Unfinished basement with outside entry; Foyer on the first floor
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the first floor; First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $507 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,415/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1483% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.76%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,708
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 666 S 41st St | 0.03mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,000 (-4%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $113 | 78 |
| 4007 Vermont Ave | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,052 (-1%) | 4mo | $197,500 | $96 | 69 |
| 4557 Southwestern Pkwy | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 2,051 (-2%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $71 | 58 |
| 913 S 42nd St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,849 (-11%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $124 | 57 |
| 923 S 40th | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,246 (+8%) | 8mo | $68,000 | $30 | 52 |
| 814 Cecil Ave | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,343 (+12%) | 5mo | $217,000 | $93 | 51 |
| 1046 S 43rd St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,990 (-4%) | 5mo | $188,000 | $94 | 50 |
| 3712 W Kentucky St | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,877 (-10%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $115 | 45 |
| 718 S 36th St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,836 (-12%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $95 | 44 |
| 3615 Herman St | 0.69mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,897 (-9%) | 3mo | $102,000 | $54 | 42 |
| 315 Shawnee Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,821 (-12%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $58 | 40 |
| 657 Louis Coleman Jr Dr | 0.64mi | 4/4.5 (+1) | 2,223 (+7%) | 9mo | $72,500 | $33 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $18,799
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $69,416
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40211
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,415 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $545/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $507
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 628 S 39th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1448 | $1,220 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 722 S 40th St Unit NA Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1556 | $1,700 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 663 S 43rd St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $1,250 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3922 River Park Dr Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,195 | $0.66 | 11d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 803 S 35th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1486 | $1,350 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3514 Grand Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,295 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 820 Hazel St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,395 | $0.75 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 127 N 40th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,570 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-15$99,900 Active
-
2024-03-28historical
-
2024-02-07historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-02-01$110,000 Active
-
2024-02-01historical
-
2023-12-20historical
-
2023-12-20$120,000 Active
-
2023-11-10$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $545 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $859 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$315/yr (+$26/mo · 57.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,983
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$545
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,359
- − Management
- −$1,359
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $4,720
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,133
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,953/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,407
- Household income
- $31,749
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1483.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.22%
- Current HPI
- 176.337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.87%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-23.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $99,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-03-28 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-02-07 Contingent — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-02-01 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-02-01 Listed $110,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2023-12-20 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2023-12-20 Listed $120,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2023-11-10 Listed $130,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $545 · -7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…