15960 Firtree Dr · Apple Valley, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,500
15960 Firtree Dr · Apple Valley, MN 55124
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · Townhouse
· 68 Days on market
Built 1998
2,000 sqft lot
2-car garage
$185/sqft
· 12% below area
Est $278k · 12% under
$325/mo HOA · 16% of rent
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful flooring in the living/kitchen area, fireplace and updated kitchen and lots of unexpected closet space. Convenient location to movie theater, restaurants and grocery stores. Buyer/Buyers agent to verify all measurements.
Key facts
- Minnesota zoo
- 2 car garage
- Parks access
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $244k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-425 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (25.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (17.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#10 in MN, #379 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Rosemount-Apple Valley-Eagan (suburban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in MN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Parkview Elementary (math 46% / reading 43%, grade F, #534 of 857 statewide, top 66%, 694 students, 42% FRL); Scott Highlands Middle (math 40% / reading 62%, grade C, #69 of 258 statewide, top 27%, 1,184 students, 28% FRL); Rosemount Senior High (math 54% / reading 67%, grade C+, #43 of 471 statewide, top 9%, 2,425 students, 21% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 519 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 43d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,134 units permitted in Dakota County in 2024 (898 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dakota County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $244k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer
$182,947
(25.2% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.46%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $277,860
- List price
- $244,500
- Delta
- -12.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6827 Folkestone Rd #511 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,276 (-3%) | 36mo | $265,000 | $208 | 44 |
| 15679 Flackwood Way | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,596 (+21%) | 36mo | $325,600 | $204 | 39 |
| 17342 Gettysburg Way #25192 | 1.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+6%) | 51mo | $278,000 | $199 | 30 |
| 7991 147th St W | 2.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (+8%) | 25mo | $270,000 | $190 | 27 |
| 17405 Glacier Way | 2.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,424 (+8%) | 24mo | $260,000 | $183 | 27 |
| 17231 Encina Path #2605 | 1.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,462 (+11%) | 26mo | $269,900 | $185 | 27 |
| 16365 Gladiola Ave W | 1.23mi | 4/2.0 (+2) | 1,698 (+29%) | 10mo | $324,900 | $191 | 22 |
| 14366 Glenda Dr | 2.10mi | 2/1.0 | 1,142 (-14%) | 57mo | $169,900 | $149 | 18 |
| 7755 Glenda Ct | 2.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,541 (+17%) | 36mo | $282,000 | $183 | 15 |
| 101 Strese Ln | 2.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+27%) | 48mo | $296,000 | $176 | 15 |
| 7403 143rd Street Ct | 2.04mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,150 (-13%) | 36mo | $215,000 | $187 | 14 |
| 14286 Empire Ave | 1.89mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,524 (+16%) | 36mo | $250,000 | $164 | 11 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-65,934
- Equity at exit
- $36,456
10-year hold
- IRR
- -26.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.30×
- Total profit
- $-89,104
- Equity at exit
- $21,140
Cash invested: $68,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 27 active · 31 under contract
- Median asking
- $249,900 ($185/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 56 d
- This list price
- 37% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +13.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 55124
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 519
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $2,012 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,282
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$306 /mo · $3,668/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$325
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$422
- Net cashflow
- $-425
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$2,550
Max offer price
$182,947
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-256 | -5% $-341 | +0% $-425 | +5% $-510 | +10% $-594 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-584 | -5% $-505 | +0% $-425 | +5% $-346 | +10% $-266 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-302 | -0.5pp $-363 | base $-425 | +0.5pp $-489 | +1.0pp $-553 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,125
- Closing costs
- $7,335
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15782 Flackwood Trl Apple Valley, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 116d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 15785 Flackwood Trl Unit TH Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,095 | $1.50 | 10d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 15754 Flackwood Trl #119 Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $2,200 | $1.67 | 84d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 6444 158th St W Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1260 | $1,889 | $1.50 | 75d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 16112 Foliage Ave W Rosemount, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,200 | $1.85 | 10d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 15734 Foliage Ave Apple Valley, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1150 | $1,868 | $1.62 | 0d | 12 | 0.47mi |
| 15539 Float Ln Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 927 | $1,750 | $1.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 15482 Flight Way Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,825 | $1.53 | 98d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 15482 Flight Way Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,700 | $1.43 | 60d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 15531 Flyboat Ln Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,865 | $1.85 | 120d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 15539 Flight Way Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 927 | $1,950 | $2.10 | 70d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 15533 Flight Way Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 976 | $1,995 | $2.04 | 120d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 15507 Foghorn Ln Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 10d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 15507 Foghorn Ln Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 67d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 15507 Foghorn Ln Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 15600 Galaxie Ave Apple Valley, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1244 | $1,730 | $1.39 | 1d | 8 | 0.80mi |
| 6780 Fortino St Apple Valley, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $4,130 | $4.67 | 0d | 12 | 0.82mi |
| 16486 Elm Creek Ln Lakeville, MN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1413 | $2,375 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 15899 Elmhurst Ln Apple Valley, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1076 | $2,278 | $2.12 | 0d | 12 | 0.93mi |
| 15644 Garrett Dr Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1234 | $1,799 | $1.46 | 62d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 15503 Garnet Way Unit TH Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1234 | $1,895 | $1.54 | 42d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 15546 Garnet Way Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1346 | $2,000 | $1.49 | 40d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 15283 Galante Ln Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $2,230 | $2.53 | 0d | 9 | 0.97mi |
| 6859 152nd St W Apple Valley, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1099 | $2,135 | $1.94 | 0d | 10 | 0.98mi |
| 15380 Garrett Ave Apple Valley, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1676 | $3,296 | $1.97 | 10d | 9 | 1.05mi |
| 5181 161st St W Lakeville, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 939 | $2,019 | $2.15 | 0d | 8 | 1.09mi |
| 7472 157th St W Apple Valley, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1031 | $1,468 | $1.42 | 0d | 2 | 1.14mi |
| 5076 161st St W Lakeville, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1186 | $2,324 | $1.96 | 0d | 12 | 1.15mi |
| 14650 Foliage Ave Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 904 | $2,222 | $2.46 | 0d | 19 | 1.35mi |
| 15602 Eagles Nest Way Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1637 | $1,975 | $1.21 | 95d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 15602 Eagles Nest Way Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1637 | $1,975 | $1.21 | 100d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 14778 Endicott Way Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,950 | $1.08 | 8d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 16106 Duvane Way Lakeville, MN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1564 | $3,395 | $2.17 | 117d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 14764 Excelsior Ln Apple Valley, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1052 | $1,750 | $1.66 | 42d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 15870 Griffon Path Apple Valley, MN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1480 | $2,249 | $1.52 | 77d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 15870 Griffon Path Apple Valley, MN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1480 | $2,249 | $1.52 | 76d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 16947 Garcia Way Unit 2 Rosemount, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 112d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association (monthly fee)HOA fee $325 per monthHOA covers lawn care, grounds maintenance, professional management, and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage2-car garageGarage dimensions approximately 18 x 20Garage door opening about 16 ft wide and 8 ft highAsphalt driveway
- Utilities
- City water connectedCity sewer connected150 amp electrical serviceNatural gas service
- Home design
- Residential attached propertyTwo levelsEntry level main floorAsphalt roof
- Construction
- Block constructionSlab foundationBuilt with asphalt roofing
- Exterior features
- PatioLight tree coverageNo fencingRoad frontage on a city street (association maintained road)
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRangeRefrigeratorStainless steel appliancesKitchen/Dining room layout
- Bedrooms
- Two bedrooms (both on upper level)
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom (upper level)One quarter bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fan(s)Ethernet wiredCable readyIn-ground sprinklerStone and vinyl exterior details noted in property featuresGas fireplace with insert in family room
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry room on upper levelGas water heater
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-07-07days on market $244,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $244,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $244,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $244,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $244,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $244,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $244,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $244,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $244,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $244,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $244,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $244,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $244,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $244,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $244,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $244,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $244,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $244,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $244,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $244,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-29$249,000 Active
-
2013-06-24soldstatus $125,000 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Beautiful flooring in the living/kitchen area, fireplace and updated kitchen and lots of unexpected closet space. Convenient location to movie theater, restaurants and grocery stores. Buyer/Buyers agent to verify all measurements.
-
2013-06-21historical 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Beautiful flooring in the living/kitchen area, fireplace and updated kitchen and lots of unexpected closet space. Convenient location to movie theater, restaurants and grocery stores. Buyer/Buyers agent to verify all measurements.
-
2013-04-19$130,000 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Beautiful flooring in the living/kitchen area, fireplace and updated kitchen and lots of unexpected closet space. Convenient location to movie theater, restaurants and grocery stores. Buyer/Buyers agent to verify all measurements.
-
2010-06-23soldstatus $113,000 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Nice home w/a little TLC needed. Flooring & paint & this one will shine! 3 Bedroom, 2 bath, 2 stall garage at an unbelievable price! Super convenient location. Hurry & tax credit money still possible!
-
2010-05-12historical 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Nice home w/a little TLC needed. Flooring & paint & this one will shine! 3 Bedroom, 2 bath, 2 stall garage at an unbelievable price! Super convenient location. Hurry & tax credit money still possible!
-
2010-04-01$109,000 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Nice home w/a little TLC needed. Flooring & paint & this one will shine! 3 Bedroom, 2 bath, 2 stall garage at an unbelievable price! Super convenient location. Hurry & tax credit money still possible!
-
2004-11-30soldstatus $164,512
-
2004-10-30historical
-
2004-09-01$166,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,141
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,696
- − Property taxes
- −$3,668
- − Insurance
- −$1,222
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,931
- − Management
- −$1,931
- − HOA
- −$3,900
- − Depreciation
- −$7,113
- Taxable loss
- −$9,320
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,237
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,868/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
75/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $6,600–$19,800 screening
This well-maintained townhouse in Apple Valley offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. It's move-in ready with a good curb appeal and a great location.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale trim around windows — improves home's appearance ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
D
Composite school gradezoned avg 57/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Parkview Elementary
F
MN #534/857
Nat'l #16,061/41,679
Middle
Scott Highlands Middle
C
MN #69/258
Nat'l #3,276/14,009
High
Eastview Senior High
A-
MN #6/471
Nat'l #1,551/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rosemount-Apple Valley-Eagan
- NCES district ID
- 2732390
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,559
- Composite
- 49.48/100
- National rank
- #2000
- State rank
- #58 of 301 in MN
A
Composite livability gradescore 86/100
Livability — Apple Valley
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #379
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute A+
Cost of living C
Crime B
Employment A+
Housing A+
Health & safety A
User ratings A+
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Apple Valley, MN
- County
- Dakota County · 450,671 people
- City population
- 55,658
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,658
- Household income
- $97,727
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Dakota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 450,671 people
- By 2030
- 465,068 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 486,770 · +8.0%
- By 2050
- 498,743 · +10.7%
- By 2075
- 533,865 · +18.5%
- By 2100
- 550,133 · +22.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dakota
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.9) · D 55.4% · R 42.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: 12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+4.7 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -275.56%
- Current HPI
- 227.4734
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.27%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+46.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $244,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Listed $249,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-24 Sold (MLS) $125,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-21 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-19 Listed $130,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-06-23 Sold (MLS) $113,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-12 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-04-01 Listed $109,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-11-30 Sold (MLS) $164,512 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-10-30 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-01 Listed $166,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…