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16 Bass Ln #16
B Composite 73.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$129,000

16 Bass Ln #16 · Winding Cypress, FL 34114
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 464 sqft · Condo public records · 148 Days on market
Built 1987 $299/mo HOA · 16% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Thank you for viewing 16 Bass Lane in Imperial Wilderness, a fun and active 55+ community! This adorable home has a cheerful and welcoming vibe that you’re sure to enjoy! Upon entering you’ll appreciate the large living room with a trundle, day-bed and a conveniently situated table and chairs. From this room, you’ll access the updated half bath. Off of the cozy kitchen area, there is an additional family room space with a pull-out sleeper sofa. The full bath has a large walk-in shower and the bedroom offers plenty of space: built-in cabinets, a large closet, and seated vanity area. The laundry room has ample shelf space for your storage needs. In the backyard there is a relaxing tree view with direct access to the nature trail. On top of all of this, YOU OWN THE LAND, and the reasonable HOA ($750.50 per quarter) covers so much: water, lawn care, basic cable, community amenities, and trash/recycling. Community amenities include the following: 2 pools with spas, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, billiards, a library, clubhouse, dog parks, and more!

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Numerous updates
  • Land that you own

Tags

LAND THAT YOU OWNRELAXING REAR GRASSY AREADIRECT ACCESS TO NATURE TRAILNUMEROUS UPDATESSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLAMINATE FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Development: IMPERIAL WILDERNESS; Lot described as regular with lot unit 16; Total area listed as 920; Irrigation: reclaimed
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Quarterly condo fee of $898; Total annual recurring fees $3,592; One-time fees $150; Professional management; HOA maintenance covers cable, lawn/land maintenance, sewer, water; Community amenities include: clubhouse, community pool and spa/hot tub, exercise room, library, billiards, bocce court, shuffleboard, tennis, pickleball, fishing pier, dog park, common laundry

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway
  • Security: Gated
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured residential home; Single-story; Rear exposure faces east
  • Construction: Built in 1987; Aluminum and vinyl siding; Roof over
  • Exterior features: Patio; Shutters; Gated community; Wooded area view; Paved road access; Limited number of vehicles permitted

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator/Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Cable pre-wired; Window coverings; Eat-in kitchen; Laundry in residence; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-269/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (3.1% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 900 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
10.05%
Cash-on-cash
13.42%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.48% appreciation · 3.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-13,081
Equity at exit
$28,188
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-2,101
Equity at exit
$27,153

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34114

Home prices YoY
-0.6%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
900
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,924 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$54
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$299
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$-22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,952
Max offer price $125,033
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$299 · $3,588/yr
Likely covers
watertrashcablelandscapingpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 148 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 147 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 146 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 145 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,000 Active 143 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,000 Active 140 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 139 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 138 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 137 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,000 Active 133 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 131 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 130 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,000 Active 129 DOM
  15. 2026-05-18
    price $129,000
  16. 2026-01-21
    listed $135,000 Active
  17. 2023-04-06
    soldstatus $130,000
  18. 2023-03-31
    soldstatus $130,000 Sold 1087-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1087 chars)

    Thank you for viewing 16 Bass Lane in Imperial Wilderness, a fun and active 55+ community! This adorable home has a cheerful and welcoming vibe that you’re sure to enjoy! Upon entering you’ll appreciate the large living room with a trundle, day-bed and a conveniently situated table and chairs. From this room, you’ll access the updated half bath. Off of the cozy kitchen area, there is an additional family room space with a pull-out sleeper sofa. The full bath has a large walk-in shower and the bedroom offers plenty of space: built-in cabinets, a large closet, and seated vanity area. The laundry room has ample shelf space for your storage needs. In the backyard there is a relaxing tree view with direct access to the nature trail. On top of all of this, YOU OWN THE LAND, and the reasonable HOA ($750.50 per quarter) covers so much: water, lawn care, basic cable, community amenities, and trash/recycling. Community amenities include the following: 2 pools with spas, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, billiards, a library, clubhouse, dog parks, and more!

  19. 2023-03-13
    status Pending 1087-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1087 chars)

    Thank you for viewing 16 Bass Lane in Imperial Wilderness, a fun and active 55+ community! This adorable home has a cheerful and welcoming vibe that you’re sure to enjoy! Upon entering you’ll appreciate the large living room with a trundle, day-bed and a conveniently situated table and chairs. From this room, you’ll access the updated half bath. Off of the cozy kitchen area, there is an additional family room space with a pull-out sleeper sofa. The full bath has a large walk-in shower and the bedroom offers plenty of space: built-in cabinets, a large closet, and seated vanity area. The laundry room has ample shelf space for your storage needs. In the backyard there is a relaxing tree view with direct access to the nature trail. On top of all of this, YOU OWN THE LAND, and the reasonable HOA ($750.50 per quarter) covers so much: water, lawn care, basic cable, community amenities, and trash/recycling. Community amenities include the following: 2 pools with spas, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, billiards, a library, clubhouse, dog parks, and more!

  20. 2023-02-28
    listed $134,000 Active 1087-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1087 chars)

    Thank you for viewing 16 Bass Lane in Imperial Wilderness, a fun and active 55+ community! This adorable home has a cheerful and welcoming vibe that you’re sure to enjoy! Upon entering you’ll appreciate the large living room with a trundle, day-bed and a conveniently situated table and chairs. From this room, you’ll access the updated half bath. Off of the cozy kitchen area, there is an additional family room space with a pull-out sleeper sofa. The full bath has a large walk-in shower and the bedroom offers plenty of space: built-in cabinets, a large closet, and seated vanity area. The laundry room has ample shelf space for your storage needs. In the backyard there is a relaxing tree view with direct access to the nature trail. On top of all of this, YOU OWN THE LAND, and the reasonable HOA ($750.50 per quarter) covers so much: water, lawn care, basic cable, community amenities, and trash/recycling. Community amenities include the following: 2 pools with spas, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, billiards, a library, clubhouse, dog parks, and more!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,035 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,071 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$36/yr (+$3/mo · 3.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 98% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,082
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$5,764
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,847
− Management
−$1,847
− HOA
−$3,588
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable loss
−$1,976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$474
After-tax cash flow
$205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Winding Cypress

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,559
Household income
$89,334
Rent vs Own
15.3% rent · 84.7% own
Severe rent burden
550.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.48%
Current HPI
266.5545
Rent YoY
▲ 3.21%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $129,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $135,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2023-03-31 Sold (MLS) $130,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-03-13 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-02-28 Listed $134,000 NAPLESMLS

Property tax history

+22.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,035 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…