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B- Composite 65.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

None · Springfield, MO 65806
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,088 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1905 6,970 sqft lot $97/sqft · 24% below area Est $138k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This historic home has served as a great rental property for several years and many years to come! It features a covered front porch, nice shade in the backyard, and well sized bedrooms for a single family. Investors will enjoy adding this to their portfolio!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • 6,970 sq ft lot
  • Built 1905

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHSHADE IN THE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,071/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($28k/yr) (locally 1966% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.69%
Cash-on-cash
8.54%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,241
List price
$105,000
Delta
-24.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
900 S Missouri Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (-4%) 2mo $160,000 $152 75
856 S Missouri Ave 0.18mi 2/1.0 1,200 (+10%) 1mo $159,000 $133 74
809 S Missouri 0.18mi 2/1.0 1,202 (+10%) 2mo $145,000 $121 73
646 S Fort Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,116 (+3%) 2mo $169,900 $152 70
437 S Nettleton Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 1,074 (-1%) 1mo $55,000 $51 70
936 S Douglas Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,000 (-8%) 2mo $89,000 $89 64
805 S Douglas Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,165 (+7%) 5mo $40,000 $34 63
925 W Mount Vernon St 0.39mi 2/1.0 990 (-9%) 6mo $129,900 $131 62
864 S Main Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 968 (-11%) 1mo $182,000 $188 62
920 S Douglas Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 956 (-12%) 1mo $139,900 $146 61
1318 S Newton Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (-4%) 2mo $199,900 $190 59
1405 W Meadowmere St 0.57mi 2/1.0 993 (-9%) 4mo $97,000 $98 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,444
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$20,244
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65806

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,071 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $509/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $806
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1036 W Monroe Ter Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 812 $795 $0.98 23d 1 0.14mi
930 W Harrison St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1046 $1,150 $1.10 13d 1 0.31mi
847 S Grant Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1080 $815 $0.75 43d 1 0.31mi
627 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $895 $1.02 23d 1 0.35mi
810 W Catalpa St Apt 302 Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 806 $664 $0.82 23d 1 0.42mi
539 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,025 $0.68 13d 1 0.42mi
513 S Broadway Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $855 $1.07 43d 1 0.44mi
505 W Grand St Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 996 $1,395 $1.40 13d 1 0.46mi
1112 S Grant Ave Unit 100 Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1193 $1,450 $1.22 43d 1 0.47mi
1112 S Grant Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 800 $1,095 $1.37 43d 1 0.47mi
1044 S Main Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1089 $1,050 $0.96 43d 1 0.48mi
1500 W Grand St Springfield, MO 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1365 $1,245 $0.91 13d 3 0.49mi
433 W Grand St Unit C Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1023 $1,295 $1.27 43d 1 0.52mi
1200 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1000 $995 $0.99 13d 3 0.54mi
865 S Douglas Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 850 $895 $1.05 13d 4 0.57mi
710 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,695 $1.26 43d 1 0.63mi
741 South Ave Unit 5 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 950 $750 $0.79 43d 1 0.68mi
806 South Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 670 $1,085 $1.62 13d 3 0.71mi
623 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1180 $1,300 $1.10 43d 1 0.71mi
733 W College St Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $750 $1.07 13d 1 0.72mi
535 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,495 $1.36 43d 1 0.75mi
430 W Pershing St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 765 $1,195 $1.56 13d 1 0.78mi
211 S Market Ave Springfield, MO 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1442 $1,425 $0.99 23d 5 0.82mi
211 S Market Ave Springfield, MO 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1442 $1,425 $0.99 21d 5 0.82mi
518 W College St Unit UBL 106 Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,375 $1.15 43d 1 0.82mi
1735 W Bennett St Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 800 $1,124 $1.41 13d 2 0.83mi
520 W Olive St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,538 $1.06 13d 5 0.89mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,267 $0.94 23d 5 0.89mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,267 $0.94 13d 4 0.89mi
1740 W Olive St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 736 $1,195 $1.62 13d 1 0.93mi
209 W McDaniel St Unit 209-207 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 0.93mi
2204 W Madison St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,095 $1.14 13d 1 0.97mi
138 Park Central Sq Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1083 $2,489 $2.30 13d 8 0.98mi
533 Bear Blvd Unit 111 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 1100 $649 $0.59 43d 1 0.98mi
511 E Cherry St Unit 2 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 1 1.01mi
309 S Jefferson Ave Unit 211 Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 762 $767 $1.01 43d 1 1.02mi
627 Bear Blvd Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 943 $1,400 $1.48 43d 2 1.07mi
2412 W Lincoln St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,295 $1.03 23d 1 1.21mi
1634 S Marion Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 845 $1,404 $1.66 13d 23 1.23mi
815 N Grant Ave Unit A Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 801 $625 $0.78 43d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $105,000 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-04-20
    listed $105,000 Active 259-char remark
    Show marketing remark (259 chars)

    This historic home has served as a great rental property for several years and many years to come! It features a covered front porch, nice shade in the backyard, and well sized bedrooms for a single family. Investors will enjoy adding this to their portfolio!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$509 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,018 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$510/yr (+$42/mo · 100.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,852
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$509
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,028
− Management
−$1,028
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$826
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$198
After-tax cash flow
$2,314/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
13,692
Household income
$28,165
Rent vs Own
87.3% rent · 12.7% own
Severe rent burden
1966.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.72%
Current HPI
208.8156
Rent YoY
▲ 4.17%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $105,000 SOMO

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $509 · +43.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…