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1800 S Kofa Ave #11
D Composite 43.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

1800 S Kofa Ave #11 · Parker, AZ 85344
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 750 sqft · Condo · 203 Days on market
Built 1979 Good condition $250/mo HOA · 14% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SELLER WILL CARRY!!! Discover easy living in this fully remodeled 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in the heart of Parker. Step inside to a bright, modern interior with updated finishes throughout and a comfortable layout perfect for full-time living or a weekend getaway. Enjoy a private, fully fenced backyard--ideal for relaxing and entertaining! Just minutes from the river and close to restaurants, shopping, and everything Parker has to offer. The HOA provides excellent value with water, sewer, and trash included, making this an effortless, low-maintenance option. Move-in ready and perfectly situated--don't miss this one!

Key facts

  • Close to restaurants
  • Fully remodeled
  • Close to shopping

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDPRIVATE FULLY FENCED BACKYARDMINUTES FROM THE RIVERCLOSE TO RESTAURANTSCLOSE TO SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($292/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#25 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Parker Unified School District (4510) (town): math 18% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #200 of 249 in AZ (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Blake Primary School (354 students, 70% FRL); Wallace Jr High School (math 15% / reading 18%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 303 students, 73% FRL); Parker High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #343 of 381 statewide, top 93%, 507 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in La Paz County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • La Paz County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 203 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 203 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.65%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.1%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-24,180
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-18,328
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85344

Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,746 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$367
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,715
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $135 -5% $80 +0% $24 +5% $-31 +10% $-86
Rent -10% $-114 -5% $-45 +0% $24 +5% $93 +10% $162
Rate -1.0pp $105 -0.5pp $65 base $24 +0.5pp $-17 +1.0pp $-59

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$250 · $3,000/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrash
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $159,900 Active 203 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 200 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 199 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 198 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 197 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 195 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 194 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 192 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 191 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 190 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 189 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $159,900 Active 186 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 185 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 184 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 183 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 182 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    remarks 634-char remark
  18. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $159,900 Active 181 DOM
  19. 2025-12-29
    price $139,999
  20. 2025-11-20
    listed $149,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥116°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,953
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,398
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,676
− Management
−$1,676
− HOA
−$3,000
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$2,206
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$530
After-tax cash flow
$822/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This fully remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo is in excellent condition and move-in ready, with a good curb appeal and updated finishes.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor updates can make the interior more inviting and appealing to potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor updates can make the interior more inviting and appealing to potential buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Parker Unified School District (4510)
NCES district ID
0405980
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$34,354
Composite
14.76/100
National rank
#9392
State rank
#200 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Parker

Score
73/100
State rank
#25
US rank
#5667

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Parker, AZ
Population (ZIP)
9,069

Population outlook (La Paz County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,409 people
By 2030
17,592 · -4.4%
By 2040
16,600 · -9.8%
By 2050
16,328 · -11.3%
By 2075
17,075 · -7.2%
By 2100
17,042 · -7.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 34% Native American 23% Two or more races 19% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 32%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · La Paz

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.2) · D 27.6% · R 71.8%
2008→2024 swing
-15.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -44.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.2 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+28.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.38%
Current HPI
198.2271
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $139,999 LHAR
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $149,999 LHAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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