306 W Mcgee St · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Package deal has 6- 2/1 houses, , 1- 3/1, 2- 3/2 , 1- 4/2 and . This is 10 houses total. This is a Parent listing. Listings will also be listed as individuals. 1012 S Fort Ave, Springfield MO 658071235 N Prospect Ave, Springfield MO 658021520 W Lynn St, Springfield MO 658021635 W Lynn St, Springfield, MO 658022223 W Elm St, Springfield, MO 658062434 N Pickwick Ave, Springfield MO 658032939 W Grand St, Springfield, MO 658023036 W Water St, Springfield, MO 65802306 W McGee St, Springfield, MO 65807924 W College St, Springfield, MO 65806
Key facts
- 7,501 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1951
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (6.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $130k (6.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.27%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $181,260
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 W Mcgee St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 1,062 (+0%) | 2mo | $117,500 | $111 | 97 |
| 1733 South Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 1,080 (+2%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $138 | 76 |
| 1912 S Lancaster Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,096 (+3%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $182 | 63 |
| 1836 S Kimbrough Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,011 (-5%) | 4mo | $169,900 | $168 | 63 |
| 526 W Portland St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,098 (+4%) | 4mo | $187,500 | $171 | 58 |
| 1940 S Franklin Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,004 (-5%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $174 | 58 |
| 1618 South Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,170 (+10%) | 1mo | $214,900 | $184 | 57 |
| 432 W Tracy St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,208 (+14%) | 3mo | $154,000 | $127 | 54 |
| 1010 W Cherokee St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,177 (+11%) | 2mo | $194,900 | $166 | 44 |
| 437 W Minota St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 932 (-12%) | 1mo | $154,900 | $166 | 43 |
| 2002 S Ferguson Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,196 (+13%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $171 | 36 |
| 2365 S Dollison Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,214 (+14%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $189 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-12,298
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,080
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65807
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 249
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,304 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $787/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $172
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2561 South Pl Unit B Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $850 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 625 W Edgewood St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2521 S Holland Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,695 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 611 W Sunset St Springfield, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,663 | $1.51 | 13d | 5 | 0.81mi |
| 2035 S Florence Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,195 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 640 E Sunset St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 976 | $1,695 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2308 S Hampton Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 813 E Morningside St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1441 W Seminole St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1006 W Edgewood St Unit A Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $995 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 932 E Sunset St Springfield, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,695 | $1.56 | 13d | 3 | 0.97mi |
| 1277 E Wayland St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,299 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1562 S National Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,225 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1259 E Berkeley St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,699 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1112 S Grant Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1112 S Grant Ave Unit 100 Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 810 W Catalpa St Apt 302 Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $664 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2917 S Roanoke Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,700 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2935 S Roanoke Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1429 | $1,150 | $0.80 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1044 S Main Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1089 | $1,050 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2535 S Prospect Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3025 S Sagamont Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 832 | $1,345 | $1.62 | 13d | 9 | 1.33mi |
| 505 W Grand St Springfield, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 433 W Grand St Unit C Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,295 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3108 S Jefferson Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $980 | $1.46 | 13d | 39 | 1.34mi |
| 1426 E University St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 923 W Battlefield Rd Springfield, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $1,050 | $1.15 | 44d | 4 | 1.34mi |
| 1477 E Lindberg St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,445 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1131 W Battlefield St Springfield, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 753 | $1,209 | $1.60 | 13d | 20 | 1.40mi |
| 2752 S Meadowbrook Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,115 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2828 S Nettleton Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,318 | $1.37 | 13d | 5 | 1.45mi |
| 1634 S Marion Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,404 | $1.66 | 13d | 23 | 1.48mi |
| 847 S Grant Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $815 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1735 W Bennett St Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,124 | $1.41 | 13d | 2 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-16price $1,245,000 546-char remark
Show marketing remark (546 chars)
This Package deal has 6- 2/1 houses, , 1- 3/1, 2- 3/2 , 1- 4/2 and . This is 10 houses total. This is a Parent listing. Listings will also be listed as individuals. 1012 S Fort Ave, Springfield MO 658071235 N Prospect Ave, Springfield MO 658021520 W Lynn St, Springfield MO 658021635 W Lynn St, Springfield, MO 658022223 W Elm St, Springfield, MO 658062434 N Pickwick Ave, Springfield MO 658032939 W Grand St, Springfield, MO 658023036 W Water St, Springfield, MO 65802306 W McGee St, Springfield, MO 65807924 W College St, Springfield, MO 65806
-
2026-03-04price $1,760,000 546-char remark
Show marketing remark (546 chars)
This Package deal has 6- 2/1 houses, , 1- 3/1, 2- 3/2 , 1- 4/2 and . This is 10 houses total. This is a Parent listing. Listings will also be listed as individuals. 1012 S Fort Ave, Springfield MO 658071235 N Prospect Ave, Springfield MO 658021520 W Lynn St, Springfield MO 658021635 W Lynn St, Springfield, MO 658022223 W Elm St, Springfield, MO 658062434 N Pickwick Ave, Springfield MO 658032939 W Grand St, Springfield, MO 658023036 W Water St, Springfield, MO 65802306 W McGee St, Springfield, MO 65807924 W College St, Springfield, MO 65806
-
2025-12-17$2,199,900 Active 546-char remark
Show marketing remark (546 chars)
This Package deal has 6- 2/1 houses, , 1- 3/1, 2- 3/2 , 1- 4/2 and . This is 10 houses total. This is a Parent listing. Listings will also be listed as individuals. 1012 S Fort Ave, Springfield MO 658071235 N Prospect Ave, Springfield MO 658021520 W Lynn St, Springfield MO 658021635 W Lynn St, Springfield, MO 658022223 W Elm St, Springfield, MO 658062434 N Pickwick Ave, Springfield MO 658032939 W Grand St, Springfield, MO 658023036 W Water St, Springfield, MO 65802306 W McGee St, Springfield, MO 65807924 W College St, Springfield, MO 65806
-
2011-03-21soldstatus $247,600
-
2007-04-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $787 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,358 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$571/yr (+$48/mo · 72.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,647
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$787
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,252
- − Management
- −$1,252
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$258
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$62
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,126/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,659
- Household income
- $53,870
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3420.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -205.97%
- Current HPI
- 210.4358
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+402.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $1,245,000 SOMO
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $1,760,000 SOMO
- 2025-12-17 Listed $2,199,900 SOMO
- 2011-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $247,600 Public Records
- 2007-04-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $787 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…