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1204 Main St
C- Composite 53.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$115,000

1204 Main St · Springfield, CO 81073
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Other · 279 Days on market
Built 1974 10,500 sqft lot ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PRICE REDUCED! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generously sized lot in a convenient location close to shopping and entertainment. The home features central heating, all major kitchen appliances, and brand-new flooring throughout. Enjoy the fully fenced in front and backyard, along with a great back patio/deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Don't miss out on this great opportunity—call today to schedule your showing!

Key facts

  • Central heat
  • New flooring
  • Back patio deck

Tags

CENTRAL HEATWINDOW AIR CONDITIONINGMAJOR KITCHEN APPLIANCESNEW FLOORINGFENCE AROUND YARDBACK PATIO DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential mobile home
  • Construction: Frame construction with metal siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (1 on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Wall cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Master bedroom located on the main level; Double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#145 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Springfield School District No. Re-4 (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #149 of 176 in CO (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Baca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Baca County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $101,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.87%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$22,198
Equity at exit
$51,709
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$67,396
Equity at exit
$79,690

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81073

Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,172 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 279 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 278 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 277 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 276 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 274 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 273 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 270 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 269 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 268 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 267 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 264 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 263 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 262 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 261 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 260 DOM
  16. 2026-03-31
    price $115,000
  17. 2025-09-12
    listed $135,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,058
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,125
− Management
−$1,125
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$279
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$67
After-tax cash flow
$1,636/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield School District No. Re-4
NCES district ID
0806630
Math proficiency
20% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$33,541
Composite
21.55/100
National rank
#13620
State rank
#149 of 176 in CO

Livability — Springfield

Score
66/100
State rank
#145
US rank
#12006

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, CO
Population (ZIP)
1,880

Population outlook (Baca County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,249 people
By 2030
3,053 · -6.0%
By 2040
2,691 · -17.2%
By 2050
2,362 · -27.3%
By 2075
1,812 · -44.2%
By 2100
1,263 · -61.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baca

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.4) · D 13.7% · R 84.1% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.8pp toward R · 2008: -47.6pp · 2024: -70.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.4 2020: R+69.7 2016: R+68.2 2012: R+52.1 2008: R+47.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $115,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $135,000 PARMLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2021): $52 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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