4025 Percival Rd · Columbia, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Starter or Investment Opportunity! Charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath on a large lot, just minutes from Fort Jackson and Blue Cross Blue Shield. Features hardwood floors and plenty of potential -- needs a little TLC to make it shine. Perfect for first time homeowners, flippers or investors looking for their next project. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings.
Key facts
- Large lot
- Hardwood floors
- 0.35 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system
- Home design: Single-story home; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Wood fiber-Masonite exterior
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Deck; Rear chain-link fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Granite countertops; Painted cabinets; Vinyl flooring
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with private closet and shared bath; Second bedroom on main level with private closet and shared bath; Third bedroom on main level with shared bath
- Flooring: Hardwood in great room; Vinyl in kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating with heat pump on the main level
- Interior features: Attic access; Refrigerator included; Great room with hardwood flooring
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen (main level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.0% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Polo Road Elementary (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #439 of 597 statewide, top 74%, 604 students, 79% FRL); Spring Valley High (math 53% / reading 92%, grade B+, #46 of 196 statewide, top 24%, 2,187 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 38% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 341 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.16%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-19,659
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-23,107
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29223
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 341
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,749 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$387 /mo · $4,642/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $146
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 840 Sparkleberry Ln Columbia, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 924 | $1,579 | $1.71 | 3d | 6 | 0.81mi |
| 4415 Percival Rd Columbia, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $2,226 | $2.00 | 2d | 20 | 1.04mi |
| 4824 Smallwood Rd Columbia, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1121 | $1,373 | $1.22 | 3d | 54 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-01-31price $150,000
-
2025-08-15$160,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,642 · $387/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,642 · $387/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,986
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$4,642
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,679
- − Management
- −$1,679
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$530
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$127
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland 02
- NCES district ID
- 4503390
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,684
- Composite
- 36.2/100
- National rank
- #4730
- State rank
- #29 of 80 in SC
Livability — Columbia
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #2436
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Richland County · 389,530 people
- City population
- 335,994
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,074
- Household income
- $62,408
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2857.0
Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 459,667 people
- By 2030
- 487,524 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 542,035 · +17.9%
- By 2050
- 595,371 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 732,998 · +59.5%
- By 2100
- 820,415 · +78.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richland
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.96%
- Current HPI
- 195.3158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.21%
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-6.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $150,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $160,000 Consolidated MLS
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,642 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…