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4025 Percival Rd
C- Composite 51.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

4025 Percival Rd · Columbia, SC 29223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 916 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 307 Days on market
Built 1970 0.35 ac lot ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great Starter or Investment Opportunity! Charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath on a large lot, just minutes from Fort Jackson and Blue Cross Blue Shield. Features hardwood floors and plenty of potential -- needs a little TLC to make it shine. Perfect for first time homeowners, flippers or investors looking for their next project. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Hardwood floors
  • 0.35 acre lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE LOTMINUTES FROM FORT JACKSON

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic system
  • Home design: Single-story home; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Wood fiber-Masonite exterior
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Deck; Rear chain-link fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Granite countertops; Painted cabinets; Vinyl flooring
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with private closet and shared bath; Second bedroom on main level with private closet and shared bath; Third bedroom on main level with shared bath
  • Flooring: Hardwood in great room; Vinyl in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating with heat pump on the main level
  • Interior features: Attic access; Refrigerator included; Great room with hardwood flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen (main level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.0% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Polo Road Elementary (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #439 of 597 statewide, top 74%, 604 students, 79% FRL); Spring Valley High (math 53% / reading 92%, grade B+, #46 of 196 statewide, top 24%, 2,187 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 38% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 341 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
7.46%
Cash-on-cash
4.16%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.4%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-19,659
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-23,107
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29223

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
341
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,749 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$387 /mo · $4,642/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$367
Net cashflow
$146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,564
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
840 Sparkleberry Ln Columbia, SC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 924 $1,579 $1.71 3d 6 0.81mi
4415 Percival Rd Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1112 $2,226 $2.00 2d 20 1.04mi
4824 Smallwood Rd Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1121 $1,373 $1.22 3d 54 1.11mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 307 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 306 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 305 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 304 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 302 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 301 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 299 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 298 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 297 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 296 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 293 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 292 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 291 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 290 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 289 DOM
  16. 2026-01-31
    price $150,000
  17. 2025-08-15
    listed $160,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,642 · $387/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,642 · $387/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,986
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$4,642
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,679
− Management
−$1,679
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$530
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$127
After-tax cash flow
$1,875/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richland 02
NCES district ID
4503390
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$59,684
Composite
36.2/100
National rank
#4730
State rank
#29 of 80 in SC

Livability — Columbia

Score
78/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#2436

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Richland County · 389,530 people
City population
335,994
Metro
Columbia, SC
Population (ZIP)
53,074
Household income
$62,408
Rent vs Own
42.4% rent · 57.6% own
Severe rent burden
2857.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
459,667 people
By 2030
487,524 · +6.1%
By 2040
542,035 · +17.9%
By 2050
595,371 · +29.5%
By 2075
732,998 · +59.5%
By 2100
820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.96%
Current HPI
195.3158
Rent YoY
▲ 0.21%
Metro
Columbia, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $150,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $160,000 Consolidated MLS

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,642 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…