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415 S Maple St S
B Composite 74.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,500

415 S Maple St S · Dallas, NC 28034
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1948 0.30 ac lot Est $150k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

COURT ORDERED SALE. .. .FILE NUMBER SP25 -1732.. .. SOLD "AS IS WHERE IS" . .. .NO DUE DILIGENCE PERIOD. .. FIVE PERCENT DEPOSIT REQUIRED. .. SUBJECT TO COURT APPROVAL AND TEN DAY UPSET BID . .. .FULLY INSPECT PRIOR TO CONTRACT. .. NEEDS COMPLETE REHAB

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Built 1948
  • Listed 90 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story
  • Construction: Site-built construction; Vinyl exterior; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Outbuilding on the property; Road access is publicly maintained (dirt and paved surfaces)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Space heater; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; Electric range and refrigerator included
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $438 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#299 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.5%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $619 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $90k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,130 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
12.17%
Cash-on-cash
20.98%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,800
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
415 S Maple St S 0.00mi 2/1.0 749 (+7%) 0mo $80,500 $107 88
314 S Holland St 0.16mi 2/1.0 739 (+6%) 5mo $175,000 $237 79
604 S Lorraine St 0.20mi 2/1.0 774 (+11%) 6mo $166,000 $214 68
306 S Spargo St 0.53mi 2/1.0 720 (+3%) 17mo $177,500 $247 56
202 S Rhyne St 0.49mi 2/1.0 672 (-4%) 23mo $110,000 $164 51
501 S Hoyle St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 768 (+10%) 14mo $130,000 $169 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$9,712
Equity at exit
$13,345
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.20×
Total profit
$30,117
Equity at exit
$7,738

Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28034

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
-5.5%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,252 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$469
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $533/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$438

Break-even live

Break-even rent $698
Max offer price $89,500
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $489 -5% $463 +0% $438 +5% $413 +10% $387
Rent -10% $339 -5% $389 +0% $438 +5% $488 +10% $537
Rate -1.0pp $483 -0.5pp $461 base $438 +0.5pp $415 +1.0pp $391

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,375
Closing costs
$2,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
203 E Webb St Dallas, NC 1.0 1.0 625 $825 $1.32 22d 1 0.25mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-28
    price $89,500
  3. 2026-03-18
    price $95,500
  4. 2026-02-25
    listed $100,600 Active
  5. 2007-08-17
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$533 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$734 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$201/yr (+$17/mo · 37.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,026
− Mortgage interest
−$5,013
− Property taxes
−$533
− Insurance
−$448
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,202
− Management
−$1,202
− Depreciation
−$2,604
Taxable income
$4,024
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$966
After-tax cash flow
$4,292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gaston County Schools
NCES district ID
3701620
Math proficiency
44% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,644
Composite
36.39/100
National rank
#4680
State rank
#93 of 178 in NC

Livability — Dallas

Score
65/100
State rank
#299
US rank
#12509

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, NC
County
Gaston County · 201,497 people
City population
18,979
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
18,979
Household income
$62,083
Rent vs Own
25.4% rent · 74.6% own
Severe rent burden
383.0

Population outlook (Gaston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
230,027 people
By 2030
237,300 · +3.2%
By 2040
249,659 · +8.5%
By 2050
257,806 · +12.1%
By 2075
272,163 · +18.3%
By 2100
268,652 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Gaston

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
0.0pp no change · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -25.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.0 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+32.1 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.58%
Current HPI
241.4021
Rent YoY
▼ -5.47%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+98.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $89,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $95,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $100,600 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $533 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…